X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

NBA DFS Risers/Fallers for Week 5

Player values are constantly moving targets in daily leagues. A high profile player can put together a couple of big games and see his price tag skyrocket. Likewise, a couple of bad games can lead a player's stock to plummet. The correlation isn't always immediate, leading to some discrepancies in value. Savvy DFS players can take advantage of falling values and avoid inflated prices to find the best value on a given night in the hopes of increased success. In this article, I will identify players whose anticipated value relative to their current price is on the rise, making them desirable targets. I will also name players whose value is dipping below their cost, making them players to fade.

Note: I will only be selecting players who are owned in at least 75% of Yahoo! leagues. Graphs are taken from SportingCharts.com's NBA Daily Fantasy Value Tracker and are indicative of values on 11/21/16.

Editor's Note: New users that sign up on FantasyAces, make a $20 deposit, and enter any game will receive BOTH our full season NBA and NFL Premium Passes for free, a $119.99 value. Just email [email protected] with your new FantasyAces username - and boom, that's it! We will email you with your Premium Passes.

 

DFS Value Risers - Week 5

Ish Smith (PG, DET) - FanDuel $5,400

Smith has remained a fairly consistent source of points and assists, poor shooting percentages aside. A pair of horrible games against the Clippers and Suns early in November contributed to a big slide in his price tag that hasn't rebounded yet. He repeated his 1-9 shooting from the Clippers game once again at Cleveland just four days ago, but he is able to score double digits on most nights. It's obvious he should be avoided against top competition on the road, but Smith is still a solid PG in daily leagues where you don't have to worry about FG%.

ishsmith DFS 11-21

Bradley Beal (SG, WAS) FanDuel $5,700

Beal dropped 42 points Monday against Phoenix, so it may be too late to jump on him as a value pick as his price is sure to balloon quickly. Beal's hamstring issue that cost him three games is a thing of the past and he has come back in a big way. He now has back-to-back 30 point games on his resume and has far outplayed his price point. You may have a game or two to capitalize on Beal's recent resurgence.

beal DFS 11-21

Klay Thompson (SG, GS) FanDuel $6,000

You knew the slump wouldn't last. The thought of Splash Brother #2 going through a shooting slump seems unfathomable, but his slow start led to a dip in both value and cost. He's picking up the slack big time lately. Thompson has been shooting the ball at a higher rate, averaging 9.2 FGM out of 17.8 FGA in the last five games. He's making four out of nine three-pointers in that span, well above his career averages of 2.6 3PM and 7.6 3PA. Now that he's comfortable in the offense with Kevin Durant as a component, his true value has returned.

klaythompson DFS 11-21

Jonas Valanciunas (PF/C, TOR) FanDuel $5,700

The big man in Toronto has inexplicably seen his price fall over the past week, even as his production increases. This will correct itself eventually, but it could be a matter of other centers providing much better value early in the season. Now that players like Hassan Whiteside and Kristaps Porzingis have established themselves as elite options, players like Valanciunas and, to a lesser extent, Rudy Gobert may be better values on a nightly basis. In eleven games this season, Valanciunas is averaging three points and almost two rebounds more than his career average at 14.4 PTS and 10.1 REB per game.

valanciunas DFS 11-21

Zach Randolph (PF/C, MEM) FanDuel $5,400

Randolph isn't a starter any more and won't put up the same numbers that fantasy owners are used to seeing from Z-Bo. For that reason, perception of his value has plummeted, while the truth is far different. The graph below shows how steady Randolph has been over the last nine games, collecting at least 10 points and seven rebounds in each contest. He isn't likely to explode for a big game any time soon, but Randolph is a safe play and one of the biggest bangs for the buck at the big man positions.

randolph DFS 11-21

 

DFS Value Fallers - Week 5

Kemba Walker (PG, CHA) FanDuel $8,200

Walker has emerged as one of the most clutch players in the league and should be an All-Star this season. He is shooting a career high .473 from the field with 3.1 3PM per game. That said, he is becoming pricier by the day because of his increased exposure and that leads to a discrepancy in value versus production. His 40 point, 10 rebound performance against Toronto sent him into a higher price range that may be too steep for DFS players, despite his consistent point production.

kembawalker DFS 11-21

Harrison Barnes (SF/PF, DAL) FanDuel $5,900

Barnes has made the most of his move to Dallas, taking advantage of injuries to several Mavs. He is averaging a surprising 21.2 PTS and 5.9 REB each game, but doesn't do a whole lot else for fantasy owners. Once the Mavericks get their key players back, Barnes will see fewer shots and will see his already declining value continue its path downward. In his last five games, Barnes is shooting 41.2%. His price tag isn't too steep, but his ideal value may have peaked two weeks ago.

barnes DFS 11-21

DeMar DeRozan (SG/SF, TOR) FanDuel $9,300

Just a week ago, De-Ro was leading the NBA in scoring. He's still up there with a career high 31.4 PTS on 44.7% shooting. One rough shooting game against Sacramento aside (blame the new arena), he doesn't appear to be fading. The problem is that his price tag has now surpassed his production, as he is now longer considered a second-tier player. He is a reliable scorer, but that doesn't make him a great value.

