X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

NFL Betting Picks for Week 11 (11/22/2020) - Moneylines, Totals, and Spreads

Tua Tagovailoa - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

The latest Rotoballer NFL betting picks for Week 11.

Week 10 was a mixed bag, starting with the surprising Giants' upset of the Eagles. The undefeated Steelers, meanwhile, easily dispatched of the conference rival Bengals to notch our only win of the week. Denver had a golden opportunity, but narrowly missed out on the first half over by half a point. Filling in for Steve this week, I'll be hoping to get the NFL bettors back in the green in Week 11.

  • Week 10: 1-2 (33%, -1.1u)
  • 2020 Season: 14-15-1 (47%, -1.24u)

(You can stop the intro here if you’ve read this article before). However, things are going to get interesting with the amount of injuries we're seeing around the league, but that will make capping more fun, I think? I'm not a professional but I love researching stats and finding value. My goal is to provide you with information that can help you make informed bets, whether you agree or disagree with me. I "bet to lose" one unit on almost every play but will definitely label it if I do differently.

I'll be filling in for Steve to provide my best bets and recommendations for Week 11 of the 2020 NFL season. Steve, our resident betting expert for the NFL, will be back in a few weeks and you can find him on Twitter @RotoStevieJ. You can also follow Steve on the Action app (@sgjanik6) where he posts every pick that he plays. With that, I hope you enjoy, best of luck, and please bet responsibly!

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Football Team (-1.5, -122)

O/U: 46.5

The Bengals entered the year with relatively low expectations, but high hopes for the future. Youn quarterback Joe Burrow has justified the hype thus far, with 12 touchdowns and 5 interceptions this season. In Burrow's last three games, he has thrown for 6 touchdowns and only 1 interception, and has had a passer rating above 106 in two of the three games. Pitt product Tyler Boyd and his fellow ACC alum Tee Higgins from Clemson have been stellar as receivers this year. Boyd, with 60 catches and 625 yards, is well on his way to another 1,000 yard season. Higgins, meanwhile, has come on lately with an average of 6 catches and 97.3 yards over his last four games. If the Burrow-to-Higgins connection continues on Sunday, the Bengals offense should be able to look more like the team that beat Tennessee by 11 in Week 8 than the team that was embarrassed by Pittsburgh last week.

Coach Ron Rivera has been tasked with the difficult job of coaching a team devoid of NFL talent. The Alex Smith comeback story is a great story, but the on-field performance is a disappointing story. Smith has thrown for only 1 touchdown and 3 interceptions this season, and has been sacked 10 times in the 3 games that he has played in. Surprisingly, Smith has never thrown a touchdown against the Bengals, a streak which may continue this Sunday. The former Redskins' playmakers are former Ohio State wide receiver Terry McLaurin (57 receptions, 787 yards) and the running back combo of Antonio Gibson (436 rushing yards, 202 receiving yards, 7 touchdowns) and J.D. McKissic (41 receptions).  Outside of that trio, the proven weapons are far and few between.

In a game between two two-win teams that have few realistic playoff aspirations, the Bengals should have the upper hand. Offensive tackle Jonah Williams' injury status will be important to monitor for Burrow's blindside safety, but the Washington offense is wholly uninspiring at the moment. Washington has lost 4 games by double digits, and it would not be unreasonable to see that increase to 5 on Sunday.

Pick: Cincinnati ML (+106, Draftkings) 1 Unit

 

Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings (-7, -320)

O/U: 48

The 2020 season has been a lost cause for the Cowboys, and an even larger loss for Cowboys bettors. The Cowboys did not cover a game until their Week 9 loss to the Steelers, while covering a 14-point spread. In that surprisingly close loss, quarterback Garrett Gilbert played sufficiently enough to keep America's team in the game, but not well enough to inspire confidence that he could will the team to victory. Since losing Dak Prescott to a season-ending injury and replacing Prescott with the brigade of Andy Dalton, Ben DiNucci and Gilbert, the Cowboys have been outscored 110 to 41. On top of the up-and-down quarterback play, star running back Ezekiel Elliott is questionable with a hamstring injury. Coach Mike McCarthy's inaugural season in Dallas is surely one that he would like to forget.

