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The 2022-2023 NBA season is here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, December 15.
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Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
CJ McCollum OVER 18.5 Points - I'll start things off with CJ McCollum's points prop. McCollum has only hit this over in three of his last 14 games, making this a curious case as to why I'd pick this. Well, he has three games after returning from injury where he scored just 20 points in three games combined. Since then, his usage and shot attempts have nearly doubled. He also has an incredible matchup against the Jazz who rank 30th in points allowed to point guards over the last seven days and across the entire season. My model projects McCollum for 22.1 points tonight. I'm locking this in on sportsbooks as well as on PrizePicks.
Kelly Olynyk OVER 4.5 Rebounds - I'll take a look at Kelly Olynyk's rebounds prop next. Olynyk hit the over 4.5 rebounds prop Tuesday night against the Pelicans, and I'll bet that he does it again. While New Orleans is solid in terms of overall rebounds allowed, they do leak a bit to centers, ranking 23rd in rebounds allowed to centers across the entirety of the season and 25th over the last seven days. My model projects Olynyk for 7.2 rebounds tonight, so solid value in this spot.
Giannis Antetokounmpo UNDER 38.5 Points + Assists - It's always a little bit scary taking an under on a Giannis Antetokounmpo prop, but I'll trust my model here. While Giannis has hit this number in six of his last ten overall, he's hit it in just three of his last ten games when Jrue Holiday doesn't play, averaging 35.2 P+A. The Grizzlies do relatively well against power forwards in terms of points and assists, ranking 4th points allowed and 17th in assists allowed against the position. My model projects Giannis for 31.2 points + assists here, so I'll take that value.
Other Recommendations - Tyler Herro UNDER 6.5 Rebounds, Kyle Lowry OVER 13.5 Points, Lauri Markkanen UNDER 21.5 Points, Brook Lopez UNDER 1.5 Three-Pointers Made
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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