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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Thursday, June 1st.
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Today's Betting Overview - Heat @ Nuggets
The Heat take on the Nuggets on Thursday, June 1st at Ball Arena, Denver. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Miami Heat (44-38) vs. Denver Nuggets (53-29)
- Date: Thursday, June 1st
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Heat @ Nuggets
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Heat & Nuggets Key Injuries
Heat
- Victor Oladipo (Out) Knee
- Tyler Herro (Out) Hand
Nuggets
- NONE
Miami Heat - NBA Betting Analysis
The Heat enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 103-84 win over the Celtics. Jimmy Butler and his 28 led the way for the Heat. Miami was the 7.0-point underdog heading into the game, giving them an ATS win.
With the win, the team has moved to 44-38, placing them 8th in the Eastern Conference. So far this season, they have gone 27-14 at home and 17-24 on the road. Even though the Heat have rattled off two straight wins against the spread, their overall ATS record is 45-55.
The Heat come into today's game ranked just 38th in scoring at 109.5 points per contest. Across their last five games, the unit is averaging 106 points per game. So far this season, the Heat are ranked 39th in pace at 96.2 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, Miami has found success when stepping beyond the arc, ranking 4th in three-point shooting percentage. The team's overall field goal percentage of 46.0% is 30th in the NBA.
This season, the Heat have allowed an average of 105.6 points per game, good for 2nd in the league. In terms of three-point shooting, opponents have knocked down 34.0% of their looks from beyond the arc (13th) and 44.8% of their overall field goal attempts. Miami's overall defensive numbers have been good despite the unit's struggles on the glass, sitting just 15th in defensive rebounds per game. The Heat are also a below-average group in forced turnovers, at just 12.8 per game.
Denver Nuggets - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the Lakers by a score of 113-111, the Nuggets are riding a six-game win streak. Nikola Jokic led the way in scoring with 30 points. Denver was the 3.5-point underdog heading into the game, giving them an ATS win.
With the win, the team has moved to 53-29, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 34-7 at home and 19-22 on the road. The Nuggets have a 2-game win streak against the spread and have an overall ATS mark of 53-43.
The Nuggets enter as one of the top-scoring offenses in the league, with 115.8 points per game through 97 games (12th). Additionally, they have averaged 119 points per game in their last five games. Throughout the season, the Nuggets have been among the top three-point shooting teams in the league, making 37.9% of their shots from beyond the arc (2nd). Despite ranking 30th in pace with 97.9 possessions per game, their efficient three-point shooting has compensated. Their overall field goal percentage currently stands at 50.4% and is ranked 1st.
This season, Denver has put together a strong defensive unit, allowing just 105.6 points per game (2nd). But despite their strong overall numbers, they have been vulnerable on the glass, sitting just 15th in defensive rebounds per game. Yet, the Nuggets have been excellent at forcing turnovers, averaging 13.8 per game, placing them 1st in the NBA. For the season, they have allowed teams to hit 34.0% of their three-point shots and 44.8% of their overall shots from the field.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Heat vs. Nuggets
The Nuggets currently have a leg up in this year's season series against the Heat. Across two games, the Nuggets have a record of 2-0. The previous time these two teams faced off resulted in both a straight-up and ATS win for the Nuggets. Going into the game, Denver was the 1.0-point underdog. The over/under line for this matchup was set at 217.5 points.
In the Heat's previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 4-1 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 2-1 ATS and 2-1 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 5-5 with an average of 219 points per contest.
Across Denver's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 3-2 straight-up. As the favorite, the Nuggets are 3-0 straight up on an average scoring differential of 13 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 1-2. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 232 points per game and an over/under mark of 5-5.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: MIA +9
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 219.0
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