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NFL Survivor Pool Picks: Week 5 Targets and Avoids (2024)

Jordan Love - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Targets, NFL Injury News

Welcome to our NFL Survivor Pool Picks for Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season! There are so many different pools, fantasy leagues, weekly bets, and futures bets that it's hard to decide what to do with all of these choices. But survivor pools are the oldest and simplest leagues out there. All you have to do is pick a team and have them win, but you can't choose them again.

All season long, I'll bring you weekly survivor pool advice for NFL teams to target and teams to avoid each week. Survivor league strategy is a major part of winning your pools, and this article will help you through the 2024 NFL season. We're ready to preview Week 5 and get you through the early season weeks.

We're at the bye weeks here, so the picks get even tougher than they have been. With four teams (Eagles, Lions, Chargers, Titans) off this week, let's look at some teams to target and avoid for survivor pools in Week 5.

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Implied Point Totals, Point Spreads, and Over/Under Totals for Week 5

For detailed Survivor League strategy, and tips to help you win your league, check out our "How to win your Survivor League" guide.

Before jumping into the picks for Week 5, it's helpful to get an overview of the slate with implied point totals, point spreads, and over/under totals from betting markets. All implied totals come courtesy of FantasyLabs each week.

W5 Survivor

Now, let's take a look at the survivor pool pick recommendations to target and avoid for Week 5.

 

Top Survivor Pool Picks to Target for Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs. NYG

With the Giants heading to the Pacific Northwest to face the Seahawks in Week 5, the Seahawks should be salivating at this matchup. Seattle is more than a touchdown favorite (6.5) against the Giants and the Giants head in with a low 18.5-point implied point total.

That number could shrink considerably if Malik Nabers cannot clear concussion protocol. Even if he does, he hasn't seen a defensive scheme from the likes of Seahawks head coach and defensive guru Mike Macdonald yet.

Not only that, but the Giants defense is just ordinary and the Seahawks found their groove in defeat on Monday night against the Lions. Kenneth Walker III ran for three touchdowns and the passing game was highly concentrated on DK Metcalf, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Tyler Lockett.

With offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb's offense starting to click, look for the comfortability to rise, and with that, a more potent offense than the Giants can handle. The Seahawks don't have very many matchups to use until later in the season, so lock in Seattle in Week 5.

Green Bay Packers vs. LAR

With Jordan Love back in the saddle for the Packers, they'll head west to SoFi Stadium to face the Los Angeles Rams as 3.0-point favorites on the road.

The Rams just haven't been consistent in their passing game since Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua have been hurt. While they still have Kyren Williams as the engine of their offense, having to rely on Jordan Whittington, Demarcus Robinson, and Tutu Atwell to move the ball just isn't very scary for an opportunistic defense led by Xavier McKinney, who has one interception in every game he's played this season.

The Packers may have lost last week against the Vikings at home, but they mounted a furious comeback and came within a field goal of winning the game. It's going to take a Herculean effect for Matthew Stafford and company to keep pace with the Packers offense, who have the fourth-highest implied point total of the Week 5 slate at 25.75 points.

We'll take the Packers to dispatch the Rams and keep pace with the Lions and Vikings in the NFC North.

 

Top Survivor Pool Picks to Avoid for Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs. NYJ

The Vikings have been one of the darling teams so far in the young season, with MVP candidate Sam Darnold -- no, not a typo. Darnold has been sensational so far this season and now has a weapon back in Jordan Addison.

What's not to like? Well, the New York Jets defense can turn up the heat and make Darnold potentially see the ghosts he saw when he was a New York Jet. The Vikings are only 2.5-point favorites at "home" in London against the Jets, who also employ Aaron Rodgers, who has had a lot of success over the years at the expense of the Vikings.

Minnesota is due for a letdown against a defensive-minded team with dynamic skill-position players like Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson, and a host of others. Even if we feel pretty good about the Vikings, this is a spot I'm not sure I want to trust them. Consider taking an abundance of caution here.

Denver Broncos vs. LV

In an AFC West battle of two teams that could be two of the worst teams in the NFL, taking the Broncos here is a big risk because of how volatile they are. I mean, Bo Nix passed for 60 yards against the Jets last week!

The Broncos are the favorite at home by 3.0 points over the Las Vegas Raiders, who are having an offensive existential crisis right now with the status of Davante Adams. Without one of the best wide receivers in the league, the offensive capability is minimal and that's reflected in the implied point total of 16.5 points -- the lowest implied point total of Week 5.

The Broncos aren't exactly riding high, either, as they have the second-lowest implied point total of any favorite on the slate at 19.5. It's going to be a struggle for either team to score points, and with that, the volatility ratchets up exponentially.

It all comes down to the fact that the Broncos have shown zero consistency running or passing with a rookie quarterback, so do you want to solely trust a defense in what could be a weird 10-6 defensive struggle? I'm looking for other options this week.



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