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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday, September 5th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Padres
The Phillies take on the Padres on Tuesday, September 5th 2023 at PETCO Park, San Diego. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (76-61) vs. San Diego Padres (65-74)
- Date: Tuesday, September 5th 2023
- Time: 9:40 ET
- Venue: PETCO Park, San Diego
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Padres
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 76-61, the Philadelphia Phillies travel to take on the San Diego Padres, ranked 2nd in the NL East. Philadelphia has had their problems when playing away from home, going just 35-35.
Philadelphia's record against the runline stands at 61-76, even though they have been favored in 95 of their 137 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 62-66 with an average betting line of 9.
The Phillies will send Michael Lorenzen to the mound with an overall record of 8-8. Through 23 appearances, Michael Lorenzen has an ERA of 3.73. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .234 against him. So far, Lorenzen has given up 17 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .292. Lorenzen has a WHIP of 1.14, with 38 walks allowed.
Philadelphia enters play averaging 4.9 runs per game, placing them 9th in the MLB. As a team, the Phillies are batting a healthy .260, placing them 4th in the league. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, with 182 home runs (9th). Philadelphia's overall OBP of .329 is good for 6th in the league.
San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The San Diego Padres take on the Philadelphia hoping to improve on their record of just 65-74, placing them 4th in the NL West So far, San Diego has been tough at PETCO Park, putting together a mark of 38-35.
San Diego's record against the runline stands at 66-73, even though they have been favored in 109 of their 139 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 57-72 with an average betting line of 9.
Pedro Avila gets the start for the Padres with a below .500 record at 0-2. So far, Pedro Avila has put together an outstanding ERA of 2.67. Currently, opponents are batting just .234 against the right-hander. Opposing hitters have gone deep one time against Pedro Avila, who has a WOBA allowed of .290. Avila has a WHIP of 1.39, with 13 walks allowed.
Offensively, San Diego is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.5 runs per game. Together, the Padres' offense has the 16th-ranked batting average, at .240. Overall, the team has hit 177 home runs, placing them 12th. San Diego's strong OBP of .326 is 8th best in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Padres
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and San Diego, the Phillies are the betting favorite at -110 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 52.38%. The MLB predictive model shows Philadelphia pulling out a close win over the Padres. It is recommended to take the Phillies Moneyline -110 on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Moneyline -110
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