X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

NFL DFS: DraftKings, FanDuel SNF Bills vs. Dolphins Daily Fantasy Football Picks - Sunday Night Showdown Slate (Week 18)

Raheem Mostert - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Welcome back, RotoBallers! We have what could end up being a pretty fun showdown tonight as we have a battle between two AFC East opponents as Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills (10-6) head south to take on Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins (11-5). This is a huge matchup as the winner of this game goes into the playoffs as the AFC East Champion, so let's sit tight and enjoy what should be a fun game. 

We've been pretty successful over the past few seasons with these showdown slates and hopefully, that trend continues from last year into this year. Most of us started our fantasy journeys with football, so it's always nice when it comes around. Thanks to the advanced analytics of today, I'll do my best to provide you with as much in-depth analysis as possible regarding positional matchups and the like to help put some lunch money in your pocket. Let's make some coin this season gang, and let's get right to it.

I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Bills vs. Dolphins Sunday Night NFL DFS showdown slate on January 7. These NFL DFS lineup picks can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel. If you have any questions, you can follow me on Twitter/X @LucidMediaDFS and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with me and other NFL DFS analysts at any time you'd like!

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 10% off using code BALLER! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

MVP/Captain - NFL DFS Lineup Picks

Josh Allen - QB, $16,500 (DK), $15,500 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2023 Stats: 3,947 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns, 16 interceptions, 96 rushing attempts, 457 rushing yards, 15 rushing touchdowns, and three fumbles lost. 
  • Projected Pass DVOA: 34.62%

I'll start things out with Josh Allen. The stakes, as far as the regular season goes, don't get much higher than this. I expect the stars to be shining tonight, starting with QB1 for Buffalo. Allen projects to 269.92 passing yards and 2.11 passing touchdowns while adding 28.09 yards and 0.27 touchdowns with his legs. This game has the makings of an all-time shootout, in my opinion, so I'll have a ton of Josh Allen in the 1.5x spots. 

Tyreek Hill - WR, $16,800 (DK), $12,500 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2023 Stats: Six rushing attempts, 15 rushing yards, 158 targets, 112 receptions, 1,717 receiving yards, 12 touchdowns, and one fumble lost.
  • Opponent DVOA vs. WR1: -21.27%

I'll take a look at Tyreek Hill next. It's shaping up to be the Tyreek Hill show tonight as the Dolphins will likely be without Jaylen Waddle in this pivotal matchup. Hill projects to grab 7.46 of his 11.12 targets for 93.65 yards and 0.58 touchdowns tonight. Despite the poor matchup, if Miami is going to move the ball through the air, it's most likely going to go through Tyreek Hill. He's not quite a "lock" in all of my lineups but there won't be many without him. 

Other Captains/MVPs: Stefon Diggs, Tua Tagovailoa, Dalton Kincaid

 

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners. A valued RotoBaller Premium subscriber won half a MILLION dollars in Week 3! Join in on the winning and get your edge with our NFL Premium Pass which includes our exclusive DFS Cheat Sheets, the #1 Lineup Optimizer, and access to our VIP Chatrooms. RotoBaller's Premium Pass comes with a 100% money-back guarantee. Gain access now!

 

Flex Plays - NFL DFS Lineup Picks

Dalton Kincaid - TE, $6,200 (DK), $11,000 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2023 Stats: 83 targets, 66 receptions, 589 receiving yards, two touchdowns, and one fumble lost.
  • Opponent DVOA vs. TE: 15.82%

I'll flip the field and take a look at a Bills pass catcher next with Dalton Kincaid. Kincaid has had a relatively slow couple of weeks since the return of Dawson Knox but got back on track in Week 17 catching four of his seven targets for 87 yards. I'll back him to do well tonight, as he projects to 3.4 receptions on 5.18 targets for 0.28 touchdowns. He's got a strong matchup here no doubt about it, and it's worth noting that the Dolphins allow the sixth-most touchdowns to tight ends over the last four weeks and 0.75 per game. 

Raheem Mostert - RB, $7,600 (DK), $12,000 (FD)

UPDATE: Raheem Mostert has officially been ruled out for Week 18 the Bills, making De'Von Achane an RB1 and Jeff Wilson Jr. a decent RB3/FLEX option.

