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Cowboys @ Giants: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Dak Prescott less than 275.5 passing yards and Saquon Barkley less than 57.5 rushing yards
This is a number Dak has hit in just two of his previous five games, both of which came at home. The Giants have not been great against the pass in recent weeks, but they have allowed an average of just 233 passing yards per game over their previous four games. The Cowboys will also enter this game as 11-point favorites and likely will be able to run the ball to victory against a defense that has allowed the sixth-most rushing yards to running backs on the season.
This is somewhat of a low total on Barkley, but it is well-deserved. He has just one game since his return from an ankle injury with more than 13 carries and has gone for less than this total in all but one game on the season. The Cowboys' run defense has been better of late as they have allowed just two backs to hit this total since Week 10. Add in the fact that the Cowboys are double-digit favorites, and the Giants will likely not be running the ball a whole late in the game, and if they do, it likely won't be with their limited franchise running back.
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Packers @ Ravens: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Aaron Rodgers more than 22.5 fantasy points and Marquise Brown more than 12.5 fantasy points
Although this game has a total of just 43.5, I think it has the potential to be a shootout as both pass defenses have struggled a bit of late. Over the previous four weeks, Baltimore has allowed an average of 227 passing yards per game to quarterbacks while also allowing an average of nearly two passing touchdowns per game. This equates to them allowing an average of over 16 fantasy points per game to the position, which ranks in the bottom half of the league. This is not a great time for them to be facing Aaron Rogers as he has averaged nearly 33 fantasy points per game over his previous three games.
Marquis Brown has averaged double-digit fantasy points over his previous three games and has seen an average of over eight targets per game across that span. He will match up against a Packers' defense that has allowed an average of over 53 fantasy points per game to wide receivers over the previous four weeks, which ranks last in the league. The Ravens will also enter this game as five-point underdogs and could be throwing the ball a bit more down the stretch in order to pull out a victory.
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Packers @ Ravens: Touchdown Dance Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Davante Adams, Aaron Jones, and Marquise Brown to combine for more than 1.5 touchdowns
We are going to stay in the same game here as the rest of the slate does not have a ton of great contests to pair together. This contest starts strong with Davante Adams as he has scored seven touchdowns on the season, including four in his previous three games. He is the most targeted receiver on this Packers' team as he has earned 128 targets this season and he will be facing a Ravens defense that has allowed five touchdowns to wide receivers over the previous four weeks, which ranks seventh-worst in the league.
We are going to use Aaron Jones here even though the Ravens have not allowed a touchdown to a running back over the previous four weeks. His volume of touches with his ability to get heavily involved in the passing game is too great to ignore. He also has a knack for finding the end zone as he has punched the ball in there nine times this season.
Marquise Brown rounds out this contest as he will likely be the top target for Lamar Jackson in this one, and even if Lamar misses this one, Brown should still be heavily targeted as he was targeted eight times last week against the Browns with Lamar out for a majority of the game. He has scored six touchdowns this season, which is ranked 12th among all wide receivers. He also will be going up against a Packers defense that has allowed seven touchdowns to wide receivers over the previous four weeks, which is ranked last in the league over that span.
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