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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday, September 4th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Padres
The Phillies take on the Padres on Monday, September 4th 2023 at PETCO Park, San Diego. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (75-61) vs. San Diego Padres (65-73)
- Date: Monday, September 4th 2023
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: PETCO Park, San Diego
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Padres
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Philadelphia Phillies host the San Diego Padres, they have a record of 75-61, placing them 2nd in the NL East. The Phillies will need a win in today's game to move their record on the road (34-35) above the .500 mark.
Philadelphia's record against the runline stands at 60-76, even though they have been favored in 95 of their 136 games. The team has an over/under record of 61-66, with an average betting line of 9.
Philadelphia pitcher Taijuan Walker gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 14-5. Currently, Taijuan Walker has an ERA of 4.05. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .234 against him. So far, Walker has given up 17 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .309. Walker has a WHIP of 1.31, with 59 walks allowed.
Philadelphia comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 4.9 runs per game, good for 9th in the MLB. As a team, the Phillies are batting a healthy .259, placing them 6th in the league. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, with 179 home runs (9th). To date, Philadelphia has the MLB's 8th best OBP at .328.
San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Philadelphia, the Padres have a record of just 65-73. This places the team 4th in the NL West. When playing at PETCO Park, the Padres have played well, posting a record of 38-34.
Being the favorite in 108 of their 138 games has not helped San Diego improve their record against the runline, which stands at just 66-72. The team's over/under record comes in at 56-72 with an average betting line of 9.
Padres starter Rich Hill comes into the game with a record of just 7-13. Against the Phillies, Rich Hill is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 5.25. To date, he has a batting average allowed of .265. So far, Hill has given up 21 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .341. With a total of 53 walks, Hill has a WHIP of 1.50.
San Diego's offense enters play with the 16th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.5 runs per game. Together, the Padres' offense has the 15th-ranked batting average, at .240. So far, the team has put together a strong home-run hitting lineup ranking 10th in home runs, with a total of 176 deep shots. San Diego's strong OBP of .326 is 9th best in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Padres
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and San Diego, the Phillies are the betting favorite at -112 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 52.83%. The MLB preditive model shows Philadelphia having a strong performance at the plate and has identified the best bet to take Philadelphia on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Moneyline -112
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