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Happy Saturday, RotoBallers! Welcome to our Underdog Fantasy NFL DFS prop picks for the Sunday Night Game on Sunday, November 5, 2023. Welcome to our brand new NFL DFS series covering Underdog Fantasy contests! We will continue to focus on the NFL DFS props offered on Underdog called Higher/Lower (Over/Under).
Higher/Lower is traditional over/under DFS prop picks -- whether you think a player will score Over or Under the set lines, and choose your amount. You can parlay multiple picks together to vastly increase the juice (e.g., three picks = 6x your bet). Underdog Fantasy offers some of the industry's best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games. At Underdog Fantasy, you're not playing against other people -- you're just playing against the projections.
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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Sunday Night Slate
Be sure also to check out our brand new Props Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
Tyler Boyd, 36.5 Receiving Yards (LOWER)
Tyler Boyd is entering Sunday Night Football coming off of a low target share of 9% in Week 8. On the season, he holds just a 17% target share. With what should be a difficult matchup versus the Buffalo Bills, Boyd is projected for just 30 receiving yards. With that, he has an implied total of -110 (52.38%) to hit the under when using the Proptimizer. Ja'Marr Chase leads the wide receiver group in target shares but the next man up is Tee Higgins. Boyd has had many opportunities this season as he has 44 targets through eight games but is coming off of having just three in Week 8. The Cincinnati Bengals offense is finally clicking but there are better options to roll with in this game.
Dalton Kincaid, 38.5 Receiving Yards (HIGHER)
The rookie, Dalton Kincaid, has taken over the TE1 role very well as Dawson Knox was moved to the injured reserve list. He has now hit the over of 39.5 receiving yards in back-to-back weeks. In Week 7, he recorded eight receptions on eight targets for 75 yards. In Week 8, he recorded five receptions off of seven targets for 65 yards and found the endzone for the first time this season. In those two weeks, his target share was 22% and 18%, the two highest of the season. He is now in a great spot as the Cincinnati Bengals are the worst team at defending opposing tight ends. With a low total of 39.5 receiving yards, Kincaid has made light work of it in the past two weeks and hopes to do it again this Sunday.
James Cook, 48.5 Rushing Yards (LOWER)
James Cook has had a very up-and-down season so far. With just finding the endzone once and with Leonard Fournette being signed this past week, it may get more wild. Cook holds an implied total of -108 (51.92%) to hit the under using the Proptimizer. It is a low total of 48.5 rushing yards and one he has hit this season but Cincinnati is ranked 18th in stopping opposing running backs. Mix that with Fournette most likely stealing touches in short-yardage situations and the red zone, James Cook may be seen less. Latavius Murray had already taken shares of the rushing attempts and this backfield is now becoming too crowded to look appealing.
Joe Burrow, 262.5 Passing Yards (LOWER)
Joe Burrow has a pretty high total when it comes to passing yards. With the total being 262.5 passing yards, Burrow has only hit this mark twice this season in seven games. His highest being 317 yards versus the Arizona Cardinals in Week 5. Even surpassing 250 passing yards has been a struggle for Burrows. He has been declared 100% healthy but a lot will show in this matchup versus the Buffalo Bills. On top of that, his completion rate is sitting at just 66.29% with Ja'Marr Chase being the only true threat that is doing something. While this game can turn into a shootout, the two quarterbacks in this game are not projected to pass for their totals meaning we may see a low-scoring game.
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