RADIO
Welcome back, RotoBallers! It’s officially Thanksgiving week, and while we all prepare to spend time with our families, the Harbaugh brothers have done the same over the last week. It’ll be John Harbaugh and the Baltimore Ravens (7-4) heading out to the City of Angels to take on Jim Harbaugh and the Los Angeles Chargers (7-3). It’ll be the first time they have faced off since Super Bowl XLVII, affectionately known as the "Har-bowl." Let’s see how this one plays out.
We have been pretty successful so far with these showdown slates and hopefully, that trend continues from last year into this year. Most of us started our fantasy journeys with football, so it's always nice when it comes around. Thanks to today's advanced analytics, I'll do my best to provide you with as much in-depth analysis as possible regarding positional matchups and the like to help put some lunch money in your pocket. Let's make some coin this season, gang!
I will provide you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Ravens vs. Chargers NFL DFS showdown slate on November 25. These NFL DFS lineup picks can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel. If you have any questions, you can follow me on X @LucidMediaDFS and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with me and other NFL DFS analysts whenever you'd like!
MVP/Captain Plays
Lamar Jackson - QB, Baltimore Ravens - $16.5K (DK), $15.5K (FD)
Key Stats
- 2024 Stats: 2,876 passing yards, 25 passing touchdowns, three interceptions, 95 rushing attempts, 584 rushing yards, and two rushing touchdowns
- Projected Pass DVOA: 51.42%
I’ll start this slate off with Lamar Jackson. Despite the 7-4 start, Jackson is arguably off to the hottest start of his career. He’s been excellent, without a doubt, though he will experience a challenge tonight against this vaunted Chargers defense.
Jackson’s dual-threat ability is what makes him the top fantasy option week in and week out, with tonight not being any different, as this Chargers defense ranks 25th in rushing yards per game and 17th in rushing touchdowns allowed to the quarterback position.
My model projects Jackson to throw for 243.55 yards and 1.64 touchdowns, adding 55.88 yards on 8.23 attempts and 0.28 touchdowns on the ground.
Ladd McConkey - WR, Los Angeles Chargers - $13.5K (DK), $11.5K (FD)
Key Stats
- 2024 Stats: 63 targets, 43 receptions, 615 receiving yards, four touchdowns
- Opposing DVOA vs WR1: 33.5%
I’ll flip the field and look at Chargers rookie Ladd McConkey next. While McConkey seemingly won’t be in the running for Offensive Rookie of the Year, his contribution to this Los Angeles offense cannot be understated.
McConkey now has a date with the worst defense in the league against top receivers, as Baltimore comes in ranked 31st in targets allowed (9.6) and 32nd in receiving yards allowed (106.5) to opposing offenses’ top options.
DIME, SEALED, DELIVERED.
📺: #CINvsLAC on NBC/Peacock
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/S8bDv726FX— NFL (@NFL) November 18, 2024
My model projects McConkey to catch 6.56 of his 9.39 targets for 71.2 yards and 0.47 touchdowns.
Other Captains/MVPs: Justin Herbert, Derrick Henry, Will Dissly, Mark Andrews
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— Scott (@scottd923) September 25, 2023
DFS Flex Plays
Justin Herbert - QB, Los Angeles Chargers - $10.4K (DK), $14.0K (FD)
Key Stats
- 2024 Stats: 2,186 passing yards, 13 passing touchdowns, one interception, 41 rushing attempts, 182 rushing yards, one rushing touchdown
- Projected Pass DVOA: 29.72%
In lineups where I’ll run McConkey in the captain/MVP spot, I’ll pair him with Justin Herbert. While you can argue that Herbert has been asked to do less in 2024 than he’s had to in previous seasons, he continues to answer the bell when the situation calls for it.
Tonight appears to be one of those instances against a Baltimore team that, when clicking, can put up points with the best of the league. Its defense also offers a passing funnel, forcing the hand of Herbert and head coach Jim Harbaugh. I fully anticipate Herbert to answer the bell once again.
My model projects Herbert to throw the ball 41.45 times, completing 27.5 of them for a massive 314.34 yards and 2.03 touchdowns.
Will Dissly - TE, Los Angeles Chargers - $6.4K (DK), $7.0K (FD)
Key Stats
- 2024 Stats: 48 targets, 37 receptions, 352 receiving yards, one touchdown
- Opposing DVOA vs TE: 6.4%
I’ll stick on L.A.’s side here and run out another one of Herbert’s pass-catchers in Will Dissly. Dissly had a great game last week against Cincinnati, catching four of six targets for 80 yards and a score (if only a smart (and handsome) RotoBaller writer told you that Dissly would find the end zone last week).
I cannot make that guarantee again tonight, but I remain confident that Dissly will put together another strong performance against this Baltimore defense that ranks 31st in targets allowed (8.36) and 30th in receptions allowed (6.09) to tight ends.
My model projects Dissly to catch 5.06 of 6.56 targets for 52.44 yards and 0.34 touchdowns.
Other Flex Options: Derrick Henry, Zay Flowers, Quentin Johnston
DFS Value Plays
Mark Andrews - TE, Baltimore Ravens - $4.6K (DK), $9.5K (FD)
Key Stats
- 2024 Stats: 39 targets, 32 receptions, 379 receiving yards, five touchdowns
- Opposing DVOA vs TE: -20.1%
I’ll stick with the tight-end position as we head into the bargain bin and take a look at Mark Andrews. From a fantasy perspective, Andrews hasn’t been the typical mark of consistency (no pun intended) but has still put together four 14+ point PPR performances in nine games this season.
While the DVOA matchup isn’t great, it’s worth noting that Los Angeles ranks 29th in targets allowed (7.8) and 24th in receptions allowed (5.6) to tight ends this season.
My model projects Andrews to catch 4.3 of his 5.98 targets for 49.52 yards and 0.29 touchdowns tonight.
Rashod Bateman - WR, Baltimore Ravens - $5.4K (DK), $8.0K (FD)
Key Stats
- 2024 Stats: 52 targets, 33 receptions, 531 receiving yards, four touchdowns
- Opposing DVOA vs WR2: 43.1%
I’ll wrap things up with another “secondary” pass-catcher on the Baltimore side, Rashod Bateman. From a fantasy perspective, Bateman’s bread and butter has been target efficiency, having only broken the five-target mark in two games this season.
This plays well into the matchup he’s provided with as Baltimore’s No. 2 receiver. The Chargers sit worst in the league against No. 2 targets, and while they rank second in targets allowed (4.6), their 55.6 yards per game allowed ranks 27th among NFL defenses.
My model projects Bateman to catch 3.2 of 4.31 targets for 46.69 yards and 0.31 touchdowns tonight.
Other Value Plays: Keaton Mitchell, Josh Palmer, Cameron Dicker, Chargers D/ST
Enjoy your week, and good luck, everyone!
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