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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 7 of the Fantasy Football season. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of in a couple of these games including the Lions at Falcons, Panthers at Saints, and Seahawks at Cardinals.
Lions @ Falcons Fantasy Challenge
Recommended Prop Pick:
Kenny Golladay, Todd Gurley, and Calvin Ridley more than 59.5 fantasy points
This game should see plenty of fireworks considering the total is 55. Kenny Golladay is likely to be the beneficiary of several targets in this game as he is currently earning seven targets per game. He will be going up against a defense that is allowing nearly 45 fantasy points to the wide receiver position on the season, which ranks fifth-worst in the league. They do this by allowing nearly 218 receiving yards per game to wideouts and have also given up seven receiving touchdowns to the position, which is tied for fifth-worst in the league.
Todd Gurley is not someone I would normally recommend, but I like him in this spot vs. the Lions. He is currently averaging nearly 17 carries and two receptions per game, which is solid volume for a running back. He will be facing a Lions Defense that has allowed an average of 30 fantasy points per game to the running back position, which is ranked sixth-worst in the league. They have allowed an average of over 5.2 yards per carry and have also given up five scores on the ground to backs. Add in the fact that the Falcons are also favored in this game and Gurley could get some added carries near the end of the game.
Calvin Ridley is an absolute beast and should be included in this prop. He is currently averaging 9.5 targets per game and that should bode well for him vs. the Lions. The Lions are allowing over 40 fantasy points per game to wide receivers, which ranks seventh-worst in the league. They have given up six receiving touchdowns, which is especially significant as this is where Ridley has shined by hauling in five touchdowns through the Falcons' first six games.
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Panthers @ Saints More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Drew Brees less than 280.5 passing yards and Teddy Bridgewater more than 275.5 passing yards
Is Drew Brees capable of going over this total? Sure. Is he going to have to go over this total at home against the Panthers? Not likely. The Panthers have one of the worst run defenses in football. They are currently allowing 4.85 yards per carry to running backs. They are also allowing nearly 104 rushing yards per game to backs, which tells me this is likely to be the Alvin Kamara and even the Latavius Murray show. The Saints should come out in this game looking to establish the run at home early and often and should be able to find plenty of success with this method of attack. The Saints are also 7.5 point favorites as the game currently sits, which is a pretty big number. It likely means the Saints won't be forced to throw late in order to attempt a comeback.
Bridgewater will likely have to throw for the Panthers to find success in this game. New Orleans has a strong run defense as they are currently only allowing running backs to rush for 88 yards per game. They are also only allowing 3.6 yards per carry. This strength does not carry over to their passing game, however, as they are allowing quarterbacks to throw for over 255 yards per game. As mentioned above, the Saints are 7.5 point favorites, which means Carolina will likely be trying to catch up for quite a bit of time in this game. If this happens, Bridgewater has the weapons in Mike Davis, D.J. Moore, and Robby Anderson to throw over this total much the way he did vs. Tampa Bay in a Week 2 contest, which saw the Panthers lose 31-17.
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Seahawks @ Cardinals More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Russell Wilson more than 295.5 passing yards and Kyler Murray more than 267.5
This game has all the makings of a shootout with two bad defenses and a game total of 56. Russell Wilson has been on absolute fire in 2020 as he is currently averaging over 300 passing yards per game. He has two of the best weapons in the game at wide receiver in Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf, which only helps build a case for him in this matchup. While the Cardinals are only allowing 248 passing yards per game, they have not faced an offense anywhere near as reliant on the pass as this Seahawks offense. Arguably the best quarterback this Cardinals team has faced was Matt Stafford in Week 3, and he promptly threw for 270 passing yards. Wilson should be able to get over the total in this spot.
Kyler Murray will be facing the worst secondary in the league and must be played as a more than in this spot. The Seahawks are currently allowing quarterbacks to throw for a whopping 377 passing yard per game. They are also allowing wide receivers to go off for over 274 receiving yards per game. Kyler Murray should be able to have a monster game throwing the ball to DeAndre Hopkins and Christian Kirk. It should also be noted that the Seahawks only allow running backs to rush for 75.6 yards per game, which means the offense should rely heavily on the arm of Murray in this game.
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