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As always, I'm here to give you some solid props to take advantage of in tonight's game, so let's get right to the picks!
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Chargers at Colts More or Less Contest
Recommended Pick:
Justin Herbert less than 279.5 passing yards and Nick Foles more than 229.5 passing yards
While Herbert has hit this number in each of his previous three games, he likely will not need to be in a position to throw much in this game as the Chargers will enter as four-point favorites and have plenty of motivation to win this game going away. He will also be up against a Colts defense that has allowed the fifth-fewest passing yards to quarterbacks this season and has allowed just one quarterback to throw for 281 passing yards on the season and that was Kirk Cousins last week in a wild game that ended in overtime.
There is not a ton of data on this play as far as Foles is concerned as he has not suited up since last season, but he will likely be playing for a role with the Colts or another franchise next season and will want to look as sharp as possible in the limited time he has to be on the field. The Colts will enter as 4.5-point underdogs as aforementioned, so will likely be in a position to throw more later in the game. While the Chargers have been strong against the pass this season, they have also allowed eight quarterbacks to throw for over this total.
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Chargers at Colts More or Less Contest
Recommended Pick:
Zack Moss more than 56.5 rushing yards and Austin Ekeler more than 56.5 rushing yards
Moss and Deon Jackson will "split" carries in this game, but Moss is likely to lead the backfield overall in a similar manner to the way he did last week when he saw 20 carries to Jackson's 13. Both backs should be able to have a decent day in this one and Moss is certainly capable of going over this total. Over the previous four weeks, the Chargers have allowed the fourth-most rushing yards to running backs and have also been gashed on the season as a whole as they have allowed the second-most rushing yards to backs overall. The Chargers have also allowed a ridiculous 5.5 yards per carry to backs on the season.
Ekeler should be able to have a solid game on the ground in this one as the Colts have struggled recently against the run. Over the previous four weeks, the Colts have allowed the seventh-most rushing yards to running backs. They have also allowed an average of nearly 5.2 yards per carry over that same four-week span. The Chargers will enter this game as 4.5-point favorites, so Ekeler could see some additional carries down the stretch, which will help him eclipse a total he managed to get over against a tough Titans' run defense just last week.
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