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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday October 19th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Padres
The Phillies take on the Padres on Wednesday October 19th at Petco Park, San Diego. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (1-0) vs. San Diego Padres (0-1)
- Date: Wednesday October 19th, 2022
- Time: 4:35 ET
- Venue: Petco Park, San Diego
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Padres
- Caesars Sportsbook MLB Odds
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Philadelphia Phillies head into game 2, with a 1-0 lead in their NLCS Series vs San Diego. As the road team, Philadelphia has put together a record of 44-42. The team will look to tack on another victory as they defeated San Diego by a score of 2-0. Philadelphia's overall series record is above .500, sitting at 27-22-5.
The Phillies will send Aaron Nola to the mound with an overall record of 11-13. Coming into the game, Nola has put together an ERA of 3.25 across his 32 outings. Currently, opponents are batting just .218 against the right-hander. Per 9 innings pitched, Nola is averaging just 0.83 home runs allowed. For the season, Aaron Nola has averaged 8.1 strikeouts for every walk. This has come on a K rate of 28.9%.
Entering today's action, the Phillies feature the 7th ranked scoring unit, averaging 4.62 runs per game. When playing on the road, the team has a run differential of 15. The Phillies have been able to drive in runs at an above average rate, as their team batting average of .252, ranks 8th in the league. For the season, 35.4% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.26 home runs per game (6th). In terms of exit velocity, the team ranks near the top of the league. Throughout the season, Philadelphia's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 11th best OBP of .316. So far, the team has a walk rate of 7.9%.
San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Padres will look to even this NLCS matchup, as they are trailing 1-0 to Philadelphia. At Petco Park, the Padres have a strong record of 46-38. San Diego are hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to the Phillies by a score of 2-0. Overall, the team has won over half of their 54 series played, going 28-19-7.
Blake Snell gets the start for the Padres with a below .500 record at 8-10. Currently, Snell's ERA is 3.45. So far, Blake Snell has put together a WHIP of 1.21. Across his previous outings, Snell has a SLG% allowed of .344. In total, he has given up 11 home runs. Heading into the game, Snell has struck 32.0% of the batters he's faced. Across his outings, Blake Snell is putting batters on through walks at a rate of 3.59 BB/9.
On offense, San Diego comes into the game averaging 4.33 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. In the team's last 3 contests, their run differential comes in at 1. So far, the Padres have combined for a team batting average of .240, placing them 16th in the league. On average, the team is coming up with 8.08 hits per game. In terms of home runs, San Diego ranks 21st, averaging .95 home runs per contest. So far, their hard hit rate of 37.7% is near the MLB average. Up to this point, San Diego has been one of the MLB's better teams at getting on base, ranking 9th at .317. So far, the team has a walk rate of 9.3%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Padres
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and San Diego, the Padres are the betting favorite at -118 on the moneyline. San Diego's implied win probability sits at 54.13%. The MLB predictive model shows to today's best bet being the Phillies to pull off the upset. It is recommended to take Philadelphia on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Moneyline
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