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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Sunday (9/13/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

The first Sunday of the NFL season brings 14 games, offering great options to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

With so many games on the schedule, you can get as deep as you like when seeking value plays but if you want to focus on the biggest names in the biggest games, check out the Star Shootout. Still great options and plenty of potential value on the board.

Here are some Star Shootout prop angles to consider for Sunday’s Monkey Knife Fight NFL schedule:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - EARLY GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Matthew Stafford LESS THAN 276.5 PASSING YARDS

In eight games last season, before he needed season-ending back surgery, Stafford averaged 312.5 passing yards per game, his highest per-game average since 2011, when he was throwing to Calvin Johnson, Nate Burleson, Brandon Pettigrew, and Titus Young. It looks like his current No. 1 receiver, Kenny Golladay, is unlikely to play this week and the Chicago Bears, for all their flaws, were allowing 222.1 passing yards per game, and 5.9 net yards per attempt, both ranking in the Top 10 defensively.

Matt Ryan LESS THAN 290.5 PASSING YARDS

This is a big number but maybe not unrealistic, given that Ryan has averaged 302.5 passing yards per game over the past two seasons. He has a dangerous group of receivers, headed by Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley, and the Falcons will probably need to throw the ball to have some success against Seattle. The Seahawks were vulnerable against the pass last season, allowing 263.9 passing yards per game last season, the sixth-highest average in the league. The Seahawks did try to address their secondary, though, making trades for cornerback Quinton Dunbar and safety Jamal Adams, so maybe it’s not going to be such easy pickings for the Falcons.

Aaron Rodgers LESS THAN 254.5 PASSING YARDS

As one might expect of a 36-year-old quarterback, Rodgers isn’t what he was during his peak seasons and last season he averaged 250.1 passing yards per game. The Packers didn’t tangibly improve their receiving corps in the offseason either. Minnesota allowed 236.6 passing yards per game last season and Rodgers has thrown for 255 yards or more once in his past five games, though one of those games was cut short by injury.

Josh Jacobs MORE THAN 86.5 RUSHING YARDS

As a rookie for the Raiders last season, Jacobs averaged 88.5 rushing yards per game, and he goes up against a Panthers team that allowed a league-high 5.2 yards per carry last season. Carolina did use the sixth overall pick on defensive tackle Derrick Brown, which should help, but they also lost star linebacker Luke Kuechly to retirement, so there may still be some holes for Jacobs to exploit.

RAPID FIRE

Davante Adams +9.5 receiving yards vs. Julio Jones

Based on their per-game averages from last season, this line is in the right ballpark. Jones averaged 92.9 receiving yards per game in 2019 and Adams put up 83.1 yards per game. Here’s my thinking, though: Jones is more apt to lose targets to Calvin Ridley (among others) in the Falcons offense and, given the options available, it’s hard to imagine Adams getting fewer looks from Rodgers so maybe consider the lively underdog in this game.

RECEPTION COLLECTION

Davante Adams, Julio Jones, and Zach Ertz more than 19.5 RECEPTIONS

Looking for three receivers in the early games that could combine for 20 catches, Adams and Jones are both likely to get a lot of looks as their teams’ top wide receivers with track records as prolific pass catchers. Ertz is a little more interesting because of all the injuries to Philadelphia’s receiving corps, that if there is going to be a reliable option in that Eagles passing game, it might as well be the tight end Ertz, who has 204 catches in the past two seasons.

STAR SHOOTOUT - LATE GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Tom Brady LESS THAN 287.5 PASSING YARDS

Certainly there is going to be incentive for Brady to air it out in his first game for Tampa Bay and they might need to throw a lot to keep pace with the Saints. However, Brady has averaged less than 287 passing yards per game for three years running and faces the prospect of going without wide receiver Mike Evans, who is questionable for Week One.

Austin Ekeler MORE THAN 19.5 FANTASY POINTS

Ekeler had six games last season in which he put up at least 100 yards from scrimmage, and he was still mostly a backup – he had more than a dozen carries in a game just twice – so what can he do now as the primary option in the San Diego backfield? It’s time for the Bengals to find out.

Alvin Kamara LESS THAN 20.5 FANTASY POINTS

The Saints star took a step back last season, when he was playing hurt for part of the year, but he scored just six touchdowns and if he can’t be counted on for touchdowns (he scored 31 in his first two seasons) it gets a lot harder to pile up 21 fantasy points, even for a lead back who is also a consistent receiving threat. How consistent? He has finished each of his first three NFL seasons with exactly 81 catches.

