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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Sunday, April 16th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Timberwolves @ Nuggets
The Timberwolves take on the Nuggets on Sunday, April 16th at Ball Arena, Denver. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Minnesota Timberwolves (42-40) vs. Denver Nuggets (53-29)
- Date: Sunday, April 16th
- Time: 10:30 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Timberwolves @ Nuggets
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Timberwolves
- Rudy Gobert (Questionable) Back
- Jaylen Nowell (Questionable) Knee
- Naz Reid (Out) Wrist
- Jaden McDaniels (Out) Hand
Nuggets
- Collin Gillespie (Out) Lower Leg
Minnesota Timberwolves - NBA Betting Analysis
The Timberwolves enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 120-95 win over the Thunder. Karl-Anthony Towns and his 28 led the way for the Timberwolves. Not only did Minnesota win the game, but they also covered the spread as 5.5-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 42-40, placing them 8th in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 22-19 at home and 20-21 on the road. Even though the Timberwolves have rattled off five straight wins against the spread, their overall ATS record is 42-42.
Over their last five games, the Timberwolves' are averaging 118 points per game. For the season, Minnesota is ranked 16th at 115.8 points per contest. In today's game, look for the Timberwolves to try and dictate the pace of play, as their average of 101.2 possessions per game is 4th in the leauge. Additionally, Minnesota have shot the ball well from outside this season, ranking 3rd in three-point shooting percentage (36.5%). So far, their per game assist average of 26.2 per game is 4th in the NBA.
Defensively, the Timberwolves come into the game with a field goal percentage allowed of 46.1% (11th). Overall, Minnesota's defense is giving up an average of 113.3 points per game, ranking 18th in the NBA. Despite their struggles on the defensive glass, ranking 18th in defensive rebounds per game, they are forcing turnovers at a high clip, averaging 14.8 per game, which puts them at 3rd in the league.
Denver Nuggets - NBA Betting Analysis
The Nuggets enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 109-95 win over the Kings. Bruce Brown and his 21 led the way for the Nuggets. Denver was the 5.0 point underdog heading into the game, giving them an ATS win.
With the win, the team has moved to 53-29, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 34-7 at home and 19-22 on the road. This season, Denver's ATS record sits at 44-37.
Currently, the Nuggets are ranked 17th among all NBA teams with an average of 115.8 points per game. However, if their recent performance is any indication, they may drop in the rankings soon. Over their last five games, they have averaged just 110 points per contest. Denver's three-point shooting numbers have been impressive this year, ranking 8th in the NBA with a shooting percentage of 37.9%. However, their overall numbers have suffered from an average pace of 97.9 possessions per game, which is just 29th. Their current field goal percentage of 50.4% is 2nd in the league.
Your MVP finalist HOOPED this season 🃏 pic.twitter.com/bDzv7yx4wO
— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) April 15, 2023
Denver's defense will take the court ranked 18th in the league at 113.3 points per game. Despite their struggles on the defensive glass, ranking 34.9 in defensive rebounds per contest, and generating turnovers at a below-average rate of 13.8 per game, the unit has managed to maintain league average numbers. So far, opponents have shot 46.1% from the field and 34.9% from beyond the arc.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Heading into the 4th meeting of the season between the Nuggets and Timberwolves, each team has two wins and will be looking to get the leg in the head-to-head series. The last time the teams met up, the Timberwolves won by a score of 124-111 as the 4.0 point underdogs (124-111). Together the teams combined to score 235 points which was more than the over/under line of 231.0.
In the Timberwolves' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 3-2 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 3-0 ATS and 2-1 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 2-8 with an average of 228 points per contest.
Across Denver's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 1-4 straight-up. As the favorite, the Nuggets are 0-3 straight up on an average scoring differential of 4 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 0-3. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 222 points per game and an over/under mark of 2-8.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: DEN -7.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 224.5
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