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The 2022-2023 NBA season is here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, October 20.
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Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Joel Embiid OVER 11.0 Rebounds - I'll start things off with Joel Embiid's rebound prop once again tonight. We backed Embiid on Tuesday, where he grabbed 15 rebounds. He's still hit this number in just two of his last five, three of his last ten, and at a 53% clip dating back to the beginning of 2021. However, he did hit this number in each of his two matchups against Milwaukee last season, logging 14 rebounds in each. My model has him at 13.7 rebounds tonight, with a ceiling of 16.4.
Tobias Harris OVER 14.5 Points - I'll look at Tobias Harris's points prop tonight as well. Harris had himself a solid opener, logging 18 points in the loss against the Celtics on Tuesday. That was the first time he's hit this number in his last five games, though he has scored at least 15 in six of his last ten and at a 65% clip since the beginning of 2021. Like Embiid, he hit his number in each of his two games against Milwaukee last season, dropping 19 and 22 points, respectively. My model projects him for 17.5 points tonight, with a ceiling of 27.2.
James Harden UNDER 9.5 Assists - Finally, I'll finish tonight's Sixers trifecta with the under on James Harden's assist prop. While Harden certainly looked in form on Tuesday night, it was more scoring than assists. He logged seven assists and hasn't had double-digit assists in any of his last seven games. He didn't hit this number in any of his three matchups against Milwaukee last season, averaging eight assists in three games. Tonight I have him projected for 7.4 assists, and while his ceiling is 14.3 assists, I'll look for him to fill the stat sheet with points rather than assists in this one.
Other Recommendations - Tyrese Maxey OVER 3.5 Assists, Paul George OVER 4.5 Assists, Giannis Antetokounmpo OVER 30.5 Points, Anthony Davis OVER 9.5 Rebounds
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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