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Welcome to Thanksgiving Day Football! Thursday's games mean our friends at Monkey Knife Fight are offering some fantastic props for us to play once again!
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As always, I'm here to give you some solid props to take advantage of in today's games, so let's get right to the picks!
Bills @ Lions More or Less Contest
Recommended Pick:
Stefon Diggs more than 95.5 receiving yards and Jamaal Williams more than 58.5 rushing yards
Diggs has managed to roll through the total in three of his previous five contests while averaging over 10 targets per game across that span. He will have a solid matchup in this one as the Lions have allowed the most receiving yards to wide receivers over the previous four weeks while also allowing an average of over 222 receiving yards per game.
Williams has seen an average of nearly 17 carries per game over the previous four weeks. He has also averaged nearly 65 rushing yards per game over that span while eclipsing this total in three of those four contests. The Bills have also been vulnerable against the run as they have allowed running backs to average over 130 rushing yards per game and 5.9 (!) yards per carry to the position over their previous four games. The only concern here is if the Lions get down big early in the game, it would be difficult for them to stick with Williams in the run game.
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Giants @ Cowboys More or Less Contest
Recommended Pick:
Tony Pollard more than 65.5 rushing yards and Darius Slayton more than 50.5 receiving yards
This number opened at 58.5 and immediately shot up, and rightfully so, as Pollard has been a menace in recent weeks. Over his previous four games, Pollard has averaged over 100 rushing yards per game. Although Ezekiel Elliott was out for some of this stretch, Pollard still earned 15 carries last week and turned those into 80 rushing yards.
The Giants have allowed over 100 rushing yards per game and over 4.4 yards per carry to the running back position over their previous three games, so this is another great spot for Pollard to get in some solid work, especially considering the Cowboys are nearly 10-point favorites.
Slayton has been Daniel Jones's favorite target in recent weeks as he has averaged nearly seven targets per game and over 76 receiving yards per game over his previous four games while also managing to eclipse this total in each of those four games. The Giants will enter this game as 9.5-point favorites, which should lead to additional passing on offense and will give Slayton plenty of chances to get over it once again. The Cowboys have also struggled a bit in the secondary recently as they have allowed an average of 157 receiving yards per game to wide receivers over their previous three games.
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Patriots @ Vikings More or Less Contest
Recommended Pick:
Dalvin Cook less than 79.5 rushing yards and Rhamondre Stevenson more than 59.5 rushing yards
Cook is certainly capable of going for more than this total, however, he has only done so twice in his last five games. It will also not get much easier in this one against a stout New England defense. Over the previous three games, the Patriots have only allowed running backs to average 40 rushing yards per game while also averaging a measly 2.5 yards per carry.
Stevenson has eclipsed this total in six of his previous eight games. He has also averaged over 14 carries per game across his previous four games. He will be up against a defense that just allowed the Cowboys' backfield to combine for 120 rushing yards. The Patriots will also come out and establish the run in this one as that is how their offense is built. If he receives a similar workload to previous weeks, he should have no issues getting beyond this total.
Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight
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