NFL Week 11 Predictions: Picks and Analysis for Every Game Including Thursday Night Football

Welcome to Week 11, football fans! We kicked off Week 10 with a Thursday night banger and the same can be said for the Week 11 matchup between the Eagles and Commanders, as serious divisional ramifications are at play tonight.

The fun doesn't stop after Thursday night, either. Some of the must-watch matchups on the Week 11 slate include the Ravens vs. Steelers, Bengals vs. Chargers, and Chiefs vs. Bills. This is gonna be a fun week.

Good, bad, and ugly...we'll go through every Week 11 game in this article, offering picks, predictions, and analysis on each and every one. Thanks for joining us here at RotoBaller; let's dive into the slate!

Philadelphia Eagles 28, Washington Commanders 24

After kicking off last week with a Thursday night banger, football fans will again be treated to an excellent matchup in Week 11 with the Eagles taking on the Commanders. Washington's rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has exceeded even the highest of expectations in his first NFL campaign while leading the long-dormant Commanders to a 7-3 start. This divisional clash will have serious ramifications in the battle for the NFC East title.

Must see football tonight: Commanders vs Eagles 👀🍿 pic.twitter.com/AS81Xx7mG0

— NFL on FOX Podcast (@NFLonFOXPod) November 14, 2024

After somewhat of a sluggish start, the Eagles enter Week 11 as the winners of five straight. Philly's offense is beginning to click on all cylinders, as this attack led by Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley has outscored opponents by 20 or more points in three of their last five.

The Eagles will run into their toughest test in weeks against the upstart Commanders, but look for Philly to come out on top at home while dominating on the ground against a Washington defense that's allowing 5.0 yards per carry this season.

Green Bay Packers 24, Chicago Bears 13

Bears head coach Matt Eberflus fired offensive coordinator Shane Waldron earlier this week following a three-game losing streak in which the Chicago offense had totaled just 27 points. A proverbial dead man walking himself, Eberflus will need a miracle to right the Bears' sinking ship, especially this week against a tough Green Bay squad.

The Packers come in off a bye, which should have given quarterback Jordan Love the opportunity to get healthy from what's been a season plagued by nagging injuries. Assuming he's finally right physically, Love and this deep group of Green Bay pass-catchers should easily outpace the floundering Bears.

Detroit Lions 31, Jacksonville Jaguars 13

The Lions enter Week 11 on the heels of a huge comeback road win against the Texans on Sunday Night Football. It was the seventh consecutive win for Dan Campbell's crew and illustrated that Detroit is capable of winning on the road against a good team without playing their best football.

This week the Lions are at home against a bad team in the Jacksonville Jaguars in what profiles as a bloodbath on paper. The Jags mustered just seven points in a Week 10 loss to Minnesota while being forced to roll with Mac Jones under center in place of an injured Trevor Lawrence.

It won't matter who takes the snaps for Jacksonville this week...Detroit is on a serious roll that won't be stopped by the Jaguars.

Miami Dolphins 27, Las Vegas Raiders 14

The Dolphins showed some signs of life with a Monday night win over the L.A. Rams. It was the team's first victory since Week 5, and at 3-6, they desperately need to start racking up some wins.

There's a strong chance to do just that in Week 11, as the lowly Raiders travel to South Beach for a 1:00 ET kick. Las Vegas had a bye in Week 10, but they could have a month and still struggle to put an effective offensive game plan into place. The Silver & Black have serious QB issues and currently sit 30th in the NFL in points scored per game.

Los Angeles Rams 20, New England Patriots 17

Just when the Rams appear to be getting healthy and set to make a run, they drop a very winnable home game to Miami on Monday Night Football. Sean McVay's group heads to Foxboro on a short week sitting one game under .500 and in need of a victory.

Drake Maye has continued to impress during his rookie campaign, despite being surrounded by an embarrassing lack of offensive talent. Rams rookie Jared Verse should feast on New England's swinging gate offensive line and L.A. could force Maye into some costly mistakes. Finally back at full strength with Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp, L.A.'s offense should be able to generate enough points to squeak by in this one.

Cleveland Browns 24, New Orleans Saints 23

The Saints claimed a shocking home win over the Falcons in their first game without Dennis Allen. The "interim coach bump" is indeed real, but how long can Darren Rizzi's magic last with such a banged-up and talent-starved roster?

New Orleans will again be in the friendly confines of the Superdome this week against the Browns, which should help to keep this one close. Cleveland comes in off a Week 10 bye in what will mark Jameis Winston's return to the Big Easy.

This Browns squad is better than their 2-7 record and should pick up some wins now that Deshaun Watson is sidelined for the remainder of the season.

Pittsburgh Steelers 21, Baltimore Ravens 20

One of Week 11's marquee matchups, two of the NFL's best teams will face off in this AFC North showdown. Mike Tomlin's decision to replace Justin Fields with Russell Wilson wasn't without controversy, but it's undoubtedly paid off for the Steelers, who have won three straight with Wilson under center.

#Steelers QB Russell Wilson on what he expects vs. the #Ravens.