Key Stats

  • 2023 Stats: 209 rushing attempts, 1,012 rushing yards, 32 targets, 25 receptions, 175 receiving yards, 21 touchdowns, and one fumble lost.
  • Projected Rush DVOA: 16.42%

I'll back Raheem Mostert next. This play works particularly well on DraftKings, where he is massively underpriced in this spot, despite being questionable at the time I type this. Mostert projects to 14.8 carries, 58.29 rushing yards, 2.04 receptions, 16.89 receiving yards, and 0.51 touchdowns. The reason I give the edge to Mostert over superstar rookie De'Von Achane is because of the red zone volume as well as Buffalo ranking 9th in passing defense against running backs. It's a pound-the-rock type of game as far as these running backs go, which makes me think we'll see more of Mostert tonight. 

Other Flex Options: Tua Tagovailoa, Devon Achane, James Cook

 

Value Plays - NFL DFS Lineup Picks

Khalil Shakir - WR, $5,200 (DK), $8,000 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2023 Stats: 39 targets, 33 receptions, 506 receiving yards, two touchdowns. 
  • Opponent DVOA vs. Other WR: -9.09%

I'll "stack" pass catchers here with Khalil Shakir as a value play. Shakir doesn't necessarily have great projections in this game, nor does he have a great matchup, but to be fair it is among the best in terms of Buffalo wide receivers. Shakir lines up on the right side of the field on 79.5% of the snaps he plays. Miami ranks eighth-worst in receptions allowed on that side. Shakir projects to 2.52 receptions on 3.64 targets for 35.8 yards and 0.23 touchdowns. 

Cedrick Wilson Jr. - WR, $4,400 (DK), $7,000 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2023 Stats: 55 targets, 21 receptions, 272 receiving yards, three touchdowns. 
  • Opponent DVOA vs. WR2: 18.33%

I'll wrap things up with Cedrick Wilson Jr. Wilson will likely take over the WR2 role assuming that Jaylen Waddle does sit out of this game. This gives him a positive matchup in terms of DVOA, as shown above. Wilson projects to 1.62 receptions for 3.7 targets for 21.63 yards and 0.1 touchdowns. Truthfully I think his projections are a bit low given the situation, his price, and how I believe this game plays out. I certainly believe he is a quality value option here. 

Other Value Options: Bills D/ST, Latavius Murray

Enjoy the rest of your weekend and good luck everyone! 



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Weekly DFS Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Luke Schoonmaker3 hours ago

Commands 10 Targets Amidst Teammate's Injury
CeeDee Lamb3 hours ago

Remains Productive Despite Loss
Houston Texans4 hours ago

Texans D/ST Finds End Zone In Victory At Dallas
Joe Mixon4 hours ago

Extends Hot Streak Against Cowboys
Anthony Davis5 hours ago

Back On The Injury Report For Tuesday
Stephen Curry5 hours ago

Officially Active Versus The Clippers
Pablo Reyes6 hours ago

Yankees Sign Pablo Reyes, Cristian Hernandez To Minors Deals
Jalen Johnson6 hours ago

