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Happy Monday, RotoBallers! Welcome to our Underdog Fantasy NFL DFS prop picks for the games on Monday, December 18, 2023. Welcome to our brand new NFL DFS series covering Underdog Fantasy contests! We will continue to focus on the NFL DFS props offered on Underdog called Higher/Lower (Over/Under).
Higher/Lower is traditional over/under DFS prop picks -- whether you think a player will score Over or Under the set lines, and choosing your amount. You can parlay multiple picks together to vastly increase the juice (e.g., three picks = 6x your bet). Underdog Fantasy offers some of the industry's best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games. At Underdog Fantasy, you're not playing against other people -- you're just playing against the projections.
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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Monday, December 18
Be sure also to check out our brand new Props Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
Jalen Hurts, 247.5 Passing Yards (LOWER)
Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts is officially listed as questionable for Monday night's contest against the Seattle Seahawks. Hurts' appearance on the injury report is due to an illness, but he is expected to be available for the game tonight. If the illness limits Hurts in any way, his production could be affected. Even when healthy, the Eagles quarterback has only eclipsed 247 passing yards in one of his last five games.
DeVonta Smith, 56.5 Receiving Yards (LOWER)
Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith had been excellent in the absence of tight end Dallas Goedert. Still, the data shows that Smith's role in the passing attack is typically diminished when Goedert is active. That is not to say that Smith is incapable of big games with Goedert playing; it simply means his production is more inconsistent. The Eagles wide receiver performed well in Goedert's first game back, but I expect him to stay under 57 receiving yards tonight.
Kenneth Walker III, 46.5 Rushing Yards (LOWER)
Seattle Seahawks running back Kenneth Walker III has been one of the most explosive running backs in the league this season, but his stats have been lackluster when he cannot break off a big play. Walker faces the Philadelphia Eagles, one of the best run defenses in the league, on Monday night. Walker was held under 22 rushing yards three times in his last four games with disadvantageous matchups. I also expect Zach Charbonnet to be involved, which puts a cap on Walker's opportunities.
A.J. Brown, 81.5 Receiving Yards (HIGHER)
Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown has been the top target in the passing attack the entire season. After a solid year last season, Brown has established himself as one of the best receivers in the league this year. Brown faces the Seattle Seahawks on Monday night. The Seahawks have allowed the 12th-most passing yards this season. The Eagles star receiver has also been over 81 receiving yards in eight of 13 games this season.
DK Metcalf, 62.5 Receiving Yards (HIGHER)
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver DK Metcalf has dominated the target share in the passing attack when Geno Smith has been active. With Smith listed as questionable and trending towards being out, Metcalf may have to rely on Drew Lock to throw him passes. A quarterback downgrade will make this line less appealing, but the matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles is juicy. The Eagles are one of the best matchups for wide receivers, giving up the fifth-most passing yards and second-most passing touchdowns.
Jake Elliott, 2.5 XP Made (HIGHER)
Philadelphia Eagles kicker Jake Elliott has been one of the most accurate kickers in the league, scoring on 92% of his field goal attempts and 97.2% of his extra point attempts. The Eagles are four-point favorites with an implied team total of 24.5 points on Monday night. That implied team total suggests that Vegas believes the Eagles will likely score at least three touchdowns.
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