X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

NCAA Tournament Betting Picks for Final Four - 2022 March Madness

Paolo Banchero daily college fantasy basketball CFB DFS picks March Madness

The brilliance of the NCAA tournament is being played out this year. This is a year in which we have had many upsets, and at the end of the day, the Final Four is the all-time winningest program in the NCAA (Kansas), No. 3 (North Carolina), and No. 4 (Duke), along with the team that has won two NCAA tournaments in the last six years. At some point, the cream rises to the top. All four of these teams are playing some of their best basketball and it will make for a fun Final Four.

Similar to all of the previous rounds, I am going to share my top betting picks for each subsequent round of the NCAA Tournament here at RotoBaller, and am excited to share my thoughts with you! Be sure to also check out the rest of our NCAA Tournament articles and analysis including previews, predictions, sleepers, busts, and guides on how to fill out your brackets.

This article highlights my top college basketball betting picks for the Final Four (Saturday, April 2nd). I will be posting a spreadsheet with all of my bets for the NCAA tournament. You can follow all of my picks, including live picks, on my Twitter @Mark_Kieffer. All game times below are Eastern Standard Time and reference the odds at Caesars Sportsbook. You can access all of our latest sports betting promos, and sign up for Caesars Sportsbook here.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

#2 Villanova vs. #1 Kansas

Saturday 6:09 PM

It is my belief that whoever wins this game will win the NCAA Tournament. Looking at the game lines, Kansas is a four-point favorite, a -190 favorite on the Moneyline, and the total is set to 133.0 points. My first reaction was that this four-point spread was too high, given this game is close to a coin flip for me. Then I remembered that Justin Moore is injured. Is he worth three points in the point spread?

Villanova has four contributors that they rely on: Collin Gillespie, Jermaine Samuels, Eric Dixon, and Justin Moore. Even with Moore out, they will have three big contributors that could theoretically pick up the slack, so it is not like Villanova is a one-man team.

I want to take Villanova and the points; they are the best free-throw shooting team in the country and they shoot 35.7% from the three-point range. I like them being able to keep the score close and possibly back door cover if they are down by more than four. As the week goes on, people could jump on the Moore injury and the point spread could move up in favor of Kansas.

I have two bets for this game: first half under 62.5 (-110) and then Villanova +4 (-110).

Pick: Villanova +4 (-110), first half Under 62.5 (-110)

 

#8 North Carolina vs. #2 Duke

Saturday 8:49 PM

It is kind of hard to believe that given the history of these two programs, they have not met in the NCAA tournament before. Duke is a four and a half point favorite, a -200 Moneyline, and the total is set to 151.0 points.

While both teams are capable of scoring (Duke is No. 1 in offensive efficiency, North Carolina is No. 18 in offensive efficiency), we could be in store for a low-scoring first half. The Final Four adds a whole other level to the tournament. The teams are going to be excited but also cautious. Neither side will want to lose to their rival to end their season! Would you want to be eliminated by your arch-rival?

It feels weird to have this take given North Carolina has averaged 82.5 points, and Duke has averaged 79.75 points per game during this tournament. Duke's defense has been improving throughout the tournament. Michigan State scored 1.15 points per possession, Texas Tech was 1.09 points per possession, and then Arkansas was 0.99 points per possession. Really for Duke, it was an effort and focus thing as opposed to talent with playing better defense. They won the first two games of the tournament by being better offensively and they won with their defense (their 1.11 points per possession against Arkansas was the lowest of their tournament). North Carolina has been playing better defense as well, keeping their opponents under one point per possession on average (Baylor was 1.03 points per possession).

Because of this, I am going to take Under 71.5 points for the first half and hope I can profit from the tentativeness and the improved defenses of both teams early on in the game.

Pick: First half Under 71.5 points (-110)

Thanks for reading, bet smart, and enjoy the Final Four! I will write an update for the Championship, so be sure to check back on Sunday. Good luck RotoBallers!

More March Madness Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

NFL24 mins ago

Shemar Jean-Charles Signing With Seahawks
Velus Jones Jr.35 mins ago

Signs With Saints
Colby Thomas1 hour ago

X-Rays Come Back Negative On Colby Thomas
Brock Stewart2 hours ago

Exits With Knee Injury
Evan Sisk2 hours ago

Optioned to Triple-A
Will Benson2 hours ago

Sent To Triple-A
Bryan Shaw2 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Mookie Betts2 hours ago

Could Miss Tokyo Series
Quinton Byfield2 hours ago

Scores In Sixth-Straight Contest
Chase Elliott3 hours ago

May Be A Sneaky DFS Option For Las Vegas Lineups
Artemi Panarin3 hours ago

Extends Point Streak To Eight Games
Pyotr Kochetkov3 hours ago

Shuts The Door On Saturday
William Byron3 hours ago

Expect William Byron To Compete For The Win At Las Vegas
Tyler Reddick3 hours ago

