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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 6 of the Fantasy Football season. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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Let's take a look at some of the props Monday Night Football has to offer this week.
Chiefs @ Bills
More or Less Contest(s)
Recommended Prop Picks:
Patrick Mahomes more than 319.5 passing yards: This should be a solid matchup for Mahomes on Monday night. The Bills are currently allowing quarterbacks to throw for 274 passing yards per game, but are only giving up 83 rushing yards per game to running backs. Mahomes is averaging nearly 295 passing yards per game. He has also put up some monster games of 302, 385, and 340 passing yards. I expect this to be another one of those games.
Josh Allen less than 290.5 passing yards: This is a tough one for me, but I am going to roll with the less than because this number is so high and has jumped nearly fifty yards over the weekend. The Chiefs have not been allowing quarterbacks to torch them. They are only allowing close to 240 passing yards per game. While Allen is averaging nearly 318 passing yards per game, this is one of the best passing defenses he will have faced thus far.
Stefon Diggs more than 80.5 receiving yards: Diggs has gone over 80 receiving yards in four of the Bills' five contests. He is the most targeted receiver on the team with 51 targets through their first five games. This should be a great spot for him, especially considering the Bills are four-point underdogs. This means Allen could be throwing often and Diggs should certainly be the recipient of those targets.
Travis Kelce more than 6.5 receptions: Travis Kelce is one of the best tight ends in the league and has been targeted a whopping 46 times through the Chief's first five games and has caught at least six passes in all but one contest. This is very bad news for the Bills who rank dead last in the league in receptions allowed to the tight end position. They have given up a total of 39 receptions through the first five games, which averages out to nearly eight per game. Kelce should do very well under these circumstances.
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Reception Collection Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, and Stefon Diggs more than 19.5 receptions
Each of these guys is in a prime spot on Monday night. We mentioned Diggs and Kelce's stats above, which is why I certainly like them in this spot. Those two alone could very easily haul in 16 passes between them in this game. Tyreek Hill is the next guy I want in this prop. He is averaging seven targets per game and is hauling in over four receptions per game. He will be facing a Bills Defense that is allowing over 13 receptions per game to wide receivers. Given that Hill will be the most targeted receiver on the Chiefs Monday night, I think he helps push this prop over the total.
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Cardinals @ Cowboys
More or Less Contest(s)
Recommended Prop Picks:
Andy Dalton less than 288.5 passing yards: Andy Dalton steps in making his first start for the Cowboys and he may find it tough sledding moving the ball through the air. The Cardinals are only allowing quarterbacks to pass for 244.6 yards per game. That being said, they are allowing running back to rush for nearly 107 yards per game. Given that it is Dalton's first start for the Cowboys and the Cardinals struggle vs. the run, it makes sense for the Cowboys to come with a gameplan that features Zeke more so than the passing game.
Kyler Murray more than 288.5 passing yards: Kyler Murray has a great opportunity to carve up this Cowboys Defense much the way he carved up the Jets Defense a week ago. The Cowboys secondary has struggled mightily in 2020 as they are allowing over 180 receiving yards per game to the wide receiver position. They will have a hard time covering DeAndre Hopkins and Christian Kirk in this game. The Cardinals have also struggled to establish the run game from the backfield as Kenyan Drake and Chase Edmonds combined are only averaging 82 rushing yards per game. While Murray has been very effective with his legs in 2020, the Cowboys have been solid thus far against mobile quarterbacks as they have only given up 52 rushing yards while facing the likes of Russell Wilson and Daniel Jones.
Ezekiel Elliott more than 89.5 rushing yards: The Cowboys will likely come out with a plan to pound the rock in this game in order to take some of the pressure of Andy Dalton in his first start. The Cardinals have struggled vs. the running back position in 2020 as noted by 106.8 rushing yards per game allowed. They are also giving up nearly 4.5 yards per carry, which should mean solid numbers for Zeke and he could finally get over that 100-yard threshold.
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