Minnesota opened the season with a dismal 1-5 record. In the team's Week 7 bye, Coach Mike Zimmer turned the right knobs and has the Vikings on a 3-game win streak with wins over three divisional foes. Running back Dalvin Cook has been nearly unstoppable with over 100 yards from scrimmage in five of the past six games, including three over 200 yards from scrimmage. When Cook isn't busy running all over opponents or scoring touchdowns at will (13 touchdowns in 9 games). quarterback Kirk Cousins has been able to find his receivers Adam Thielen and the rookie Justin Jefferson with consistency. Jefferson, in particular, has been crucial in the winning streak, including 8 catches for 135 yards on Monday Night Football against the Bears last week.

With a limited Elliott and the worst-ranked scoring defense in the league, Dallas may be looking at a recipe for a long afternoon. Reports indicate that Andy Dalton will be ready to play for the Cowboys on Sunday, but unfortunately that won't cure the team's defensive woes. The turnover differentials for both teams (-13 for Dallas and -3 for Minnesota) are dismal. Matching the fifth-best rushing attack (Minnesota) against the 31st defensive rushing unit (Dallas) could turn out for a disastrous day.

Pick: Minnesota -7  (+100, FoxBet) 1 Unit

 

Miami Dolphins (-3.5, -167) at Denver Broncos

O/U: 44.5

Sitting at 6-3, in 2nd place in the AFC East Division, and in the hunt for the Wild Card, the Miami Dolphins are one of the most pleasant surprises of the 2020 season. Since handing over the reigns to rookie sensation Tua Tagovailoa, the team is 3-0. Tua has thrown for 5 touchdowns and no interceptions in his 3 starts, slowly gaining more responsibilities and trust on offense each game. With a 7-2 record against-the-spread, Miami has been the top team in the league for bettors. Coach Brian Flores' squad has combined a productive offense (27.9 points per game, good for 9th in the league) with a stout defense (5th scoring defense in the league) that has Miami fans thinking of the playoffs as a reasonable goal. For daily fantasy sports players, former Washington Huskies running back Salvon Ahmed should be a player on most radars, as he is poised for a big opportunity on Sunday to play in a game that Miami will hope to coast ahead early on in.

The Denver Broncos have had an up-and-down season, sitting at 3-6, with all three wins over teams with losing records. Quarterback play has been a significant issue - with the triumvirate of Drew Lock, Jeff Driskel and Brett Rypien combining for 12 touchdowns and 16 interceptions. On the ground, Melvin Gordon has not provided the boost that had been hoped for, while Phillip Lindsay has struggled with injuries. Coach Vic Fangio has been a defensive coach since his 1979 inaugural coaching season as the linebackers coach at Dunmore (PA) high school, and he can't be thrilled about the team's 27th ranked scoring defense. The defense's dismal performance does not give much room for error for a poor offense that scores a mere 20.7 points per game, good for 28th of the 32 teams in the NFL. The Broncos are not without hope - second-year tight end Noah Fant has emerged as a player with All-Pro potential and defensive end Bradley Chubb is validating his fifth overall draft position in the 2018 draft - but the overall sum of the parts has been unable to click thus far.

Riding a hot hand comes with the risk that you'll be jumping on the bandwagon at the wrong moment. However, the Dolphins and Broncos are two teams moving in opposite directions. Expect Tua and the 'Fins to jump out to a quick lead, and hope to hold on against the best that Drew Lock and the Broncos can throw at them.

Pick: Miami 1st half -2 (-120, FanDuel) 1 Unit



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Weekly Lineup Prep

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jameson Williams

Lions Didn't Entertain Trade Offers For Jameson Williams
Dalton Rushing

Homers In Four-Hit Game
Qadir Ismail

Raiders Sign Qadir Ismail
New York Giants

Giants Plan To Exercise Kayvon Thibodeaux's Fifth-Year Option
Russell Wilson

Will Be Giants Starting Quarterback
Max Muncy

With A Pair Of Doubles Back At Triple-A
Michael Lorenzen

Tosses Quality Start
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs Close Out The First Round With Josh Simmons
Philadelphia Eagles

Eagles Trade Up One Spot In First Round To Select Jihaad Campbell
A.J. Puk

Likely To Miss Multiple Months
Marquis Grissom Jr.

