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The game we are going to focus on in this article is the FantasyBook Over/Under DFS Props contest. FantasyBook allows you to build a two-to-five pick based on their fantasy points projection and pick over or under the projected total. If you get all of your picks correct, you can win up to 18x your buy-in.
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NFL DFS Over/Under Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 16
Garrett Wilson OVER 13.68 fantasy points
Wilson has gone over this total in four straight games. He has also averaged nearly 10 targets per game over the past four games while playing with both Mike White and Zach Wilson, so Wilson being named the starter for Thursday night is not necessarily a drawback. The Jaguars have also allowed an average of over 36 fantasy points per game to the wide receiver position over the previous four weeks, which is ranked in the bottom half of the league over that span.
Tyler Conklin OVER 6.79 fantasy points
This might be my favorite play of the night as Conklin has seen 17 targets over his previous three games. He will be up against a Jaguars defense that has allowed over 19 fantasy points per game to the tight end position over the previous four weeks, which ranks third-worst in the league.
The Weather at MetLife Stadium is also supposed to be subpar, so Zach Wilson could certainly be looking to rack up some yards over the middle to Conklin in this one. The Jaguars have also allowed three touchdowns to tight ends over their previous four games, so Conklin finding the endzone is certainly in the realm of possibility.
Travis Etienne Jr. OVER 13.25 fantasy points
Etienne Jr. has proven to be a multi-facet back as he has now hauled in 27 receptions on 37 targets while also toting the rock a total of 182 times this season. The weather, as aforementioned, is supposed to be a bit rough for this game, so the Jaguars will certainly look to get Etienne involved on the ground and through the air.
While the Jets' defense has been stout this season, they have allowed 72 receptions to the running back position, which currently ranks in the bottom half of the league. Etienne should be able to rack up some PPR points in this one, and if he is able to find the end zone, this prop becomes a slam dunk.
Other Recommendations: Zay Jones OVER 10.07 fantasy points
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