Ruled Out Against Kings
6 hours ago

Juan Soto Meets With Yankees, Dodgers Up Next
Nikola Jokic6 hours ago

Still Questionable Heading Into Tuesday
Deivi García6 hours ago

Deivi Garcia Agrees With Brewers On Minor-League Deal
Luis Gil6 hours ago

Wins AL Rookie Of The Year Award
Stephen Curry6 hours ago

Expected To Play On Tuesday Night
Jake Ferguson6 hours ago

Won't Return On Monday
Paul Skenes6 hours ago

Named 2024 NL Rookie Of The Year
Jose Alvarado7 hours ago

Ruled Out Ahead Of Tuesday's Game
Domantas Sabonis7 hours ago

Ruled Out For Second Straight Game
Dorian Finney-Smith8 hours ago

Likely To Play On Tuesday
Ziaire Williams8 hours ago

Listed As Probable For Tuesday
Isaiah Joe8 hours ago

Ruled Out For Tuesday’s Game
Tre Mann8 hours ago

Questionable For Tuesday
Brock Purdy8 hours ago

Day-To-Day With Shoulder Soreness
George Kittle8 hours ago

Expected To Practice On Wednesday
Wendell Carter Jr.8 hours ago

Not Playing Monday
CeeDee Lamb9 hours ago

Officially Active On Monday Night
Payton Pritchard9 hours ago

Questionable For Tuesday
Bilal Coulibaly9 hours ago

Absent On Monday
Tim Hardaway Jr.9 hours ago

Getting Back In Action
Jaden Ivey9 hours ago

Will Play On Monday
Caris LeVert9 hours ago

Questionable For Tuesday's Matchup With Celtics
Damian Lillard9 hours ago

Returning On Monday
Giannis Antetokounmpo9 hours ago

Cleared To Play On Monday Night
Sam Merrill9 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Tuesday
Myles Turner9 hours ago

Out On Monday Night
Jordan Greenway10 hours ago

Out Week-To-Week
David Savard10 hours ago

Good To Go Monday
Vitek Vanecek10 hours ago

Unavailable On Monday
Mike Reilly10 hours ago

To Undergo Heart Procedure On Tuesday
Calle Jarnkrok10 hours ago

Out Month-To-Month Following Surgery
Auston Matthews10 hours ago

Ruled Out For Another Week
Darnell Nurse10 hours ago

Expected To Miss 5-10 Days
Nico Collins11 hours ago

Won't Face Playing-Time Restrictions On Monday Night
New York Giants12 hours ago

Brian Daboll On The Hot Seat In New York?
13 hours ago

Cubs Hiring Tyler Zombro As Special Assistant
Brady Singer13 hours ago

Reds, Royals Discussing Jonathan India, Brady Singer
Gardner Minshew II13 hours ago

Raiders Sticking With Gardner Minshew II At QB
13 hours ago

Sean Manaea To Reject Mets' Qualifying Offer
13 hours ago

Yankees A Good Fit For Christian Walker?
Dak Prescott13 hours ago

Heading To Injured Reserve
13 hours ago

Braves Have Interest In Walker Buehler
Isiah Pacheco13 hours ago

Andy Reid On Isiah Pacheco: "We'll See How He Does In Practice"
13 hours ago

Astros Interested In Willy Adames
Austin Slater14 hours ago

Agrees With White Sox
Gabe Davis14 hours ago

Won't Return In 2024
Mike Evans14 hours ago

Seen At Practice On Monday
CeeDee Lamb15 hours ago

Tracking Towards Playing On Monday Night
Charles Oliveira15 hours ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Michael Chandler15 hours ago

Gets Dominated At UFC 309
Adam Thielen15 hours ago

Expected To Return In Week 12
Jonathon Brooks15 hours ago

Expected To Debut Against Chiefs
Bryce Young15 hours ago

Will Start In Week 12
Karine Silva15 hours ago

Suffers Her First UFC Loss
Darnell Mooney16 hours ago

Hamstring Injury Not Believed To Be Serious
Gabe Davis16 hours ago

Believed To Have Suffered Meniscus Tear
Viviane Araujo16 hours ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Mauricio Ruffy16 hours ago

Extends His Win Streak To Six
Alexis Lafrenière19 hours ago

Alexis Lafreniere Extends Point Streak With Game-Winning Goal
Jonathan Quick19 hours ago

Keeps Kraken Quiet
Martin Necas19 hours ago

Keeps Scoring Streak Going With Four-Point Effort
Pyotr Kochetkov19 hours ago

Makes Winning Return
Steven Stamkos19 hours ago

Hits Pair Of Power-Play Goals
Alex Ovechkin19 hours ago

Bags 31st Career Hat Trick
Michael Rasmussen1 day ago

Might Be An Option Monday
Mason McTavish1 day ago

Lands On Injured Reserve
Andrew Peeke1 day ago

Returns To Practice Sunday
Alexandar Georgiev1 day ago

Added To Injured Reserve
Andrew Painter1 day ago

Earns AFL Pitcher Of The Year Honors
Samuel Ersson1 day ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Tommy Novak1 day ago

Returns For Predators Sunday
Ryan Reaves1 day ago

Suspended For Five Games
Nicholas Padilla1 day ago

Phillies Sign Nicholas Padilla To Minor-League Deal
Jac Caglianone2 days ago

With Three-Hit Game In AFL Championship
Josue Briceno2 days ago

Wins AFL MVP After Triple-Crown Campaign
Nick Martinez2 days ago

Signs Qualifying Offer With Reds
2 days ago

Luis Severino Likely To Decline Qualifying Offer From Mets
James Llontop2 days ago

