Another weekend has come and gone. I hope you all had a good one. For those not already on break (those lucky college kids!), I imagine this is your last full work week before the holiday brings some much-needed days off, so keep grinding!
For now, we have a solid seven-game NBA slate to work with. I'll work to find a handful of NBA prop lines that I find valuable over on Monkey Knife Fight. Let's quickly pour one out for Luka Doncic, who will miss some time with an ankle injury he suffered on Saturday. Fantasy NBA contests are simply not as fun when he's not around. Hopefully he can come back soon!
You can follow me on Twitter @BellRoto. This is a great time for NBA content as Christmas time rolls around. If you have more questions about these prop bets or other NBA DFS situations, hit me up throughout the day on Twitter. Let’s do it!
Editor's Note: Here's a really nice special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus - All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'RBNBA19' Once you sign up and deposit, use our NBA prop picks below to get off on a winning foot!
Kristaps Porzingis (DAL) OVER 9.5 Rebounds
Let's not bury the lead here. When a player as involved as Doncic is taken out of the mix, it may take a little bit for prop lines to adjust. Porzingis pulled down 14 boards against Miami after his superstar teammate limped down the tunnel, and that makes sense considering how hard Doncic crashes the boards every night. The only thing that scares me here is the potential for foul trouble if Porzingis is tasked with guarding Giannis, but I think 10 rebounds is a very safe projection all things considered.
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Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL) OVER 2.5 Three Pointers Made
I think you can probably figure this one out yourself. Hardaway Jr. launched 14(!) three pointers in the Heat game. Coincidence? I think not! With Doncic gone, someone's going to have to pick up the scoring slack. Even if he's not efficient, the volume should be there for THJ to eclipse this line most nights until Doncic can return. Not to mention, perimeter jumpers are typically your best shot when trying to score on Milwaukee and the Greek Freak.
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Bam Adebayo (MIA) OVER 11.5 Rebounds
Adebayo collected 11 rebounds over 24 minutes of playing time when these two teams met early in the season. As of late, Bam Bam is playing more in the mid to upper 30s in minutes, and I'm actually very surprised that his rebounds have hovered around 12. I expect him to feast against a soft interior that ranks 24th against Centers in defensive efficiency. I'm not as confident in this one as others, but it still feels pretty good.
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James Harden (HOU) UNDER 39.5 Points
I can't say I have a lot of data or a nice trend that propels this call. It's honestly more of a gut feeling. When I see a point line this high on a guy who's been on fire in recent games in an environment that could produce a blowout, I'm always tempted to check out the under. When the point line is 39.5, I am even MORE tempted to check out that under! The problem is this is James Harden. One of the best scorers the NBA has ever seen. And he could get to 40 points in 28 minutes if he wanted to. So if you want to fade one pick in this article, this may be the one, but I have a feeling the stretch of monster games ends here, so I'm fine with putting a little cash behind that.
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Ricky Rubio (PHX) OVER 7.5 Assists
OK, so maybe I still managed to bury the lead. This might be the most absurd line I've seen since I started playing over on MKF. Rubio has been amazing this season, and he's collected at least 8 assists in each of his last EIGHT contests. He's been up near 15 dimes in some of those games. So why in the world would his line be at 7.5?!?! Don't ask questions, and just hammer this line. If the basketball gods decide to make this the night he fails, then so be it. The icing on the cake? Devin Booker is questionable, and his absence would boost Rubio's usage even more. I just don't understand this line.
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