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The 2022-2023 NBA season is here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, February 14.
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Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Giannis Antetokounmpo UNDER 13.5 Rebounds - I'll start today's slate off with Giannis Antetokounmpos' rebound prop. Antetokounmpo has been under this mark in six out of his last ten games and only recorded nine rebounds in his previous game against the Boston Celtics back in December. Robert Williams (ankle) is questionable in tonight's matchup, but if he is good to go, I like this play even more, as his efforts will make it much harder for Antetokounmp to collect boards. My data model supports this pick by projecting Giannis with 9.9 rebounds and a strong edge.
Deandre Ayton OVER 10.5 Rebounds - Next, let's take a look at Deandre Ayton. Ayton has surpassed this number in three out of his last five games. Ayton recorded 12 rebounds in his previous meeting vs. the Pheonix Suns, and that was when Mikal Bridges was still on the team who is a solid rebounder. With Bridges now having been traded to the Brooklyn Nets, it should allow Ayton to hit this over easily against a Sacramento Kings team known to give up many rebounds to opposing centers. The books have Ayton at -130 to hit the over, and while my data model only has him at 10.4 rebounds, I still think he'll get there.
De'Aaron Fox OVER 33.5 Points + Assists - With Malik Monk (ankle) out ahead of Tuesday's game, De'Aaron Fox should look to put on a big performance. Fox has gone over this number in six out of his last seven games and he has gone over both times this season with Monk out. The books have Fox at -135 on the over, and my data model has Fox projected for 33.7 Points + Assists, I like this play a lot.
Other Recommendations - Brook Lopez OVER 6.5 Rebounds, Pascal Siakam OVER 32.5 Points + Rebounds, Derrick White OVER 19.5 Points
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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