“It’s gonna be tough. It’s gonna be physical. It’s gonna be a great game, and a lot of great players on both sides of the football. Obviously, there’s a lot of history and we gotta bring our best.” pic.twitter.com/OnmjsyDdrf

— Aaron Becker (@Aaron_M_Becker) November 14, 2024

The Ravens travel to Pittsburgh with Lamar Jackson once again playing at an MVP-caliber level. Baltimore has scored 30 or more points in six of their last seven games. However, this AFC North matchup has traditionally been a low-scoring affair with neither team scoring over 20 points in any of their last five meetings.

The high-octane Ravens will undoubtedly be the popular pick here, but give me the Steelers and the points at home in what should be a tight one.

Minnesota Vikings 24, Tennessee Titans 10

Minnesota squeaked by Jacksonville in Week 10 and will travel to face another AFC South opponent in the Tennessee Titans this week. Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold continues to regress after a hot start, and star running back Aaron Jones enters this one banged up.

Despite Minnesota's sluggish recent outings, they should still be able to control an abysmal Tennessee squad that limps in at 2-7. Will Levis is back under center for an offense that currently ranks 31st in the NFL in passing yards per game. Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores will have a field day scheming for the turnover-prone Levis.

New York Jets 20, Indianapolis Colts 14

Two of the league's toughest-to-predict teams meet in New York, as the Jets will try to rebound from a Week 10 beatdown at the hands of Arizona. Indy will try to snap a three-game skid by going back to Anthony Richardson at quarterback following two ineffective starts from Joe Flacco. Yeah...this game is a hot mess.

This one feels both unpredictable and destined to be close. The Colts have struggled mightily on the road and sport just a 1-4 record away from Lucas Oil Stadium. Though last week's loss felt like a backbreaker for Gang Green, they should be able to rise up and grind out a win at home against an Indy offense that has been scuffling.

Denver Broncos 23, Atlanta Falcons 20

Both of these squads suffered heartbreaking divisional losses last week, thanks in large part to the kicking game. Atlanta kicker Younghoe Koo missed multiple attempts in a loss to the Saints, while the Broncos had a game-winning attempt blocked at the buzzer in their upset bid against Kansas City.

These squads have each been impressive in their own way this season. Denver has settled on relying on their defense and keeping things relatively simple for rookie QB Bo Nix, while Atlanta's passing attack has been awakened by the arrival of Kirk Cousins. Look for the Broncos' defense to make just enough plays to come out on top in this one, and for Denver to clinch this game with a last-second field goal in a bit of irony.

San Francisco 49ers 28, Seattle Seahawks 23

Finally getting healthy, the Niners welcomed Christian McCaffrey to the lineup for the first time in 2024 last week. CMC was far from eased in, as he handled 13 carries and six targets in San Fran's victory over Tampa Bay.

Seattle comes in off a much-needed bye week. The losers of five of their last six, the Seahawks were thumped by the Niners earlier this season and need this one to stay in touch in the NFC West race.

Mike Macdonald's defense is allowing the seventh-most yards per game in the league this season. Brock Purdy with a full complement of weapons (minus Brandon Aiyuk) should be able to take advantage of this plus matchup.

Kansas City Chiefs 27, Buffalo Bills 24

Undoubtedly the marquee game of the week, the still-undefeated Chiefs travel to Buffalo to face the 8-2 Bills. This has been perhaps the NFL's best "rivalry" over the past few years, as superstar quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen have put forth several instant classics.

“I got the skepticism two years. I got it last year, even though I thought it was foolish. This year, it seems on its face absurd.”@getnickwright on whether it’s disrespectful to have the Chiefs as 2-pt underdogs vs. Bills: pic.twitter.com/1fYSL9fMgc

— First Things First (@FTFonFS1) November 13, 2024

Speaking of Mahomes, he rarely gets to play the role of underdog, but Kansas City is listed as a two-point dog as of this writing. He's made those who bet against him pay, going 11-3 straight up and 12-1-1 against the spread in his career when listed as an underdog by the oddsmakers.

While I have all the respect in the world for Josh Allen and the Bills, I'm not betting against Mahomes in this spot.

Cincinnati Bengals 23, Los Angeles Chargers 21

We close out Sunday's action with a primetime matchup that's a true contrast in styles. The Bengals are one of the NFL's most high-flying offenses, while the Chargers defense is allowing the fewest points per game in the league this season.

It's no surprise that Jim Harbaugh has already changed the culture in L.A., as his team has completely bought into his physical philosophy. Quarterback Justin Herbert has been spectacular when called upon, something that's been more frequent in recent weeks.

Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase have simply been too good to be 4-6. Tee Higgins is expected back this week, which might make this passing attack too much...even for the Chargers.

Houston Texans 27, Dallas Cowboys 16 (Monday Night Football)

The Texans unraveled against the Lions in Week 10 but should be able to quickly rebound against a Cowboys squad that's circling the drain. Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott is officially done for the year, and at 3-6, star wideout CeeDee Lamb might not be too far away from being shut down.

As we've seen in recent weeks, the Houston offensive line is a real issue. While the return of all-world Micah Parsons might help the Cowboys give C.J. Stroud some problems, this Dallas defensive unit has been one of the worst in the league this season by nearly every metric. On offense, some combination of Cooper Rush and/or Trey Lance will be at the helm of the 'Boys offense, but neither should find much success against a Houston unit that fields an excellent pass-rushing group.

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