X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Overhyped Sleepers for 2022 Fantasy Football Drafts - Stop that Hype Train on Gabe Davis

Gabriel Davis - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Justin makes the case against drafting Buffalo Bills WR Gabe Davis in 2022 fantasy football drafts.

Is there a player who has as much hype heading into this season as Bills wide receiver Gabe Davis?

Davis has been talked up by pretty much everyone as a sleeper this year. That talk has gotten, IMO, out of hand. Davis has value this season, but the way he's been hyped up has gone too far.

It's time to stop the hype train. Let's talk about why I'm off of the Gabriel Davis train.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Where Is Gabe Davis Ranked In Fantasy Football?

Analysts are all over the place when it comes to Gabriel Davis. In our half-PPR redraft rankings here at RotoBaller, Davis is ranked as our WR28 and is 65th overall. That puts him in between Jerry Jeudy and Chris Godwin in the rankings and finds him ahead of players like Adam Thielen, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Elijah Moore.

At FantasyPros, where they amalgamate rankings from analysts from all over, Davis is a little lower at WR34 overall. There he's behind Godwin, St. Brown, Thielen, and Moore. I have to say: I agree with the overall value he has among all fantasy analysts a little more than I agree with his value from our RotoBaller rankers.

Breaking down how various industry people have Davis ranked overall, he's someone's WR12 overall. RotoBaller's Pierre Camus has him at WR17, which...come on, Pierre! I know you're reading this and I'd just love to know one thing: why?

I much prefer where another RotoBaller has him ranked. Andersen Pickard (who doesn't contribute to our site rankings but does write for the site and contributes to FantasyPros' rankings) has Davis at WR41. That's a little lower than I'd have him, but it's more in line with what I expect from Davis this year.

 

Why is Gabe Davis Overhyped in Fantasy Football?

Here's my issue with Gabriel Davis: he's playing a role in Buffalo that we haven't really seen be successful with Josh Allen at QB. Stefon Diggs is the team's main outside threat. The slot role should go to either Isaiah McKenzie or Jamison Crowder. Davis will be the other outside receiver. And that second outside receiver role...well, it just hasn't really produced much.

Last year, Stefon Diggs was targeted 164 times. Cole Beasley, the main slot receiver, saw 112 targets. The top outside receiver, Emmanuel Sanders, saw just 72 targets.

Now, I suppose you could argue that Sanders and Davis combined for 135 targets and if Davis is playing that role alone, he'll get a lot closer to that 135 number. And you could argue that McKenzie/Crowder in the slot won't be as reliable as Beasley was and will see fewer targets.

That's a lot of speculation. The Bills were in this same position in 2020, with 100-plus targets for Diggs and Beasley, then Davis splitting targets with John Brown as the other outside guy. In 2019, Brown (the No. 1 receiver before Diggs arrived) and Beasley both had 100-plus targets, and the No. 3 receiver in targets was McKenzie at 39.

The main point here is that unless the way 1) the Bills use receivers and 2) the way Josh Allen targets receivers fundamentally changes this season, the pecking order will be Diggs, then the slot (McKenzie and Crowder might split this position, so it's possible Davis gets more targets than either individually) and then Davis.

Now, being the third option in an offense that throws the ball like this one does and doesn't throw to the tight ends or running backs a ton isn't a bad thing! Davis will get targets and he'll do good things with those targets. However, the way Davis' ADP has shot up this year has made it so that he's being drafted at his ceiling. Something I hate is drafting a player at his ceiling.

Another thing about Davis is that I'm concerned about his consistency. Davis had one game in the regular season last year with 100 yards, and he only caught three passes in that game. A lot of this hype surrounding Davis comes from his playoff showing against the Chiefs when he caught eight passes for 201 yards and four touchdowns.

I have nothing negative to say about that game. It was an impressive game! The Chiefs had no answer for Davis, but it was one game. That one game represented the second-most targets Davis had seen all year and the most receptions. His only regular season game with more targets was Week 18 against the Jets when he was targeted 14 times, but he only caught three of those for 39 yards.

He had a three-week stretch where he caught four touchdowns in the regular season, but he averaged just four catches per game over that span. Look: I believe Davis could be an excellent player in the right situation, but I'm not sure Buffalo is the right situation if you're expecting some kind of gargantuan season out of him.

