Week 14 of the NFL season is in the books, and now we shift our focus to Week 15 and what value plays we can find on the main slate in DFS competitions.
In this weekly piece, I will examine some undervalued sneaky targets. By selecting these players, you will have more flexibility in other positions to secure a high-end player elsewhere in your lineup. No matter what competition you are playing in DFS, finding a budget player with a safe floor and room for upside is the recipe for success. I will include the DraftKings (DK) and FanDuel (FD) prices for each player in the main slate competition.
If you have any questions on how to navigate the slate and other fantasy sports questions, feel free to follow me on X @A_Smith_FS and send me a message. In addition, be sure to use code "SMITH" to get a 10% discount on any premium package.
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Quarterback NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 15
Anthony Richardson, IND at DEN | DK: $5.8K, FD: $7.5K
Since returning to the starting role, Anthony Richardson has begun to flash elite fantasy upside. Over the past three weeks, Richardson has scored six total touchdowns. He has averaged over 220.0 total yards per game and only turned the ball over twice.
During this span, Richardson has averaged an impressive 47.0 rushing yards per game. In addition, Richardson logged two carries within the five-yard line in two of these three contests.
¡Anthony Richardson Touchdown!#NFLFantasyEsp pic.twitter.com/pHaLh3lsDt
— NFL Fantasy en Español (@NFLFantasyEsp) December 1, 2024
This weekend, he faces a tough Denver Broncos defense, but given his elite rushing ability, Richardson should always have the potential to produce a safe floor and carry a high ceiling.
Jameis Winston, KC at CLE | DK: $5.5K, FD: $7K
Given his low price, Jameis Winton should always be viewed as a high-upside value play. Over the past four weeks, Winston has averaged an impressive 27.4 PPR points per game and 330.6 yards per game.
However, during this span, he has also posted a rough 8:6 TD:INT. Given his many mistakes, Winston carries some risk, especially facing a tough Kansas City defense that has allowed less than 20 points in their past two games.
However, with his rather low price, it is hard to pass up on a quarterback who, despite his ups and downs, has the upside of tallying 300+ passing yards with multiple scores.
Running Back NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 15
Brian Robinson Jr., WSH at NO | DK: $6.2K, FD: $7.3K
Brian Robinson Jr. has enjoyed a breakout campaign this season and has been a crucial part of the Washington offense. In their previous game, Robinson tallied 103 yards and a score in their victory over the Tennessee Titans.
Brian Robinson Touchdown pic.twitter.com/ZbP8TTejHd
— Highlight Vault (@HighlightVault) December 1, 2024
Through 10 games this season, the Alabama product has found the end zone eight times and averaged a solid 4.6 yards per carry.
Facing the New Orleans Saints, who have allowed the ninth-most PPR points to opposing RBs, sets Robinson up for another solid performance.
Rhamondre Stevenson, NE at ARI | DK: $5.9K, FD: $6.6K
Coming out of his bye week, Rhamondre Stevenson has a great matchup against the Arizona Cardinals, who just allowed 134 rushing yards to Zach Charbonnet.
Over his past four games, Stevenson has tallied at least 70+ rushing yards in three and seen at least three targets in two.
Since Week 8, Stevenson scored double-digit PPR points in four of the six games and even surpassed 20.0+ PPR points in two of them. Facing one of the worst rushing defenses in football, Stevenson should be in a prime position to enjoy another strong showing, given his workhorse role.
Wide Receiver NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 15
Jaylen Waddle, MIA at HOU | DK: $5.7K, FD: $6.2K
After disappointing through most of the 2024 season, Jaylen Waddle has begun to turn the corner and is enjoying a nice ending to the campaign. Over his past three contests, Waddle has caught at least 50.0+ receiving yards in each of the past three contests in each game and averaged 8.3 targets.
During this span, Waddle has averaged a strong 98.7 yards per game, a feat he only accomplished once during the first 10 games of the season.
Given his strong play, Waddle should be in a great position to stay hot against the Houston Texans, who have allowed the sixth-most PPR points per game to opposing wideouts.
Adam Thielen, DAL at CAR | DK: $5.4K, FD: $6.1K
Over his past two games, Adam Thielen has emerged as a low-end WR1 from a fantasy perspective. During this span, Thielen scored at least 19.0 PPR points per game and averaged 100.5 yards per game.
In addition, he has seen double-digit targets in each contest and has emerged as Bryce Young’s go-to target.
ADAM THIELEN 🤯🤯🤯 pic.twitter.com/i8DjUHJ27F
— Kyle Yates (@KyleYNFL) December 2, 2024
Facing the Dallas Cowboys, who have allowed the 13th-most PPR points to opposing wideouts.
Jameson Williams, BUF at DET | DK: $5.6K, FD: $6.4K
After struggling to see a consistent target share early in the season, Jameson Williams has emerged as a stable contributor in the Detroit offense. Since Week 10, Williams has averaged 6.6 targets and 69.8 yards per game. During his first six games, Williams saw just 5.0 targets and 60.2 yards per game.
Even though he is facing a relatively tough Buffalo secondary that has allowed the 13th-fewest PPR points to opposing wideouts, given the hefty 54-point spread, Williams could be in store for a big game, especially if Detroit relies on its passing attack.
Amari Cooper, BUF at DET | DK: $5.3K, FD: $5.9K
Amari Cooper has yet to find his footing in Buffalo but is coming off his best outing of the season. Last weekend, in their loss to the Los Angeles Rams, Cooper saw a season-high 14 targets but only brought in six of them for 95 yards.
While he carries some inherent risk given his unstable performance, with the potential for a scoring affair against the Lions, Cooper should be more likely to boom than bust.
Tight End NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 15
Zach Ertz, WSH at NO | DK: $4K, FD: $5.2K
The veteran tight end continues to be a great value play from a DFS standpoint. Over his past three contests, Ertz has scored in each of them, averaging 5.0 receptions and 32.7 yards per game.
Zach Ertz scores in his Philly return.#WASvsPHI on Prime Video
Also streaming on #NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/HE6wodpv6g— NFL (@NFL) November 15, 2024
Even though the New Orleans Saints have allowed the tenth-fewest PPR points to opposing tight ends, Ertz has become the No.2 passing target in the Washington offense and should be in a great position to keep producing as a TE1. In addition, with Noah Brown (ribs) expected to miss a significant period of time, Ertz's target share can even increase.
Hunter Henry, NE at ARI | DK: $4.3K, FD: $5K
Another popular budget tight end of mine is Hunter Henry. Over the past three weeks, Henry has seen at least eight targets per game (the most on the team) and averaged an impressive 60.7 yards per game.
Operating as Drake Maye’s go-to option in the passing game, Henry should easily outperform his salary cost and carry a solid upside given his weekly volume.
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