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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 4. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of.
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Panthers @ Cowboys: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Dak Prescott less than 285.5 passing yards and Sam Darnold more than 271.5 passing yards
Prescott and the Cowboys have what appears to be a tough matchup against the Carolina Panthers' defense this Sunday. Thus far, Carolina has allowed just 537 passing yards to quarterbacks on the season, which averages out to just 179 passing yards per game, and is ranked first in the league. The Cowboys are 4.5 point favorites in this one as well and will likely look to establish the run early and often. It could set up similar to the way Dallas played the Eagles last week where Dak threw for just 238 passing yards while Ezekiel Elliott carried the ball 17 times for 95 yards and Tony Pollard added in another 11 carries for 60 yards.
Sam Darnold is on the other side of this contest and he has a tremendous matchup against a Cowboys defense that has allowed the third-most passing yards on the season to quarterbacks by allowing 1,043 yards through three games. The Panthers will also be without running back, Christian McCaffrey, and therefore could look to pass the ball more to D.J. Moore and Robby Anderson. The Panthers are also underdogs in this game and that could lead to additional pass attempts and yards down the stretch.
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Steelers @ Packers: Touchdown Dance Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Aaron Jones, Davante Adams, and Najee Harris to combine for more than 1.5 touchdowns
This game could be a ton of fun inside Lambeau Field and there are some great options to get in the end zone in this one.
When it comes to the Packers, it is essential to play these contests with Aaron Jones and Davante Adams as they are the primary threats in this offense and it is not even close. On the season, the two have combined for a total of six touchdowns. While Aaron Jones will be facing a Steelers defense that has been tough against the run thus far, he will be the primary threat when they get inside the red zone and they will likely be able to do that often against this Steelers' pass defense. On the season, the Steelers have allowed the eighth-most yards to wide receivers and have allowed an average of 193 receiving yards per game. They have also given up a total of five receiving touchdowns to the position, which is tied for fifth-worst in the league.
Najee Harris has seen tremendous volume as a rookie. Thus far, he has carried the ball 40 times and seen 27 targets of which he has hauled in 20 of them. The Packers have given up a combined 353 yards on the ground and through the air combined on the season while also allowing three touchdowns to the position. Even though the spread is currently set at Green Bay -6.5, Harris would still be involved in the passing game late into the fourth quarter, which is another reason to like him in this contest.
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