Notches Fifth Save At Double-A
Buffalo Bills

Bills Address Secondary And Take Maxwell Hairston With 30th Overall Pick
Félix Bautista

Felix Bautista Records Third Save
NFL

Eagles, Chiefs Swap First-Round Picks
Washington Commanders

Josh Conerly Jr. Goes At No. 29 Overall To Commanders

Giants Trade Up For Jaxson Dart At No. 25
Detroit Lions

Tyleik Williams Taken By Lions At No. 28 Overall
Shane Smith

Tosses Five Shutout Frames
Roman Anthony

With Home Run No. 5 On Thursday
Baltimore Ravens

Ravens Go With Malaki Starks At No. 27 Overall In NFL Draft
Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota Takes Donovan Jackson No. 24 Overall
NFL

Rams Trade The 26th Pick In The 2025 NFL Draft To The Falcons
Andrés Muñoz

Andres Munoz Secures Ninth Save
Atlanta Falcons

Falcons Trade Back Into First Round To Draft James Pearce Jr. At No. 26 Overall

Matthew Golden Selected No. 23 Overall By Green Bay
NFL

Texans Trade The 25th Pick In The 2025 NFL Draft To The Giants
Jakob Marsee

Up To 18 Steals At Triple-A

Omarion Hampton Taken No. 22 Overall By Chargers
Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Selects Derrick Harmon At No. 21 Overall
Denver Broncos

Broncos Build Secondary By Selecting Jahdae Barron At No. 20

Buccaneers Add Emeka Egbuka At No. 19
Jeff McNeil

Activated From Injured List
Brett Baty

Optioned To Minors
Zack Gelof

To Begin Rehab Assignment Next Week
Ryan Walker

Remains Giants Closer
Kumar Rocker

Heads To Injured List
Brent Rooker

Resting For First Time This Season
Jrue Holiday

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Jayson Tatum

Likely Out Again On Friday
Isaiah Stewart

Remains Out For Game 3
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go Thursday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Looks To Bounce Back In Game 2
Rasmus Ristolainen

To Miss Training Camp
Jonas Siegenthaler

Returns To Practice
Aliaksei Protas

Traveling With Capitals
Gabriel Vilardi

Still Out On Thursday
Max Pacioretty

Set To Join Maple Leafs Lineup For Game 3
Bryan Woo

Picks Up Third Win, Strikes Out Eight On Thursday
Cade Cavalli

Moving Rehab Assignment To Double-A
Paul DeJong

Having Surgery On His Nose
Royce Lewis

Starting His Rehab Assignment On Friday
Tyler O'Neill

Out On Thursday With Sore Neck
Linus Ullmark

Attempts To Overcome Playoff Struggles Thursday
Anthony Cirelli

A Game-Time Call Thursday
Logan Thompson

Comes Up Big In Game 2
Connor McMichael

Strikes Twice In Wednesday's Win
Anze Kopitar

Tallies Four Points In Game 2 Victory
Adrian Kempe

Notches Two Goals, Two Assists In Wednesday's Win
Tyler Seguin

Gives Stars Series Lead With Overtime Winner
Gabriel Landeskog

Delivers Six Hits In First Game Since 2022
Tyler Herro

Scores Game-High 33 Points In Wednesday's Loss
Donovan Mitchell

Fires In 30 Points In Game 2 Win
Paolo Banchero

Notches 32 Points In Game 2 Loss
Jaylen Brown

Posts 36-Point Double-Double Wednesday
Jalen Green

Erupts For 38 Points In Game 2 Victory
Brandin Podziemski

Limited To 14 Minutes Wednesday
Jimmy Butler III

Set For MRI Thursday
Brandin Podziemski

Upgraded To Available
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Michael Porter Jr.

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Davion Mitchell

Moves Into Starting Lineup Wednesday
Brandin Podziemski

Picks Up Questionable Tag
Al Horford

Starts Game 2
Michael Porter Jr.

Practices On Wednesday
Jayson Tatum

Out On Wednesday
Isaiah Stewart

May Miss Another Game Thursday
NYI

Cal Clutterbuck Announces Retirement
Pavel Zacha

Recovering From Small Procedure
Nikolaj Ehlers

To Miss At Least Two More Games
Miro Heiskanen

Still Out On Wednesday
John Klingberg

Enters Oilers Lineup For Game 2
Evander Kane

To Make Season Debut Wednesday Night
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Posts Team-High 26 Points In Tuesday's Loss
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Notches 27 Points Despite Poor Shooting
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Pascal Siakam

Scores Team-High 24 Points In Game 2 Win
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Max McGreevy

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Erik Van Rooyen

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event