Chris Godwin MORE THAN 79.5 RECEIVING YARDS

While it’s fair to be skeptical about Brady’s debut for the Bucs, that doesn’t mean that Godwin can’t go for significant yardage. He averaged 95.2 receiving yards per game last season and if Evans really can’t go, Godwin should be the clear first option for Brady.

RAPID FIRE

Michael Thomas -1.5 receptions vs. George Kittle

Thomas has more receptions than anyone in the past two seasons, hauling in 274 passes, more than 8.5 per game. Kittle is the prototype for the modern tight end and should be a primary target for the 49ers, especially considering injuries to their receiving corps, but Kittle is averaging 5.7 receptions per game in the past two seasons, which isn’t close enough to like him as the underdog here.

Kenyan Drake +10.5 rushing yards vs. Joe Mixon

Mixon averaged 71.1 rushing yards per game last season, a solid number, but maybe not enough to prefer him by 11 yards over Drake. Although Drake averaged 58.4 rushing yards per game last season, he put up 80.4 rushing yards per game in eight games for Arizona after he was acquired from Miami. That’ enough to like Drake’s chances as the underdog.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kirill Kaprizov47 mins ago

Ruled Out For Saturday
Auston Matthews53 mins ago

May Return To Maple Leafs Lineup Next Week
Max Domi1 hour ago

To Remain Out On Sunday
Jakub Vrana1 hour ago

Sits As Healthy Scratch Saturday
Alex Pietrangelo1 hour ago

Remains Out Saturday
William Eklund2 hours ago

A Game-Time Call For Saturday
Kasperi Kapanen2 hours ago

Moves To First Line Saturday
Darnell Nurse2 hours ago

Expected To Return On Saturday
Giovanny Gallegos3 hours ago

Signing Minors Deal With Dodgers
Bryan Mata3 hours ago

Red Sox Re-Sign Bryan Mata To Minor-League Deal
3 hours ago

Yankees Non-Tender Jon Berti, Tim Mayza
Trent Grisham3 hours ago

Yankees Avoid Arbitration With Trent Grisham, JT Brubaker
Andy Ibáñez4 hours ago

Andy Ibanez, Tigers Settle On One-Year Deal
Aaron Rodgers5 hours ago

Could Be Placed On IR Or Benched
Jordan Eberle8 hours ago

To Miss At Least Three Months
Matthew Knies8 hours ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Owen Power8 hours ago

Tallies Two Helpers On Friday
John Gibson8 hours ago

Busy In Overtime Loss
Connor Hellebuyck9 hours ago

Sharp in Friday's Victory
Kyle Connor9 hours ago

Tallies Two Points In Friday's Victory
Noah Fant16 hours ago

Questionable For Week 12, Update Coming On Saturday
Kyle Farmer17 hours ago

Agrees With Rockies On One-Year Deal
18 hours ago

Nick Madrigal Non-Tendered By Cubs
18 hours ago

Austin Hays Non-Tendered By Phillies
Michael Tonkin18 hours ago

And Twins Avoid Arbitration
Brock Purdy18 hours ago

Week 13 Status Uncertain
Santiago Espinal18 hours ago

Avoids Arbitration With Reds
18 hours ago

Pirates Expected To Non-Tender Bryan De La Cruz, Connor Joe
18 hours ago

Braves Non-Tender Griffin Canning
19 hours ago

Nationals Non-Tender Kyle Finnegan On Friday
19 hours ago

Rays Non-Tender Dylan Carlson
Sam Hilliard19 hours ago

Rockies Avoid Arbitration With Sam Hilliard, Lucas Gilbreath
19 hours ago

Rockies Non-Tender Brendan Rodgers, Cal Quantrill
Mike Yastrzemski19 hours ago

Avoids Arbitration With Giants
19 hours ago

Blue Jays Non-Tender Closer Jordan Romano
Dustin May19 hours ago

Dodgers Sign Dustin May To One-Year Deal To Avoid Arbitration
Walker Kessler19 hours ago

