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As always, I'm here to give you some solid props to take advantage of in tonight's game, so let's get right to the picks!
49ers at Eagles More or Less Contest
Recommended Pick:
A.J. Brown more than 69.5 receiving yards and Christian McCaffrey less than 62.5 rushing yards
Brown should see a healthy dose of targets in this game against a Niners defense that allowed the sixth-most receiving yards to wide receivers this season. He will likely be a focal point in this offense, especially considering he averaged nearly nine targets and over five receptions per game this season. He has also eclipsed this total in four of his previous five games and in 10 total games this season. This number is also juiced to -130 on the books, so it has a solid shot of getting us over the hump.
McCaffrey is capable of getting over this total as he has done so eight times this season, but the Eagles run defense is much improved. Only one running back (Alvin Kamara) has eclipsed this total against the Eagles since Week 13. They were also only allowing 4.2 yards per carry over the final four games of the season. McCaffrey only saw 10 carries a week ago against Dallas as Elijah Mitchell also carried the rock a total of 14 times.
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Bengals at Chiefs More or Less Contest
Recommended Pick:
Joe Mixon less than 60.5 rushing yards and Travis Kelce more than 79.5 receiving yards
Although Mixon had a solid game a week ago in which he carried the ball 20 times for 105 rushing yards, this one figures to be a bit different as the Chiefs' defense has been strong against the run in 2022. On the season, Kansas City allowed the eighth-fewest rushing yards to the running back position while also allowing only 4.3 yards per carry. They have been much more beatable against the pass as they allowed the eighth-most passing yards to the quarterback position, so it would make a ton of sense for the Bengals to come out in this one with a more pass-heavy attack.
Kelce has eclipsed this total in 10 games this season, including last week against the Jaguars in the Divisional Round where he hauled in 14 of 17 (!) targets for 98 receiving yards and two scores. He should see plenty of looks in this game against a Bengals defense that allowed the eighth-most receiving yards to the tight end position by allowing an average of nearly 55 yards per game.
Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight
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