The NBA playoffs keep rolling along. Two games tonight, as Game 2 of Hawks/Sixers is up first, followed by the beginning of the Clippers/Jazz series.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of projecting the point, assist, rebound, or three-point totals for some of the league's top players. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. For today's article, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Single Stat players and explain why players will/will not reach their projections.
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Single Stat NBA Totals
Joel Embiid over 30.5 points: Embiid had 39 points in the first game of this series, taking a team-high 21 shots and also attempting 15 free throws. His ability to get to the line should pay off in this game, especially with a couple of refs who like to call fouls in Scott Foster and Tony Brothers. Embiid is the offensive engine of this Sixers club, and while 30.5 is a really high point total, Embiid -- assuming he's a full go -- has already over that mark twice in this postseason.
Royce O'Neale over 6.5 points: On the opposite end of the spectrum, 6.5 is a really low total! Sure, O'Neale only averaged 7.0 in the regular season, but he's seen an uptick in efficiency in this postseason and is averaging 11.0 points per game through five playoff games. Only once in these playoffs has O'Neal not gotten to 6.5. I get it's a new series and the Clippers are a tougher matchup, but let's keep riding the hot streak with O'Neale. If he keeps playing over 30 minutes, he can accidentally stumble into seven points.
Trae Young under 9.5 assists: 10 assists for Young last game, and his playoff average is now 9.8. This should be a fast-paced game here with a lot of offensive possessions available for the Hawks. But in the regular season, Young averaged just 6.0 assists per game in two games against the 76ers, and I can see this being a game where Young looks more to score than to dish. It'll be close and there are safer picks you could make, but if you feel like taking a big gamble and sweating the whole night, this is a fun one. I'd guess Young ends up around eight assists.
Rudy Gobert under 13.5 rebounds: The Clippers have allowed the fewest rebounds per game of any team this postseason. Can you credit that some to the Mavericks not being the best rebounding team? Sure, but it does give me pause with Gobert's o/u number when I see how the Clips limited boards last round. Gobert is averaging 13.0 per game, so he'd have to go over that number against a team that should be better at crashing the boards than his first-round opponent was. I'll take the under here.
Trae Young over 3.0 3-PT made: Hey, if it's going to be a game where Young looks to score like I think, why don't I double down on him and pick the over on three-pointers made. He made four of them in Game 1, and now has taken at least 11 threes in each of the past three games. He's never made more than four in a game in that span, but he's also had some inefficient shooting nights sprinkled in. If he sees the same volume and gets some regression to the mean, then this should be easy money here.
WNBA Bonus Pick: Brittney Griner over 17.5 points: I've been having good luck with WNBA prop picks this season, so here's a bonus for you: go over on Brittney Griner's points. The Mercury face a Dallas Wings team that's lacking some size up front and in the last meeting of these teams, Griner scored 27 points. Pop over to that WNBA tab and make this pick with Griner, because she's going to smash the over. Isabelle Harrison and Charli Collier can't contain her.
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