Loses Clear-Cut Decision In Thrilling Fight At UFC 309
Paul Craig2 days ago

Loses Decision At UFC 309
Bo Nickal2 days ago

Remains Undefeated With Lackluster Performance At UFC 309
Stipe Miocic2 days ago

Retires After UFC 309 Loss
Jon Jones2 days ago

Gets TKO Win At UFC 309 To Defend Heavyweight Title
Seth Jones2 days ago

Added To Injured Reserve
Tampa Bay Rays3 days ago

Rays Deal To Build A New Stadium Now Dead?
Christian Roa3 days ago

Outrighted To Triple-A
Aramis Garcia3 days ago

Diamondbacks Sign Connor Kaiser, Aramis Garcia To Minors Deals
Michael Chandler4 days ago

Set For A Rematch At UFC 309
Charles Oliveira4 days ago

A Favorite At UFC 309
Viviane Araujo4 days ago

An Underdog At UFC 309
Karine Silva4 days ago

Looks To Extend Her Win Streak
Mauricio Ruffy4 days ago

Looks For His Second UFC Win
James Llontop4 days ago

A Big Underdog At UFC 309
Paul Craig4 days ago

Looks To Snap Losing Skid At UFC 309
Bo Nickal4 days ago

Puts Undefeated Record On The Line At UFC 309
Stipe Miocic4 days ago

Ends Layoff At UFC 309
Jon Jones4 days ago

Defends Heavyweight Title At UFC 309
Henrik Norlander5 days ago

Needs Strong Showing At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Michael Kim5 days ago

Playing Well Down The Stretch
Nick Taylor5 days ago

Returns To Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Jhonattan Vegas5 days ago

Playing Well Heading To Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Matthias Schmid5 days ago

Looks To Bounce Back At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Patrick Rodgers5 days ago

Heads To Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Mackenzie Hughes5 days ago

Debuts At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Maverick McNealy5 days ago

Seeking Back-To-Back Top-10 Finishes In Bermuda
Lucas Glover5 days ago

In A Groove Ahead Of Bermuda Championship
Andrew Putnam5 days ago

A Player To Watch In Bermuda
PGA5 days ago

Nico Echavarria In Top Form Heading To Bermuda
Nick Hardy6 days ago

Looks To Find Consistency On The Greens In Bermuda
Carson Young6 days ago

Hopes To Carry Recent Form To Bermuda
Kevin Yu6 days ago

A Name To Watch At Butterfield Bermuda Championship

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Taysom Hill - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

Week 12 Waiver Wire Pickups (QB, RB, WR, TE): Free Agent Adds Include Anthony Richardson, Matthew Stafford, Quentin Johnston, Christian Watson, DeMario Douglas, Elijah Moore, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Taysom Hill, and Will Dissly

Welcome to our Week 12 fantasy football waiver wire pickups article for the 2024 season. The waiver wire is a fantasy manager's best friend in most years. That hasn't been the case this year. However, Week 12 offers plenty of players to target this week. While we still don't have a quality running back to […]


Video: MUST ADD Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12! Fantasy Football 2024

Our top 2024 fantasy football Week 12 waiver wire pickups for RB, WR, TE, and QB. This week's must-add fantasy football free agents -- potential waiver wire winners heading into Week 11 for running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks. Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (SiriusXM channel 87) - every […]


Tank Dell - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

NFL DFS Lineup Picks For FanDuel, DraftKings - Texans vs. Cowboys MNF Showdown (Week 11)

Welcome back, RotoBallers! We have a Texas-sized matchup tonight as C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans (6-4) head to Dallas to take on Cooper Rush and the Cowboys (3-6). Both teams are missing some pieces tonight, most notably with Dak Prescott sidelined for the rest of the season for the Cowboys. Let's see how this […]


Joe Mixon - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Cowboys vs. Texans MNF Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - C.J. Stroud, CeeDee Lamb, Joe Mixon, Rico Dowdle, Nico Collins, and more