Is One Of The Top DFS Options For Las Vegas
Anthony Cirelli3 hours ago

Strikes Twice On Saturday
Denny Hamlin3 hours ago

Could Denny Hamlin Be A Quality Driver For DFS At Las Vegas?
Alex Ovechkin3 hours ago

Scores Goal, Adds Assist In Victory
Connor Dewar3 hours ago

Scores Twice On Saturday
NASCAR3 hours ago

Bubba Wallace Could Be A Solid DFS Option For Las Vegas
Brad Keselowski3 hours ago

Qualifies Deep In The Field For Las Vegas
Erik Jones3 hours ago

Is Erik Jones Worth Rostering At Las Vegas This Week?
Daniel Suarez3 hours ago

Should Fantasy Players Roster Daniel Suarez At Las Vegas?
Carson Hocevar4 hours ago

Showcases Speed And Can Be Worth Rostering At Las Vegas
Ryan Preece4 hours ago

Is Ryan Preece A DFS Fade For Las Vegas Lineups?
Joey Logano5 hours ago

Likely to Lead at Las Vegas, but Will He Lead Enough for DFS Consideration?
Michael McDowell5 hours ago

Wins Spire Motorsports's First Pole at Las Vegas
Austin Cindric5 hours ago

Qualified Third, but Almost Guaranteed to Lose Spots
Chase Briscoe5 hours ago

Las Vegas Performance Hard to Predict
Ty Gibbs5 hours ago

a Solid DFS Option in Theory, but Disastrous Recent Performance Likely Overrides That
Shane Van Gisbergen5 hours ago

Too Inexperienced at Las Vegas for DFS Consideration Despite Trackhouse Speed
Noah Gragson5 hours ago

Finished Well at Las Vegas Last Year, but Ran Worse
Austin Dillon5 hours ago

Decent at Las Vegas, but Not Worthy of DFS Play
Josh Berry5 hours ago

Poor Intermediate Record Likely to Override Strong Qualifying Result
Justin Haley5 hours ago

Spire Speed Suggests Justin Haley Is a Strong DFS Option
Cole Custer5 hours ago

Could be Valuable If Haas Has Intermediate Speed
Mitch Garver11 hours ago

Goes Hitless In Return To Cactus League Action
Austin Riley11 hours ago

Doubles In Return To Lineup On Saturday
Jordan Mason11 hours ago

Vikings Acquire Jordan Mason From 49ers, Sign Him To Two-Year Deal
RJ Barrett13 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Sunday
Immanuel Quickley13 hours ago

Won't Play On Sunday
Jerami Grant13 hours ago

Unlikely To Play On Sunday
Marcus Smart13 hours ago

Downgraded To Out
Anfernee Simons13 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable For Sunday
Christian Braun13 hours ago

Available On Saturday
Aaron Gordon13 hours ago

Unavailable On Saturday
Jamal Murray13 hours ago

Will Play On Saturday Night
Nikola Jokić13 hours ago

Nikola Jokic Cleared To Suit Up Versus The Wizards
Colby Thomas14 hours ago

Sustains Injury On Saturday
Dee Eskridge14 hours ago

Sticking With Dolphins
Josh Giddey14 hours ago

Officially Out On Saturday Night
Ja Morant14 hours ago

Ruled Out On Saturday Night
JuJu Smith-Schuster14 hours ago

Returning To Chiefs
Josh Rojas15 hours ago

Exits Early On Saturday
Tennessee Titans15 hours ago

Chidobe Awuzie Released By Titans
Thairo Estrada15 hours ago

Removed From Saturday's Contest
Damian Lillard15 hours ago

Available Versus Indiana
Parris Campbell15 hours ago

Headed To Dallas
Nick Kurtz15 hours ago

Exits After Hit-By-Pitch
Giannis Antetokounmpo15 hours ago

Good To Go On Saturday
Jamal Murray15 hours ago

Added To Saturday's Injury Report
Jiri Kulich15 hours ago

Sustains An Upper-Body Injury Saturday
Tobias Myers15 hours ago

Exits Early On Saturday
Brice Turang15 hours ago

Dealing With Shoulder Fatigue
Tyler Myers15 hours ago

Set To Return Against Blackhawks
Nikita Kucherov15 hours ago

Good To Go Against Bruins
Yegor Chinakhov15 hours ago

Rejoins Blue Jackets Lineup Saturday
Cole Anthony15 hours ago

Back On The Injury Report
Joel Armia16 hours ago

Expected To Return On Saturday
Brady Tkachuk16 hours ago

Available Saturday
Donovan Mitchell16 hours ago

Questionable Against Orlando
Adam Fox16 hours ago

Ready To Rejoin Rangers Lineup
Andre Drummond16 hours ago

Out Against Dallas
Ja Morant16 hours ago

Questionable On Saturday Night
P.J. Washington16 hours ago

Returning On Sunday
Philadelphia Eagles19 hours ago

Patrick Johnson Rejoins Philadelphia
Dante Exum19 hours ago

Diagnosed With A Fractured Left Hand
Los Angeles Rams19 hours ago

Larrell Murchison Back With The Rams
Amed Rosario19 hours ago

Returning On Saturday
Cam Thomas19 hours ago

Expected To Miss Rest Of The Season
Jose Trevino19 hours ago

Going For CT Scan
Kirk Cousins19 hours ago

Set To Receive Roster Bonus
Bryce Eldridge20 hours ago

Will Not Play On Saturday
Aaron Rodgers20 hours ago

Wants To Play In Minnesota
Blake Perkins20 hours ago

Cleared For Light Baseball Activities
Doug Nikhazy20 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Jung Hoo Lee20 hours ago

