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The 2022-2023 NBA season is here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, November 10.
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Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Terry Rozier OVER 21.5 Points - I'll start things off with Terry Rozier's points prop. Rozier will be making just his fifth appearance of the season tonight against the Heat after battling with an injury. He didn't hit this number last night, so the books have given us a bit of a gift by dropping this number down a few points. Rozier has scored at least 22 points in three of the four games he's played this year, and my model projects him to score 26.8 points tonight, with a floor of exactly 22.
Joel Embiid OVER 10.5 Rebounds - I'll take a look at Joel Embiid's rebounds prop as my second play here. While Embiid started this season on a rebounding tear, grabbing at least 11 rebounds in each of his first three games on the year, he has cooled down a bit and actually hasn't hit this number in any of the past three games. However, the Sixers will be without James Harden tonight (and for the foreseeable future), and Embiid has grabbed at least 11 rebounds in three of five as well as seven of his last ten without Harden in the lineup. My model projects Embiid to grab exactly 13 rebounds tonight, so I believe we're getting good value here.
Tobias Harris OVER 27.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists - I'll stick with the Sixers here and round things out with Tobias Harris's PRA. As previously mentioned, the Sixers will be without James Harden for the foreseeable future. In the two games since "The Beard" has gone down with his foot injury, Harris has hit this number both times, logging at least 35 PRA in each of the two contests. He hit this number in two of the last four matchups against Atlanta as well, and in the games that he didn't rack up 28+ PRA, he finished with 27. This is my "least favorite" of the three props here, but one that I'm certainly willing to take the risk on.
Other Recommendations - Kristaps Porzingis UNDER 21.5 Points, De'Anthony Melton UNDER 12.5 Points, Tyrese Maxey UNDER 3.5 Rebounds
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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