Davis will be fine. There will be plenty of weeks where Davis will be a positive part of your lineup. Past usage trends for Buffalo suggest that Davis won't be on the field as much as you think he'll be. Past usage also suggests he won't be targeted as much as you think he'll be.

It's also worth looking at some advanced data from PlayerProfiler. Davis ranked eighth among all receivers in average target distance (good!) but was just 77th in air yard share because Allen wasn't looking his way enough. That changes some this year with Davis set to start all year, but it's still a little concerning.

The bigger issue is with his catch rate. His True Catch Rate, which filters out non-catchable targets, was 79.5%, which ranked 75th among wide receivers. Davis isn't very consistent when it comes to bringing passes in. And if his volume is capped by the nature of this offense and he's not able to haul in enough of the targets that he does get, he's not going to be able to achieve the things that a lot of people think he'll achieve.

 

Where Should I Draft Gabe Davis in Fantasy Football?

I view Davis as a WR3/4 play. He's being drafted as a WR2/3 play. So at that current ADP, I don't think I'm going to really have Davis on many of my rosters.

One exception is that on Sleeper, Davis has an ADP of WR34. If I'm in a league on Sleeper that's going pretty chalky, I would take Davis at that spot. On other platforms, I'm likely going to see guys like Michael Thomas, Elijah Moore, and Adam Thielen all on the board still when I'm considering Davis, and in those situations, I feel better about those other names.

Davis will be fine this year., but there's no value in Davis. Unless we see a sudden drop in his ADP as we approach the start of the season, I'll be actively avoiding him.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Niko Goodrum7 mins ago

Signs Minor-League Deal With Mets
Nick Kurtz11 mins ago

Belts Third Home Run In Last Four Games
Shohei Ohtani25 mins ago

Blasts Walk-Off Home Run
Zac Veen33 mins ago

Triples, Collects Four RBI At Triple-A On Wednesday
Zac Gallen34 mins ago

Strikes Out 13
Luke Waddell1 hour ago

Swinging A Hot Bat At Triple-A
Chandler Simpson1 hour ago

With A Two-Run Triple, Stolen Base On Wednesday
Los Angeles Chargers2 hours ago

Chargers Sign Tight End Jordan Petaia
Austin Gomber2 hours ago

Scratched From Rehab Start With Shoulder Inflammation
Zack Wheeler3 hours ago

Records 10 Strikeouts
3 hours ago

Matthew Golden Making Pre-Draft Visit To Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals3 hours ago

Trey Hendrickson Not Looking For Short-Term Deal
Aroldis Chapman3 hours ago

Earns First Save Of The Season
Garrett Crochet3 hours ago

Works Eight Strong Innings
Tutu Atwell3 hours ago

Rams Plan To Give Tutu Atwell A Bigger Role In 2025
Rafael Devers3 hours ago

Finally Delivers At The Plate
Tampa Bay Buccaneers3 hours ago

Bucs Restructure Antoine Winfield's Deal To Free Up Cap Space
Xavier Edwards3 hours ago

