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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, January 1st, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Dolphins @ Patriots
The Dolphins take on the Patriots on Sunday, January 1st at Gillette Stadium, Foxborough. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Miami Dolphins (8-7) vs. New England Patriots (7-8)
- Date: Sunday, January 1st, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Dolphins @ Patriots
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Miami Dolphins - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Miami Dolphins are hoping to get back in the win column after falling 26-20 to the Green Bay Packers. Leading into the matchup, the Dolphins were -3.5 point favorites, resulting in both a straight-up an ATS loss. The team's combined scoring of 46 points fell below the posted betting line of 49. The Dolphins and Packers entered the 4th quarter all tied at 20-20 before Green Bay outscored Miami by 6 in the final period. Through 15 games, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 7-8. So far, they have an over-under record of 7-8. This week's betting total of 42.5 is lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Dolphins prepare to take on New England, they have played well on offense, ranking 9th in points per game at 24.3. However, they face a tough matchup vs New England, as the Patriots are 5th in the fewest points allowed. This season, Miami has been one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 274.9 yards per game through the air. Although the Patriots' defense has been able to limit opposing teams in the passing game, Miami should still be able to continue to generate big plays through the pass. On the ground, Miami is just the 27th-ranked team in rush yards per game and are facing the NFL's 9th-ranked rush defense.
New England Patriots - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the New England Patriots are hoping to get back in the win column after falling 22-18 to the Cincinnati Bengals. The loss was costly, as it came against an AFC opponent. In terms of betting, New England not only lost the game but failed to cover the spread as 3.0 point underdogs. The team's combined scoring of 40 points fell below the posted betting line of 41. The Patriots were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Cincinnati by a score of 22-6 heading into the final quarter. Through 15 games, the Patriots have an ATS record of 7-7-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 6-9. This week's betting total of 42.5 is right in line with their previous games.
As the Patriots prepare to take on Miami, they are ranked 16th in points per game at 21.2. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Dolphins defense giving up 24.7 points per game. Although the Patriots come into the game ranked just 21st in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Miami secondary that is prone to giving up big plays through the air. On the ground, New England is just the 22nd-ranked team in rush yards per game and are facing a Dolphins defense ranked 10th in fewest rushing yards allowed.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Dolphins vs. Patriots
When looking back at the recent matchups between Miami and New England, the Dolphins put together a record of 4-1. The two teams have combined to average 36.6 points per game in their last 5 meetings. The Dolphins will be looking to pick up yet another win over the Patriots as they picked up a 20-7 win at home in week 1. Not only did the Dolphins come out on top in the win column, but they also covered the spread as +2.5 point underdogs. Last year, Miami took both of the matchups between the teams, grabbing a 33-24 win as well as a 17-16 victory.
The Miami Dolphins have gone 3-1 vs the spread in these games. On average, the Dolphins have averaged 20.6 points per game in the past 5 head-to-head matchups, compared to New England at 16.0.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Dolphins have a straight-up record of just 0-3. Like their straight-up record, Miami struggled vs the spread, going 1-2. Over these games, they put together an over-under record of 1-2.
Across the Dolphins' last 3 road games, the team averaged 21.0 points per game while allowing 29.33. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 0-3 straight-up.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Patriots have a straight-up record of just 1-2. In a similar fashion, the team's record vs the spread in these games was just 1-2. Their over-under record in this span was 1-2.
Across the Patriots' last 3 home games, the team averaged 12.67 points per game while allowing 16.33. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Patriots -2.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 42.5
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