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ANALYSIS: Pivetta has been somewhat inconsistent all season long, as he currently sports a 9-6 record, 4.43 ERA and 1.286 WHIP with a 26.2 percent strikeout rate over 126 innings of work. His last four starts highlight that inconsistency perfectly, as in that span he has two outings in which he allowed a combined seven runs over 6 1/3 innings of work, while in the other two starts he's allowed a total of one run over 12 innings.
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His second outing of the week will figure to be a much better matchup for Pivetta, as he is pitching much better this year on the road (3.56 ERA, 1.142 WHIP) than at home (5.37 ERA, 1.442 WHIP). Cleveland has hit better at home this year (.237/.307/.410) than on the road (.228/.293/.394), and they have been hitting well recently with a .224/.317/.408 triple-slash line over their last 10 games. But they are also hitting slightly worse against right-handed pitching (.232/.296/.401, 23.4 K%) than against lefties (.234/.306/.402, 22.9 K%).
Pivetta is a bit of a risky play this week just based on his inconsistency alone. And then the matchups here aren't necessarily the best possible starts for him. However, he should be in line for a good week of strikeout value, and so he should be targeted by managers who are looking for help in that area.
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