RADIO
Hello everybody and welcome! If you've been hanging around RotoBaller lately, you might have seen us hyping up PrizePicks. And why wouldn't be -- player props are the next big thing in the fantasy world and PrizePicks is a great, easy spot for you to do some player prop games! And while we haven't really written about their NBA games yet, they're there, and they're fun, and today we're going to talk about some NBA games!
Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of the best, and easiest to win, NBA DFS games in the industry. There are no large-field tournaments filled with sharks where you have to get lucky just to place. At PrizePicks, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the projections, and the guys at PrizePicks have worked hard to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a 100% match on your deposit up to $100.
PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of projecting the point, assist, rebound, or three-point totals for some of the league's top players. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. For today's article, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Single Stat players and explain why players will/will not reach their projections.
Featured Promo: Our friends at PrizePicks are hooking you up. Get a 100% instant deposit match up to $100 with promo code BALLER with your first deposit. Claim your 100% instant deposit match now, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot!
Single Stat NBA Totals
POINTS
Stephen Curry over 33.5 points: This one seems obvious to me. Yes, Curry had just 18 points last game, but that broke a string of 11 games in a row with at least 32 points. Since March 29th, Curry is averaging 38.2 points per game, but maybe more important for this prediction is that he's averaging 23.5 field goal attempts per contest. Curry's arguably the greatest shooter in NBA history; give him 20-plus attempts and it would have to be a pretty weird night for him to not score over 33.5 points. The Washington game was that weird exception, as he shot 28 percent from the floor and 14.3 percent from three. It was the first time since January 10th that Curry shot under 30 percent overall. He also, uhh, had 53 points the last time he faced this Nuggets team.
Draymond Green under 8.5 points: Green had 18 points in the last game against Denver, but that just feels like an anomaly considering it was his highest-scoring game of the season. He still finished just fifth on the team in field goal attempts in that game; it was just that Green had an outlier efficiency game. With Green scoring under 8.5 points in the past four games and seven of the past nine, I think I'm going to roll with the assumption that we see another disappointing scoring output from Golden State's defensive star.
ASSISTS
Nikola Jokic under 9.5 assists: On the season, the Warriors allow the eighth-fewest assists per game in the NBA at 24 per contest, but in two contests between these teams, Jokic has a 10-assist game and an eight-assist game, so he's clearly capable of making plays against this Warriors defense. Still, I'm leaning towards the numbers here, as assists are harder to come by against this team and while Jokic can dish out 15 assists at will, he's seen a little drop in those assist numbers lately, with some other players like Aaron Gordon garnering some more assist opportunities. This is a close one and might be the pick I'm least confident in, but I'm going to roll with the under, but just barely.
REBOUNDS
Michael Porter Jr. over 8.5 rebounds: Golden State allows 47.7 rebounds per game, the second-highest mark in the NBA. MPJ averages 7.7 rebounds per game, but over the past months is right at this over/under mark, averaging 8.3 per game. His rebounding numbers have been down a bit over the last three games, but this should be a fast-paced contest on Friday night, offering plenty of rebounding opportunities for both sides, especially when Warriors players not named Stephen Curry are shooting the ball.
THREES
Stephen Curry over 5.5 3-PT made: By going with the points over for Curry, I'm going to double down and go with the over on threes as well. It's riskier, but over his huge scoring streak, he's averaging 6.7 threes made per contest. He's also taking 14.3 of them per game over that stretch, and he made 10 of them the last time he faced Denver.
Grayson Allen over 2.5 3-PT made: Allen had made at least three three-pointers in five consecutive games before he went just 1-for-2 from deep against the Clippers. He saw a big drop off in usge in that game, but as long as Allen remains in the starting lineup for Memphis, I'm going to remain fairly high on him. Portland allows the 14th-most threes per game to opposing shooting guards, which makes for a fairly neutral matchup. With how hot Allen has been, I'll take neutral and grab the over here.
Play the NBA Single Stat Now on PrizePicks
Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App
Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy basketball mobile app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, lineup notifications & DFS articles. All free!