Might Return To Action Saturday
Kyle Filipowski20 hours ago

To Miss Saturday's Game
Jordan Clarkson20 hours ago

Considered Questionable For Saturday
Miles McBride20 hours ago

Questionable To Face Jazz
Dane Dunning20 hours ago

Staying In Texas
Joel Embiid20 hours ago

To Remain Out On Sunday
Nikola Jokic20 hours ago

Returns To Action Friday
Tyler Wade20 hours ago

Staying In San Diego
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope20 hours ago

No Longer On Injury Report
Wendell Carter Jr.21 hours ago

Considered Questionable For Saturday
Tre Mann21 hours ago

Listed As Out For Saturday
Torrey Craig21 hours ago

Available Versus Hawks
Nick Richards21 hours ago

Ruled Out For Saturday
Jarace Walker21 hours ago

Ready To Face Bucks
Ben Sheppard21 hours ago

Misses A Third Consecutive Game
Anfernee Simons21 hours ago

Returns To Action Friday
Ja Morant21 hours ago

Considered Doubtful For Saturday
Jerami Grant21 hours ago

Ready For Action Friday
Marcus Smart21 hours ago

Questionable For Saturday
Deandre Ayton21 hours ago

Remains Out On Friday
Yves Missi21 hours ago

Will Not Play On Friday
Stephen Curry22 hours ago

Available Versus Pelicans
Scoot Henderson22 hours ago

Absent On Friday
Rashod Bateman23 hours ago

Added To Week 12 Injury Report
Vince Dunn23 hours ago

Could Be An Option For Kraken Next Week
TOR23 hours ago

Alexander Nylander Joins Maple Leafs On One-Year Deal
George Kittle23 hours ago

Cleared For Week 12
Jason Dickinson23 hours ago

Expected To Play On Saturday
Cam York23 hours ago

Expected To Return Saturday
San Francisco 49ers23 hours ago

Nick Bosa Won't Play Against Packers
Mason McTavish23 hours ago

Remains Out On Friday
Brock Purdy23 hours ago

Ruled Out For Week 12
Tage Thompson23 hours ago

Continues To Sit On Friday
Kevin Hayes23 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Friday
Ladd McConkey24 hours ago

Returns To Practice On Friday
CeeDee Lamb24 hours ago

Cleared To Play In Week 12
Sam LaPorta1 day ago

Off The Injury Report, Cleared For Week 12
Jake Ferguson1 day ago

Ruled Out With Concussion
DeVonta Smith1 day ago

Ruled Out For Week 12
Brock Purdy1 day ago

Not Seen At Friday's Practice
T.J. Hockenson1 day ago

Expects To Be More Involved In Week 12
Alexander Mattison1 day ago

Zamir White Doubtful To Face Broncos
Nico Collins1 day ago

Set For Increased Workload Against Titans
Mike Evans1 day ago

Officially Listed As Questionable
Malik Nabers1 day ago

Questionable For Week 12, Intends To Play
Sam Darnold1 day ago

Cleared For Sunday
D'Andre Swift1 day ago

Gets Questionable Tag For Week 12
Keenan Allen1 day ago

Lands On Injury Report, Questionable For Week 12
Tabatha Ricci1 day ago

Looks To Extend Her Win Streak
Yan Xiaonan1 day ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Muslim Salikhov1 day ago

A Favorite At UFC Macau
Song Kenan1 day ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Zhang Mingyang1 day ago

Set For His Second UFC Fight
Ozzy Diaz1 day ago

An Underdog At UFC Macau
Carlos Ulberg2 days ago

Looking To Cement Himself As A Title Contender At UFC Macau
Volkan Oezdemir2 days ago

Eyes Another Knockout At UFC Macau
Gabriella Fernandes2 days ago

A Big Underdog At UFC Macau
MMA2 days ago

Cong Wang Puts Undefeated Record On The Line At UFC Macau
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Petr Yan2 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Macau
Austin Eckroat3 days ago

Heads To The RSM Classic After Win
Harris English3 days ago

Finding Form Heading To The RSM Classic
Ben Griffin3 days ago

Continues Playing Well Heading To The RSM Classic
Denny McCarthy3 days ago

Returns to The RSM Classic
Ludvig Aberg3 days ago

Looks To Defend RSM Classic Title
Si Woo Kim3 days ago

An Intriguing Option At RSM Classic
Maverick McNealy3 days ago

In Solid Form Ahead Of RSM Classic
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Chasing First Tour Victory At RSM Classic
Charles Oliveira5 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
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