Collects Four Hits
Pete Alonso3 hours ago

Comes Up Clutch
Jackson Merrill5 hours ago

Goes Deep After Inking Nine-Year Extension
Jrue Holiday5 hours ago

Won't Play Against Miami
New York Jets5 hours ago

Xavier Newman-Johnson Re-Signs With New York
Luis Castillo5 hours ago

Finally Beats The Tigers On Wednesday
Al Horford5 hours ago

Sidelined Versus Heat
Seiya Suzuki5 hours ago

Carries Cubs Offense With Two Homers, Five RBI
Kristaps Porzingis6 hours ago

Ruled Out On Wednesday
Fred VanVleet6 hours ago

Out Versus Utah
Dennis Santana6 hours ago

Picks Up First Save Of The Year
Evan Phillips6 hours ago

Tony Gonsolin, Evan Phillips Starting Rehab Assignments
Dean Wade6 hours ago

Sidelined On Wednesday
George Springer6 hours ago

Hits First Homer In Win Over Nationals
Alex Bregman6 hours ago

Considering Using Torpedo Bat
Trae Young6 hours ago

Expected To Suit Up On Wednesday
Joel Embiid7 hours ago

Will Undergo Arthroscopic Surgery On His Left Knee
Evgeni Malkin7 hours ago

Joins Penguins For Road Trip
Filip Chytil7 hours ago

Could Miss Rest Of Season
Declan Chisholm7 hours ago

Back In Action Against Rangers
Keaton Wallace7 hours ago

Sidelined Again On Wednesday
Samuel Girard7 hours ago

Exits Avalanche Lineup Wednesday
Joel Kiviranta7 hours ago

Returning Against Blackhawks
Eeli Tolvanen7 hours ago

Misses First Game Of The Season
Jaden Schwartz8 hours ago

Unavailable Against Canucks
9 hours ago

Kyle McCord Rising Up Draft Boards?
9 hours ago

Ashton Jeanty To Raiders Continues To Gain Steam
9 hours ago

Emeka Egbuka To Fall To Round 2?
Los Angeles Rams9 hours ago

Rob Havenstein Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Cleveland Browns11 hours ago

Mike Hall Likely To Miss Offseason Program After Having Knee Surgery
New England Patriots11 hours ago

Christian Barmore Expected To Be Ready For Offseason Workouts
11 hours ago

Saints Expected To Visit With Quinn Ewers
Jake Moody11 hours ago

49ers To Bring In Competition For Jake Moody
Pittsburgh Steelers11 hours ago

Steelers In Play To Draft A Running Back
Green Bay Packers14 hours ago

Packers Not Ruling Out Jaire Alexander Returning
Tennessee Titans14 hours ago

No. 1 Overall Pick Might Not Be For Sale
Kenny Pickett14 hours ago

Browns Feel Good About QB Situation, Kenny Pickett
Cleveland Browns14 hours ago

Browns Unlikely To Trade Up To No. 1 Overall For Cam Ward
Cincinnati Bengals14 hours ago

Bengals Still Working On Contract Extension With Trey Hendrickson
Dyami Brown14 hours ago

Jaguars Intrigued By Dyami Brown's Potential
Bennedict Mathurin15 hours ago

Iffy For Wednesday
Myles Turner15 hours ago

May Miss Another Game Wednesday
Al Horford16 hours ago

Considered Doubtful Wednesday
Jrue Holiday16 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday's Game
Kristaps Porzingis16 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Wednesday
Jaylen Brown16 hours ago

Could Remain On The Shelf Wednesday
Cade Cunningham16 hours ago

Likely Out For Fifth Straight Game
Anthony Davis16 hours ago

Probable Wednesday
Evan Bouchard17 hours ago

Tallies Two Assists In Victory
Jake Guentzel18 hours ago

Tallies Goal, Assist In Victory
Kirill Marchenko18 hours ago

Scores Hat Trick On Tuesday
Tage Thompson18 hours ago

Stays Hot On The Scoresheet
Lane Hutson18 hours ago

Dishes Out Three Helpers In Overtime Victory
Alex Ovechkin18 hours ago

Tallies Two Points In Victory
Cameron Young23 hours ago

A Player To Avoid At Valero Texas Open
Kurt Kitayama23 hours ago

In Search Of Consistency At Valero Texas Open
Si Woo Kim23 hours ago

Looking To Bounce Back At Valero Texas Open
Tom Hoge1 day ago

Looking To Build Off Strong Performance At The PLAYERS Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick1 day ago

Looking For Consistency At Valero Texas Open
Corey Conners1 day ago

Continues Strong Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Patrick Cantlay1 day ago

Eyeing Victory At Valero Texas Open
Gary Woodland1 day ago

Showing Great Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Akshay Bhatia1 day ago