Scratched On Saturday With Back Tightness
Cody Bradford20 hours ago

Won't Throw For At Least Four Weeks
Washington Commanders21 hours ago

Clelin Ferrell Returning To Washington
New York Jets21 hours ago

Kris Boyd Signs With The Jets
Los Angeles Chargers21 hours ago

Mekhi Becton Inks Deal With Chargers
Tyler Johnson22 hours ago

Links Up With Jets
Kyle Juszczyk23 hours ago

Returns To 49ers
Eeli Tolvanen1 day ago

Scores Twice In Victory
WPG1 day ago

Kyle Connor Strikes Twice On Friday
Jack Roslovic1 day ago

Tallies Goal, Assist In Friday's Victory
Leon Draisaitl1 day ago

Leads Edmonton To Victory
Liam O'Brien1 day ago

Exits With Undisclosed Injury
Josh Manson1 day ago

Exits On Friday
Atlanta Falcons1 day ago

Falcons Agree To Terms With Morgan Fox
Indianapolis Colts1 day ago

Colts Sign Corey Ballentine To One-Year Deal On Friday
Pittsburgh Steelers1 day ago

Brandin Echols Signs Two-Year Deal With Steelers
Kenny Yeboah1 day ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Lions
Avery Williams2 days ago

Signs With Eagles
Karel Vejmelka2 days ago

Makes Ninth Consecutive Start Friday
Dustin Wolf2 days ago

Set To Face Avalanche Friday
Roman Dolidze2 days ago

Set For A Rematch
Marvin Vettori2 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Chidi Njokuani2 days ago

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos2 days ago

Looks For His 12th UFC Win
Kurt Holobaugh2 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 104
Alexander Hernandez2 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Cody Gibson2 days ago

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Da'Mon Blackshear2 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 104
Brendson Ribeiro2 days ago

Searching For Second UFC Win On Saturday
Diyar Nurgozhay2 days ago

Set To Make His UFC Debut
MMA2 days ago

Seung Woo Choi In Dire Need Of Victory
Kevin Vallejos2 days ago

Makes Debut At UFC Vegas 104
Jacob Bridgeman4 days ago

Use Caution For Jacob Bridgeman At TPC Sawgrass
Nicolai Hojgaard4 days ago

Looks To Stay Consistent Heading Into PLAYERS Championship
Karl Vilips4 days ago

Makes PLAYERS Championship Debut After First PGA Tour Win
Taylor Pendrith4 days ago

A Sneaky Play At TPC Sawgrass
Sahith Theegala4 days ago

Out Of Form Ahead Of The PLAYERS Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick4 days ago

A Shaky Play Heading Into PLAYERS
Scottie Scheffler4 days ago

Eyeing Three-Peat At TPC Sawgrass
Aldrich Potgieter4 days ago

A Risky Play At TPC Sawgrass
Si Woo Kim4 days ago

Looks To Keep Building Momentum At The PLAYERS
Denny McCarthy4 days ago

Looks To Continue Solid Play At TPC Sawgrass
Collin Morikawa4 days ago

Poised For Another Strong Performance At TPC Sawgrass
Robert MacIntyre4 days ago

A Risky Play With Upside At The PLAYERS Championship
Jordan Spieth4 days ago

Looking To Change Fortunes At TPC Sawgrass
Cameron Young4 days ago

Avoid Cameron Young At The PLAYERS Championship
Michael Kim4 days ago

Continues Incredible Form Ahead Of The PLAYERS Championship
Justin Thomas4 days ago

Looking For More Magic At TPC Sawgrass
Xander Schauffele5 days ago

Continues Competitive Return At The Players Championship
Rory McIlroy5 days ago

Looks To Reverse Recent History At TPC Sawgrass
PGA5 days ago

Victor Hovland Looking To Find Form At The PLAYERS Championship
Brian Harman5 days ago

A Sleeper Pick At The PLAYERS Championship
Min Woo Lee5 days ago

A Hard Name To Trust At The Players Championship
Alex Pereira6 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC 313
Magomed Ankalaev6 days ago

Becomes The New UFC Light-Heavyweight Champion
Justin Gaethje6 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Rafael Fiziev6 days ago

Loses Third Fight In A Row
Ignacio Bahamondes6 days ago

Gets Submission Win At UFC 313
Jalin Turner6 days ago

Retires After UFC 313 Loss
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF