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Happy Friday, RotoBallers! Welcome to our Underdog Fantasy NFL DFS prop picks for Week 6, Sunday Late Slate. Welcome to our brand new NFL DFS series covering Underdog Fantasy contests! We will continue to focus on the NFL DFS props offered on Underdog called Higher/Lower (Over/Under).
Higher/Lower is traditional over/under DFS prop picks -- whether you think a player will score Over or Under the set lines, and choose your amount. You can parlay multiple picks together to vastly increase the juice (e.g., three picks = 6x your bet). Underdog Fantasy offers some of the industry's best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games. At Underdog Fantasy, you're not playing against other people -- you're just playing against the projections.
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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Sunday 10/15
Be sure also to check out our brand new Props Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
Breece Hall, 54.5 Rushing Yards (HIGHER)
Robert Saleh stayed true to his word in Week 5 and gave Breece Hall the full workload. Coming off of a huge game, Hall rushed for 177 yards off of 22 carries and found the end zone versus the Denver Broncos. He had a 52% snap share compared to Dalvin Cook's 16%, proving he's the lead back in this offense. He should be in line for some heavy work once again as the New York Jets are facing the Philadelphia Eagles this Sunday.
Using the Proptimizer, Hall has an implied total of -107 (51.69%) to hit the over in his rushing total. While the Eagles do have one of the top run-stop defenses, the Jets will rely on Hall to give Zach Wilson some relief. Especially if Saleh gives Breece Hall another 22 carries type of game.
A.J. Brown, 65.5 Receiving Yards (HIGHER)
65.5 receiving yards is a challenge to some wide receivers. However, for A.J. Brown, it's a walk in the park. Brown has now recorded three straight games of 125 receiving yards or more. He recorded nine catches for 131 receiving yards in Week 3, nine catches for 175 receiving yards in Week 4, and six receptions for 127 receiving yards in Week 5.
Brown is averaging a target share of 32% on the season while being lined up for a route 93% of the time. On top of that, Jalen Hurts has put his receivers in a great position to succeed as Brown is averaging a 78% catchable rate through the first five weeks.
Tyler Higbee, 32.5 Receiving Yards (LOWER)
Tyler Higbee could perhaps be in one of the worst spots but in a good way with the Los Angeles Rams. While he's a very consistent tight end, Cooper Kupp returned to action in Week 5. The duo of Kupp and Puka Nacua shined in their first game playing together. Higbee took the backseat and finished with two receptions for 20 yards.
With one of the highest implied totals in the Proptimizer, Higbee is at -141 (58.51%) to go under 32.5 receiving yards. He's projected for just 30 receiving yards and even that might be too generous.
Kyren Williams, 64.5 Rushing Yards (HIGHER)
Similar to Tyler Higbee, Kyren Williams may have taken a slight hit with Cooper Kupp returning. However, he gets a solid matchup versus this Arizona Cardinals defense. The Cardinals give up the second-most points to running backs currently.
With no one to vulture carries from Williams, he will get the workload if the ground game clicks on Sunday. He has an 85% snap share with 73% of the rushing attempts on the season. Ronnie Rivers did cut into the rushing shares in Week 4 at 26% but quickly declined in Week 5 at 8%. Nearing a projection at 70 rushing yards versus Arizona's run defense, Williams should be successful in Week 6.
Other Plays: D'Andre Swift 64.5 rushing yards (HIGHER), Tyler Conklin 26.5 receiving yards (HIGHER), Matt Prater 1.5 FG made (HIGHER)
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