RADIO
Monday night football brings a significant mismatch but there will still be great props to play and win on Monkey Knife Fight.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 5-2 with a plus-80 scoring differential that is best in the NFC. They have quickly become legitimate contenders.
On the other side of the field, the New York Giants are having a different kind of season. They are 1-6 and have been outscored 174 to 122. Even on their home field, the Giants are facing an uphill fight.
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Here are some angles to consider for Monday’s NFL game on Monkey Knife Fight:
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TAMPA BAY-N.Y. GIANTS
MORE OR LESS
Tom Brady MORE THAN 265.5 PASSING YARDS
It may have taken Brady a couple of games to really get into his groove with the Bucs but he seems to be in his typical form now. In the past five games, he has thrown 15 touchdowns and one interception while averaging 290.8 passing yards per game. The Giants’ defense has been around average against the pass, allowing 251.3 yards per game and 6.7 net yards per pass attempt, and average doesn’t seem suited to stopping Brady right now.
Daniel Jones LESS THAN 219.5 PASSING YARDS
On the other hand, the Bucs defense is among the best in the league, allowing 225.3 passing yards per game and 5.7 net yards per pass attempt. That’s a strong defense going against a quarterback who hasn’t done a whole lot. Jones has been held under 200 yards passing in four of the past five games, the only exception in that time being when he threw for 222 yards in a 37-34 loss at Dallas. The Cowboys and Buccaneers Defenses are not very much alike so it should be tough for Jones to throw for 200, let alone 220-plus.
Ronald Jones II LESS THAN 64.5 RUSHING YARDS
While the Giants are not a good team, they aren’t bad against the run, allowing 3.7 yards per carry, but the bigger factor to limit Jones may be the presence of Leonard Fournette. With Fournette hurt, effectively from Week 4 through Week 6, Jones took control of the running game and gained at least 100 rushing yards in three straight games. Fournette returned to action last week and had 11 carries for 50 yards compared to Jones running for 34 yards on 13 carries.
Sterling Shepard MORE THAN 10.5 FANTASY POINTS
Although Shepard is a competent starting wideout, the Giants passing attack hasn’t been very successful and it faces a defense that should make it very difficult on them and Shepard is dealing with a toe injury that could slow him down (or potentially keep him out of the lineup). If Shepard does play, though, this number is pretty achievable in a PPR scoring system, like the one used on Monkey Knife Fight. Like, five catches for 56 yards would do it and in 13 games since the start of last season, Shepard has averaged 5.5 catches for 54.7 yards per game, and that doesn’t take his four touchdowns into account for scoring purposes.
RAPID FIRE
Sterling Shepard +0.5 receptions vs. Evan Engram
Engram has been wildly inconsistent this season, recording six receptions in three games, but managing just eight catches in the other four games. That fluctuation makes him an unreliable favorite. As long as Shepard plays, he should get enough targets to be a lively underdog.
Scott Miller +0.5 receptions vs. Rob Gronkowski
After a slow start, Gronk has been heating up in recent weeks, catching five passes on eight targets in back-to-back games. Miller has emerged as a significant target for Brady and had six catches for 109 yards last week. So far this season, Miller is averaging 3.7 receptions per game, compared to Gronkowskis 3.1 per game, so getting Miller plus a half reception seems like positive value.
Darius Slayton +1.5 receptions vs. Mike Evans
Neither of these receivers has been thriving lately. Slayton has averaged 3.9 receptions per game this season but has four total receptions in the past two games. Evans, who has a much higher ceiling, is weirdly averaging 3.6 receptions per game this season and has just three catches in the past two games. Something seems off there, so try Slayton.
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