In what feels like an instant, we're already into the second half of the 2024 fantasy football and NFL season. Read our Monday Night Football matchups analysis article for the Cowboys vs. Texans game to help make any fantasy football lineup decisions for both season-long and DFS. This week's Monday night showdown features two teams […]


Week 12 Waiver Wire Rankings (2024) - Fantasy Football Pickups Include Jerry Jeudy, Taysom Hill, Ameer Abdullah, Christian Watson, Jonnu Smith

In addition to injuries, fantasy managers have bye weeks to deal with as the fantasy playoffs are set to begin in a few weeks. At RotoBaller HQ, we are here to help guide you through the waiver wire and help find those bye week and injury replacements with our Week 12 fantasy football waiver wire […]


Jerry Jeudy - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Waiver Wire Express - Week 12 Lightning Round Including Jerry Jeudy, Jonathon Brooks, Taysom Hill, Jonnu Smith, Dylan Laube, Bo Nix, more

Salute to those still in the fantasy football fight with Week 12 on the horizon. We've got plenty on our plate to pick apart from the week that was as we gear up for the playoff push! As always, let's start our routine strong by kicking things off with our fantasy football waiver wire pickups […]


Kirk Cousins - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Biggest Fantasy Football Busts Of The Week - Fantasy Outlooks For Kirk Cousins, Aaron Jones, Terry McLaurin, Jaylen Waddle, Travis Kelce, more

The 11th Sunday of the 2024 NFL season has come and gone. Hopefully, you woke up on Monday morning feeling very good about how your matchup went. However, this week's slate of games was certainly stress-inducing for many fantasy football managers. Part of that stress was caused by a group of players who drastically underachieved […]


Darnell Mooney - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Top Fantasy Football Injuries From Sunday's Games: Darnell Mooney, Alexander Mattison, Tyjae Spears, More

We were again fortunate on the injury front in Week 11 as it was another relatively light week. Who knew such things were allowed in the 2024 fantasy football season? While this week’s injury report is light in terms of volume, there are some potential fantasy impacts. We didn’t come away completely unscathed. So let’s […]


Jerry Jeudy - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Unexpected Boom Performances: Fantasy Football Risers Include Taysom Hill, Jonnu Smith, Jerry Jeudy, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Kendrick Bourne

Week 11 provided fans with plenty of great games to savor on Sunday. The Packers survived in Chicago by blocking Cairo Santos's game-winning field goal attempt, the Colts beat the Jets with a score in the final minute, and the Chargers held on to defeat Cincinnati on Sunday Night Football. A lot of players put […]


Roschon Johnson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

Running Back Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups for Week 12: Top Free Agent Adds Include Jaylen Warren, Cam Akers, Roschon Johnson, Ray Davis

All fantasy managers are to be commended for their resilience while rising to the challenges that have emerged during the regular season. It is now critical that you maintain your unwavering focus on navigating the obstacles that remain in your path as you plan for your Week 12 matchups. That includes the first of two […]


Breece Hall - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Top 10 Running Back Studs - Best Fantasy Football RB Performances Including Saquon Barkley, Breece Hall, David Montgomery, And More

Week 11 is nearly in the books, and it might have just been the best weekend of football yet. The Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers again played a slobberknocker -- as is usually the case when these two AFC North foes square off -- as every matchup between the long-time rivals seems to come down […]


Zach Ertz - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Tight Ends Fantasy Football Waiver Wire - Week 12 TE Pickups Including Jonnu Smith, Taysom Hill, Zach Ertz, Hunter Henry, Will Dissly

Just like retail shoppers know “Black Friday” is coming up, fantasy footballers know that “Black Sunday” is happening during the 12th week of the NFL regular season. Why am I calling next week “Black Sunday”? It is because a season-high six teams are on bye, decimating the rosters of fantasy teams hoping to secure playoff […]


Bo Nix - Fantasy Football Rankings, QB, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

Top Week 12 Quarterback Pickups - Best Fantasy QB Adds, Streamers Include Bo Nix, Anthony Richardson, Russell Wilson and more

There were some excellent quarterback performances for fantasy football in Week 11. Jared Goff (412 passing yards and four touchdowns) and Anthony Richardson (272 passing yards and a passing touchdown, 32 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns) each finished with more than 28 fantasy points. In total, eight different quarterbacks surpassed the 20.0-point mark. Six […]