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The 2022-2023 NBA season is here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, November 15.
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Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Kevin Huerter OVER 13.5 Points - I'll start things off with Kevin Huerter's points prop. Huerter has been up and down this season in terms of scoring but has been relatively consistent in hitting this line. He's scored 14+ points in eight out of 12 games on the year (67%), including his last three, as well as two of three against Brooklyn last season. My model projects Huerter for 16.7 points tonight, with a floor of 13 points, so we're getting good value here.
Domantas Sabonis OVER 11.5 Rebounds - Sticking with the Kings for a minute, I'll take a look at Domantas Sabonis's rebound prop as well. 11.5 is a relatively steep line, and Sabonis has only hit this in two of his last five and five of his last ten. However, the Vegas line on this number is -135, so I could easily see this number rising on sportsbooks. Not to mention my model has Sabonis projected for a whopping 18.4 rebounds tonight, with a floor of 11.3.
Mike Conley OVER 7.5 Assists - I'll finish things off today with Mike Conley's assist prop. Conley has hit this number in six of his last ten, including four straight. Conley comes into this one with 13.9 potential assists per game this season, with an uptick to 16.5 potential assists over his last four games. My model projects Conley for 10.5 assists tonight, and while the floor projection of 5.8 isn't ideal, I think there's more than enough of an edge for him to hit this prop.
Other Recommendations - De'Aaron Fox OVER 23.5 Points, De'Aaron Fox OVER 1.5 Three-Pointers Made, Nicolas Claxton OVER 20.5 Points + Rebounds, Luka Doncic UNDER 42.5 Points + Rebounds
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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