Aiming For Repeat At Valero Texas Open
Alejandro Tosti1 day ago

A Volatile Choice At TPC San Antonio
Guerschon Yabusele1 day ago

Out Against Knicks
Karl-Anthony Towns1 day ago

Sits Out Tuesday's Game
Jevon Carter1 day ago

Ruled Out Tuesday
Dalen Terry1 day ago

Unavailable Against Raptors
Julian Phillips1 day ago

Out On Tuesday
Jimmy Snuggerud1 day ago

Ready For NHL Debut Tuesday
Jacob Trouba1 day ago

Set To Rejoin Ducks Lineup Tuesday
Troy Terry1 day ago

On Track To Play Tuesday
Jonathan Marchessault1 day ago

Remains Out Against Blue Jackets
Alex Laferriere1 day ago

Expected To Return On Tuesday
Luke Schenn1 day ago

A Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Dante Fabbro1 day ago

Returns Against Predators
Olli Määttä1 day ago

Olli Maatta A Game-Time Call On Tuesday
Jordan Spieth2 days ago

Needs To Find Consistency At TPC San Antonio
Jake Knapp2 days ago

Making First Appearance At Valero Texas Open
Michael Kim2 days ago

Looking To Find The Magic Again In San Antonio
Tommy Fleetwood2 days ago

Is Nearly A Must-Play At Valero Texas Open
Tony Finau2 days ago

Hoping For Better Approach Play In San Antonio
Eric Cole2 days ago

Trending In Right Direction Ahead Of Valero
Sam Stevens2 days ago

Enjoys Nice Result In Houston
PGA2 days ago

J.T. Poston Seeks To Contend At Valero Texas Open
Denny McCarthy2 days ago

Keeps Making Cuts But Needs To Make More Putts
Brian Harman2 days ago

Off To A Subpar 2025 So Far
Ryan Preece2 days ago

Has Three Straight Top-10 Finishes For First Time In His Career
NASCAR2 days ago

Bubba Wallace After Third-Place Finish At Martinsville: "What a Great Day"
Todd Gilliland2 days ago

Has Mistake-Free Day At Martinsville, Grabs Another Top-10 Finish
Brandon Moreno2 days ago

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Steve Erceg2 days ago

Losses Third Consecutive Fight
Drew Dober2 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres2 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Harry Hall2 days ago

Bounces Back In Houston Last Week
CJ Vergara2 days ago

Gets Submitted
Édgar Cháirez2 days ago

Edgar Chairez Gets Submission Win At UFC Mexico City
Vince Morales2 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Mexico City
Raul Rosas Jr.2 days ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Mexico City
Saimon Oliveira2 days ago

Still Winless In The UFC
David Martinez2 days ago

Wins His UFC Debut
Kevin Borjas2 days ago

Earns His First UFC Win
Ronaldo Rodríguez2 days ago

Ronaldo Rodriguez Suffers His First UFC Loss
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Powers His Way To A Second-Place Finish At Martinsville
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Strong Martinsville Performance Ends With A Top-Five Finish
Kyle Larson3 days ago

Collects A Top-Five Finish At Martinsville
William Byron3 days ago

Places 22nd After Struggles At Martinsville
Joey Logano3 days ago

Claims His First 2025 Top-10 Finish After Up-And-Down Performance
Tyler Reddick3 days ago

Fails To Place In The Top 10 At Martinsville
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

Silences Doubters After Crew-Chief Change
Ty Gibbs3 days ago

Earns Best 2025 Finish At Martinsville Despite Failing Cool Suit
Ross Chastain3 days ago

Has A Great Day At Martinsville
Chase Briscoe3 days ago

Has Solid Run At Martinsville
Erik Jones3 days ago

Disqualified At Martinsville For Weight Violation
Josh Berry4 days ago

Has Top-10 Upside At Martinsville
Joey Logano4 days ago

Don't Overlook Joey Logano This Weekend
Ryan Preece4 days ago

Could Get First Three-Race Top-10 Streak Of His Career
Chase Elliott4 days ago

Looking To Continue Great Runs At Martinsville
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Wins Pole At Martinsville, But Can He Stay Up There?
Ryan Blaney4 days ago

Fast In Practice But Skeptical About Car
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

New Crew Chief Has Terrible Martinsville Record
Steve Erceg5 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Brandon Moreno5 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres5 days ago

Set For Co-Main Event
Drew Dober6 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Mexico City
Joe Pyfer6 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Kelvin Gastelum6 days ago

Set For Middleweight Matchup
Vince Morales6 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Raul Rosas Jr.6 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Saimon Oliveira6 days ago

Looks For His First UFC Win
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
UFL RANKINGS, FANTASY FOOTBALL,

UFL Fantasy Football Rankings for Week 2: QB, RB, WR, TE Rankings and Analysis (2025)

Week 2 of the UFL season is just around the corner. This week will feature one game on Friday, one game on Saturday, and two on Sunday. Birmingham and Michigan will play at 8:00 p.m. EDT on Friday, followed by Memphis-D.C. on Saturday at 8:00 p.m. EDT. Sunday's game pits the 1-0 Renegades against the […]


Calvin Ridley - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL DFS Picks, Draft Sleepers

Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings: Overvalued, Undervalued Players (2025)

Dynasty fantasy football rankings constantly shift, especially as we inch closer to the new season and fantasy drafts. Dynasty managers know the importance of finding those underrated players who could be steals in drafts or trades. They also know some players are overhyped due to unsustainable trends or past production. I'll break down two overvalued […]


