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The 2022-2023 NBA season is here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, December 6.
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Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Nikola Jokic OVER 11.5 Rebounds - I'll start things off with Nikola Jokic's rebounds prop. While Jokic has hit this number in just three of his last ten, all three of these "hits" have come in his last five games. Despite Dallas being very good at limiting centers to rebounds, ranking third across the entire season and fourth over the last seven days, Jokic had no problems grabbing rebounds, grabbing 16 in all three contests against the Mavs in 2021-2022. My model projects Jokic to grab 14.1 rebounds tonight, so we're getting good value on this number.
Killian Hayes OVER 5.5 Assists - We'll take a look at Killian Hayes's assist prop tonight as well. Hayes has been on a "heater" in regards to hitting this number, particularly since Cade Cunningham had come down with his shin injury. Hayes has hit this number in eight of his last ten games, including his last five while averaging 7.4 assists in the process. He logged eight assists in a matchup against Miami last season without Cunningham, and the Heat rank 21st in assists allowed over the season, and 28th over the last seven days. My model projects Hayes for 7.5 assists tonight, and his 11.5 potential assists per game over his last four show me that he shouldn't have a problem hitting this prop.
Lonnie Walker UNDER 16.5 Points + Rebounds - I'll finish things off today by going against the grain here, with Lonnie Walker's P+R prop. Walker has hit this number in three of his last five and seven of his last ten. However, the matchup against the Cavs tonight is a tough one, as they rank first in both points allowed and rebounds allowed across the entire season as well as the last seven days. My model projects Walker to finish with just 12.1 rebounds tonight, so we're getting good value here as well.
Other Recommendations - Darius Garland OVER 2.5 Three-Pointers Made, Jamal Murray OVER 19.5 Points, Marvin Bagley OVER 6.5 Rebounds, Luka Doncic OVER 39.5 Points + Assists
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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