The 2023-2024 NBA season is here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For the NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, November 16.
Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Chet Holmgren OVER 15.5 Points - I'd never thought I'd see the day when the Golden State Warriors, in the era of Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green, would fall in the middle of the pack. Ranked fourteenth in offensive rating and twelfth in defensive rating, Golden State offers as much resistance as a pacifist in an MMA fight, well, maybe not Green.
The Warriors' interior defense will struggle. Who am I kidding? Overall, the Warriors will find themselves on the wrong side of the win-loss column without Green as he serves his five-game suspension for putting Rudy Gobert in a headlock from hell. Look for Chet Holmgren to take advantage of an otherwise shallow big-man Warriors' depth chart.
Chet Holmgren is shooting 50% on 3.6 three-point attempts per game this year, a pretty ridiculous mark for a 7-footer.
It’s been a combination of his smooth motion, good shot selection and confidence. pic.twitter.com/lrJxIZIMrq
— Derek Parker (@DParkOK) November 13, 2023
Josh Giddey UNDER 0.5 3-PT Made - You know who's Australian and can't shoot a three-point shot? No, it's not Ben Simmons; this time, we are speaking of Oklahoma City Thunder's utility belt, Josh Giddey. Good at most things, like accumulating assists and rebounding, shooting is the one aspect that the Melbourne-born baller hasn't conquered. Giddey hasn't converted on a three-point attempt since November 1. As the Warriors won't offer intimidation at the rim, I suspect Giddey's offense will consist mainly of drives. Slam the under on 0.5 three-point shots made.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 36.5 Points+Assists - At this point in the season, betting the under on anything relating to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander warrants serious questioning. The Oklahoma City Thunder have a better record than the Los Angeles Lakers, Warriors, and the Phoenix Suns, with much thanks to Gilgeous-Alexander as the main reason for their success.
In his past five outings, Gilgeous-Alexander averages 39 points-assists, beating the 36.5 line. Again, as mentioned previously, the Thunder will have a field day against the Warriors without their defensive anchor, Green. Put the over in a chokehold without hesitation.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander = Superstar
Slams on the brakes with this beautiful step-back pic.twitter.com/XfnMp4JxSQ
— Shane Young (@YoungNBA) November 13, 2023
Bam Adebayo OVER 15.5 Rebounds+Assists - Let's take a break from the Warriors-Thunder matchup and head to South Beach. While the Miami Heat have fared better than I initially expected, the Brooklyn Nets shocked me early in the season. However, regarding rebounds, Brooklyn allows the sixth-most offensive rebounds in the league, which bodes well for Miami's All-Star center Bam Adebayo.
Averaging 2.6 offensive boards in his last five games, Adebayo also adds to his bag with five assists per contest in the same stretch. Posting a career-high 10.5 rebounds so far this season, Adebayo continues to build on his 2023 NBA Finals performance. While this prop will probably end in nail-biting fashion, I think Adebayo will cover the 15.5 rebounds-assists line.
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Overall recommendation for this play: POWER
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