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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 25th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Saints @ Panthers
The Saints take on the Panthers on Sunday, September 25th at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: New Orleans Saints (1-1) vs. Carolina Panthers (0-2)
- Date: Sunday, September 25th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Bank of America Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Saints @ Panthers
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New Orleans Saints - NFL Betting Analysis
In week 2, the New Orleans Saints dropped their NFC South matchup against the Buccaneers by a score of 20-10. In terms of betting, New Orleans not only lost the game but failed to cover the spread as 2.5 point underdogs. New Orleans and Carolina went into the 4th quarter all tied at 3-3, before the Panthers outscored the Saints by 10 in the final frame.
Compared to last year, where the Saints averaged 21.41 points per game, the team's 10 was a disappointing performance. For the game, New Orleans ran the ball 20 times, finishing with 102 rushing yards. Mark Ingram II led the team with 60 rush yards and did not find the endzone.
New Orleans quarterback Jameis Winston threw for a total of 236 yards on a completion percentage 62.5% vs the Buccaneers Winston was able to find the endzone 1 time through the air. Leading the team's passing attack was Chris Olave, who finished with 80 yards, including a yards per reception figure of 16.0. In terms of pass yards per game, on average, New Orleans is the 18th ranked team in the NFL. This season, 60.16% of the team's offensive plays have come through the pass, placing them 9th in the NFL.
Currently, the Saints defense is ranked just 17th in overall yards allowed. So far, the team's defense has allowed 1 score through the air and 2 on the ground. The Saints will look to continue to perform well on 3rd downs, as they are allowing opponents to convert at a rate of just 33.3%.
Carolina Panthers - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 3, the Panthers will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 19-16 loss to the New York Giants. With the loss, Carolina failed to cover the spread, as they had a 1 point advantage on the spread. The Panthers and Giants entered the 4th quarter all tied at 13-13 before New York outscored Carolina by 3 in the final period.
The Panthers 16 points was a below average figure compared to last year's squad that averaged 17.88 points per game. In last week's game, Carolina was able to move the ball on the ground, compiling a total of 146 yards. Individually, Christian McCaffrey compiled 102 yards, with a per attempt average of 15.
Quarterback Baker Mayfield struggled to move the ball in the passing game, finishing with just 145 through the air and a passer rating of 74.64. Mayfield was able to find the endzone 1 time through the air. Leading the way in the passing game was DJ Moore, as he accumulated 43 yards and hauled in a touchdown. On average, Carolina has thrown the ball 28.0 times per game, placing them 29th in the league. Heading into the game, the Panthers have just 1 offensive interception, good for a rank of 18th in the league.
As a defensive unit, the Panthers currently rank 9th in overall yards allowed. So far, the team's defense has allowed 2 scores through the air and 1 on the ground. The Panthers are currently allowing opposing offenses to convert on 3rd downs at a rate of 38.9%, which is similar to the league average.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Saints vs. Panthers
When looking back at the recent matchups between New Orleans and Carolina, the Saints have won 2 of the last 3 games. The two teams have combined to average 33.66 points per game in their last 3 meetings. In last year's matchups between New Orleans and Carolina, each team won a game. The Saints picked up a 18-10 victory, while the Panthers won by a score of 26-7.
The New Orleans Saints have gone 2-1 vs the spread in these games. On average, the Saints have averaged 19.33 points per game in the past 3 head-to-head matchups, compared to Carolina at 14.33.
Through their last 3 games, the Saints have a record of 2-1. This also includes going 1-2 ATS and an over-under mark of 2-1
In their last 3 road games, New Orleans has averaged 22.0 points per game while allowing 15.33. The team's record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 2-1.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Panthers have a straight up record of just 0-3. In these games they have gone just 0-3 vs the spread, while posting an over-under mark of 2-1.
Across the Panthers last 3 home games, the team averaged 17.0 points per game while allowing 29.0. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 0-3 straight-up.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Panthers 3.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 40.5
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