DeRozan DFS 11-21

Serge Ibaka (PF/C, ORL) FanDuel $5,800

If you notice a huge spike in Ibaka's graph, it's exactly what you think it is. Ibaka's huge game against his former teammates in OKC (31 PTS, 9 REB, 4 BLK) led to an expected spike in cost. If anything, Ibaka has been somewhat overvalued since the first week of the season, but now that margin has grown exponentially. He will get you a fair amount of points in any DFS league, but you'll pay for them.

Ibaka DFS 11-21

Greg Monroe (C, MIL) FanDuel $4,800

Rather than stepping up in Khris Middleton's absence this season, Monroe has taken a step back. A huge disappointment already, Monroe has really fallen off the last two weeks. He has only scored in double digits twice and collected double-digit rebounds on three occasions since November began. Worst of all, he hasn't blocked a single shot since Nov. 5. You should know that Monroe is now officially a bench player. Not just coming off the bench either, but glued to the bench. If he does play, it will be limited in minutes and surely production as well. Don't risk using him as a value play - he may not even be in the game on a given night. If he is traded mid-season as rumored, he may quickly turn into a value play again.

monroe DFS 11-21

 




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Luis Arraez18 mins ago

Going On Seven-Day Injured List
Gabriel Landeskog18 mins ago

Activated From Injured Reserve
Nick Kurtz22 mins ago

A's Calling Up Nick Kurtz
Javier Báez1 hour ago

Javier Baez Starting In Center Field On Monday
Keider Montero1 hour ago

Starting On Monday Against Padres
Jace Jung1 hour ago

Recalled And Starting On Monday For Tigers
Kerry Carpenter1 hour ago

Out On Monday, Not Going On Injured List
Jorbit Vivas2 hours ago

Yankees Recall Prospect Jorbit Vivas
Trent Grisham2 hours ago

Placed On Paternity List
Ben Rice2 hours ago

Still Out On Monday
Chase Meidroth2 hours ago

White Sox Place Chase Meidroth On 10-Day Injured List
Kyle Stowers3 hours ago

Sitting Against Southpaw
Jake Rogers3 hours ago

Plays Catch On Monday
Triston McKenzie3 hours ago

Designated For Assignment
Rob Brantly3 hours ago

Placed On 10-Day Injured List
Noelvi Marte3 hours ago

Starting Again On Monday
Kerry Carpenter4 hours ago

Testing Hamstring On Monday
Cody Bellinger4 hours ago

Productive In Win Over Rays
Juan Soto5 hours ago

Doubles, Knocks In Three
Andrew Vaughn5 hours ago

Notches Third Homer
Jake Bloss5 hours ago

Posts Best Outing Of The Season
Francisco Lindor5 hours ago

Collects Three Hits, Homers
Auston Matthews8 hours ago

Finishes Game 1 With Two Assists
Mitchell Marner9 hours ago

Totals Three Points In Postseason Opener
Matt Boldy9 hours ago

Bags Two Goals In Losing Effort
Brett Howden9 hours ago

Scores Twice In Sunday's Win
Logan Stankoven9 hours ago

Nets Two Goals In Game 1 Victory
Brenden Dillon9 hours ago

Makes Early Exit Sunday
Cody Glass9 hours ago

Injured In Game 1 Loss
Jayden Daniels22 hours ago

Focused On Improving In 2025
Isaiah Stewart23 hours ago

Iffy For Monday Night
Aaron Gordon23 hours ago

Listed As Probable For Game 2
Gabriel Vilardi23 hours ago

To Remain Out For Game 2
Logan Thompson24 hours ago

Could Be An Option Monday
Martin Fehérváry24 hours ago

Martin Fehervary Iffy For Game 1
Tanner Jeannot24 hours ago

Remains Week-To-Week, Out For Game 1
Zeev Buium1 day ago

Makes NHL Debut In Playoff Opener
Anthony Stolarz1 day ago

Makes First Career Postseason Start
Oliver Ekman-Larsson1 day ago

Good To Go Sunday
1 day ago

Washington Hosts Tre Harris
NFL1 day ago

Will Johnson Visits With Seattle
NFL1 day ago

Devon Key Sticking With Denver
Yegor Sharangovich1 day ago

Recovering From Broken Foot
Rasmus Andersson1 day ago

