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The 2023-2024 NBA season is here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For the NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for NBA games taking place on November 6, 2023.
Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day, as other props may be added during the day.
Keegan Murray OVER 15.5 Points - After a poor showing from Murray and the Kings on Saturday, they get a shot at redemption against the Houston Rockets when they face them again on Monday. The Kings are coming off an 89-107 loss to Houston on Saturday where Murray scored only seven points and shot 25% from the field.
A decent buy-low spot for Murray here as he’s averaged around eight three-point attempts a game this season and was shooting them at a roughly 35% clip prior to his previous two outings. Based on the volume alone, I expect Murray to turn things around in this second stint against Houston who fall in the middle of the pack in both points allowed per game (111.2) and three-pointers made per game (12.4).
Brook Lopez OVER 1.5 3-PT Made - Lopez will face his former squad when the Bucks travel to face the Brooklyn Nets on Monday night. Milwaukee comes in with a size advantage against Brooklyn, while Nets center Nic Claxton continues to miss time with an ankle injury. This will leave Brooklyn with their hands full trying to defend both Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard which opens up the floor for Lopez to provide a spark from the perimeter.
Coming off a four-for-ten three-point shooting performance on Friday night against the Knicks, I’m expecting to see Lopez exceed his current projection once again on Monday.
LeBron James OVER 6.5 Assists - Backing James here in what should be a tight matchup between the Lakers and Heat tonight. James is currently averaging 11.4 assist opportunities per game this season, while Miami is allowing 27 assists per game to opponents this season, good for a bottom-ten spot in the league.
I also project Anthony Davis will help James’ case here as Davis has averaged 30.4 points per game against Bam Adebayo in his career. I expect James to be in more of a facilitator role tonight as a result, and like him to clear his assists projection doing so.
Lauri Markkanen OVER 8.5 Rebounds - Like this spot here for Markkanenen to clear his rebounds projection against a Bulls team that’s struggling to clean the glass this season. The Bulls are allowing 28 rebounds per game to opponents this season, good for the fifth-lowest mark in the league. On top of that, neither team is shooting the ball particularly well which should provide plenty of opportunities for not only defensive rebounds but offensive rebounds as well.
Utah is shooting the ball at a 44.8% clip this season, good for the seventh-lowest spot in the league. Chicago is shooting at a 43.8% rate this season, good for the fourth least. Markkanen has cleared this line in four out of seven games this season, and I see additional value in the number as he hasn’t cleared this projection in his last two outings.
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Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