Justin Fields - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Best Fantasy Football Moves During 2025 NFL Free Agency

It has been a wild offseason so far in the NFL. Plenty of players have switched teams in free agency, and some stars were even traded. Deebo Samuel Sr. was dealt to the Washington Commanders, Geno Smith was traded to the Las Vegas Raiders, and DK Metcalf has a new home with the Pittsburgh Steelers. These […]


Tyreek Hill - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Three Aging Fantasy Football Players To Sell In Dynasty Leagues

It's hard to always know when to sell off your aging fantasy football players. Often, it's also difficult to accept that it's better to move on from a player when he's coming off a productive season and still has a lot left in the tank. But I believe it's better to be a year early […]


J.J. McCarthy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Draft Sleepers

Five Fantasy Football Superflex Quarterback Breakouts, Draft Targets (2025)

If you’ve ever played in a Superflex fantasy football league, then you know how important quarterbacks are in this format. The ability to start multiple stud quarterbacks can carry you to a Superflex title. Unfortunately, finding two such players isn’t so easy. All the top signal-callers come off draft boards first, and that makes it […]


Omarion Hampton - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks - NFL Draft

Ideal Landing Spots For The Top 12 Fantasy Football Rookies - 2025 NFL Draft

Then, the NFL Draft continues to inch closer and closer. This is a very interesting class, with a handful of players who could be stars in the NFL and reshape fantasy football leagues going forward. Here are the ideal landing spots for the top 12 fantasy football rookies. These picks exist in conversation with each […]


Jalen Coker - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Eight Best Ball Late Round Value Fantasy Football Players To Target For 2025

Fantasy football is the most popular game in all of sports. It has gone from a paper-and-pen game to a multi-million dollar-a-year one. While redraft leagues are the most popular form of fantasy football, best ball leagues are quickly gaining steam. The best part of best ball leagues is the ability to draft thousands of […]


Abdul Carter - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2025 NFL Draft Rankings: Top 10 Fantasy Football Edge Rusher Prospects

Edge rusher is the most important, most coveted, and most highly-paid position on defense in the NFL. It stands to reason that the most important position in the entire game being quarterback, and by a wide margin, means the most important position on defense are the players that are tasked with disrupting opposing QBs as […]


Brock Purdy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Picks

Brock Purdy Dynasty Fantasy Football Outlook and Trade Value

Despite becoming the all-time leading passer for the Iowa State Cyclones, Brock Purdy wasn't a highly touted prospect due to his perceived lack of athleticism. The 49ers picked him with the final pick of the 2022 NFL Draft, but Mr. Irrelevant quickly proved everyone wrong. In his first two years, he started in back-to-back NFC […]


Michael Florio's Football Show - Podcast RotoBaller Network

Florio's Football Show: Scouting NFL Draft Prospects!

Michael F Florio goes over some of the top prospects from this years NFL Draft. Florio talks about what he looks for when watching prospect tape and explains what traits translate best to the NFL level. Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (SiriusXM channel 87) on Sundays from 6-7 am. You can […]


Najee Harris - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Dynasty Fantasy Football Buy or Sell: Najee Harris, Rico Dowdle, Jordan Mason

One year ago, we discussed the futures of Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, Saquon Barkley, and Aaron Jones as those free agents found new homes. This year's headliners are Najee Harris, Rico Dowdle, and Jordan Mason. Not quite the same. Still, with every transaction come implications for dynasty fantasy football rosters across the globe. Below, we […]


Romeo Doubs - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Early 2025 Fantasy Football Sleepers: Undervalued NFC Draft Targets

While the 2025 fantasy football redraft season is still several months away, there is no such thing as being too prepared for your fantasy draft. Fantasy football is year-round, even for those who only play in redraft leagues. The landscape of fantasy football will change between today and the start of redraft season, with the […]


Detroit Lions Defense, Aidan Hutchinson - Fantasy Football DST Rankings, Streamers, IDP Sleepers

2025 Fantasy Football IDP Sleepers: Five Draft Targets

It's notably difficult to identify sleepers in fantasy football IDP leagues. The skill of the players in question is very important, but situation also plays a large factor, as does a recent history of injuries. Rather than bucketing them into groups, it's better to analyze each one individually, look at where they are in terms […]