Played With Broken Fibula
Semyon Varlamov1 day ago

Expects To Be Ready For Next Season
Owen Power1 day ago

Avoids Surgery
Rasmus Ristolainen1 day ago

May Miss Start Of Next Season
Evander Kane1 day ago

Close To Being Cleared For Action
Jaylen Brown2 days ago

Not Expected To Be Limited On Sunday
Irv Smith2 days ago

Houston Re-Signs Irv Smith Jr.
Ja Morant3 days ago

Cleared To Play Friday
Brandon Williams3 days ago

Available Against Grizzlies
Anthony Davis3 days ago

Will Play Friday Night
Gary Trent Jr.3 days ago

Available For Game 1 Against Pacers
Taurean Prince3 days ago

Returns To Bucks Lineup Saturday
NFL3 days ago

Justin Hardee Sr. Waived With Non-Football Injury
Isaiah Stewart3 days ago

To Return For Game 1
Ausar Thompson3 days ago

Available For Game 1
Rui Hachimura3 days ago

On Track To Play Saturday
Austin Reaves3 days ago

Ready To Go For Game 1
NFL3 days ago

Bills Release Armani Rogers, Branson Deen
Luka Dončić3 days ago

Luka Doncic Removed From Injury Report
LeBron James3 days ago

Listed As Probable For Game 1
Ben Sheppard3 days ago

Probable For Saturday's Game 1
NFL3 days ago

Kolton Miller Absent From Raiders' Voluntary Offseason Program
Kevin Durant3 days ago

To Houston Already Losing Steam
Lauri Markkanen3 days ago

Wants To Stay With The Jazz
NFL3 days ago

Ross Blacklock Let Go By New York
Bennedict Mathurin3 days ago

Expected To Play In Game 1 Saturday
Pascal Siakam3 days ago

Available For Playoff Opener
Tyrese Haliburton3 days ago

Returning From Two-Game Absence Saturday
Cade Cunningham3 days ago

Available For Game 1 Against Knicks
NFL3 days ago

Raiders Considering Drafting A Quarterback
Irv Smith3 days ago

Sticking With Texans
NFL3 days ago

Texans Expected To Draft Wide Receivers
Greg Dortch3 days ago

Returning To Cardinals
Mark Andrews3 days ago

Could Be Traded Soon
NFL3 days ago

Raiders, Falcons Could Have Interest In Jalen Ramsey
3 days ago

Raiders Are High On Ashton Jeanty
Rome Odunze3 days ago

To Hopefully Get More Involved
NFL3 days ago

Dolphins Could Draft A Quarterback
James Cook3 days ago

Could Stay Away From Voluntary Workouts
Jake Tonges4 days ago

Signs Exclusive-Rights Tender
Denver Broncos4 days ago

Broncos To Focus On RB Position In Next Week's Draft
Ryan Blaney4 days ago

Bold Strategies Fall Flat, Still Musters A Top-Five Finish At Bristol
Lucas Glover5 days ago

Looks To Rebound After Poor Performance
Daniel Berger5 days ago

Looking To Continue Solid Play At RBC
Sepp Straka5 days ago

Looking To Bounce Back At RBC
Justin Thomas5 days ago

Looking To Shake Off Poor Masters At RBC Heritage
Xander Schauffele5 days ago

Still Looking For Year's First Win At RBC Heritage
Austin Dillon5 days ago

Nabs His First Top-10 Finish Of The 2025 Season At Bristol
Maverick McNealy5 days ago

Is An Intriguing Play At RBC Heritage
Shane Lowry5 days ago

Looks To Shake Off Poor Masters Sunday At RBC Heritage
Will Zalatoris5 days ago

Eyes A Bounce-Back At RBC Heritage
Gary Woodland5 days ago

Could Add Some Surprise At Hilton Head
Sam Burns5 days ago

Hoping For Better Times At RBC Heritage
Sahith Theegala5 days ago

Still Trying To Put It All Together
Aaron Rai5 days ago

Might Be That Guy For Hilton Head
Robert MacIntyre5 days ago

All Or Nothing At RBC Heritage
Tom Hoge5 days ago

Still Playing Solid Heading To Hilton Head
Nick Dunlap5 days ago

Continues To Have Rough Stretch
Keegan Bradley5 days ago

Looks To Move On From Masters Performance
Matt Fitzpatrick6 days ago

A Boom-Or-Bust Option At RBC Heritage
Patrick Cantlay6 days ago

A Strong Play At RBC Heritage
Jordan Spieth6 days ago

Targets Another Strong RBC Heritage Showing
Collin Morikawa6 days ago

Eyeing Victory At RBC Heritage
Max Homa6 days ago

Breaks Through At The Masters