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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday September 18th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Marlins vs. Nationals
The Marlins take on the Nationals on Sunday September 18th at Nationals Park, Washington. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Miami Marlins (59-87) vs. Washington Nationals (51-94)
- Date: Sunday September 18th, 2022
- Time: 1:35 ET
- Venue: Nationals Park, Washington
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Marlins vs. Nationals
- Caesars Sportsbook MLB Odds
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Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Miami Marlins come into this road contest vs Washington with a below .500 record (59-87). In the NL East division standings, the team ranks 4th. The Marlins hope to avoid dropping below .500 when playing on the road, as they are currently 30-44. The Marlins are hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to Washington by a score of 5-3. So far, Miami has won less than half of their series, going just 12-30-6.
Miami pitcher Sandy Alcantara gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 12-8. Through 29 outings, Alcantara has an ERA sitting at 2.43. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .216 against him. Across 203 innings pitched, Alcantara has allowed just 15 home runs. In his previous outings, Alcantara has struck out 3.77 batters for every issued walk. This includes averaging 6.24 K's per game.
This year, runs have been hard to come by for Miami's offense, as they are the 28th ranked scoring team at 3.57 runs per game. Over their last 3 games, the team has an average run differential of -4. Through 145 games, the Marlins have the 28th ranked batting average at .229. Per contest, the team is averaging 7.61 hits. In terms of home runs, the team is struggling to generate power at just 0.88 deep shots per game (25th). Thus far, the team has put together an average rate similar to the league average (7.1%). To date, Miami has the MLB's 27th rated OBP, sitting at .294. While their wOBA of .289 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Washington Nationals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Washington Nationals take on the Miami hoping to improve on their record of just 51-94, placing them 5th in the NL East division. In their 73 games at home the Nationals have a record of just 24-49. Washington will look to tack on another victory as they defeated the Marlins by a score of 5-3. So far, the team has won less than half of their series, going just 11-30-5.
Nationals starter Anibal Sanchez comes into the game with a record of just 2-5. With an ERA of 4.56, Sanchez has had his struggles on the mound. Anibal Sanchez's WHIP of 1.31 comes in as one of the higher marks among MLB starters. So far, Anibal Sanchez has a SLG% allowed .443, including giving up 12 home runs. Sanchez's strikeout percentage of 16.0% comes in below the MLB average. So far, he is averaging 5.91 K's per 9 innings. Walks have been a problem for Anibal Sanchez as his BB/9 figure is 4.39.
This year, runs have been hard to come by for Washington's offense, as they are the 25th ranked scoring team at 3.85 runs per game. So far, the team has struggled to score early, ranking 25th in runs scored through 4 innings. Although the team has struggled to drive in base runners, the Nationals offense comes into this matchup ranked 10th in the league, at .252. On average, the team is coming up with 8.47 hits per game. So far, home runs have been hard to come by for the team, as they are averaging just .85 per game (27th). Up to this point, they have one of the lowest hard-hit rates in the MLB at 35.7.% To date, Washington has the MLB's 15th rated OBP, stting at .315. While their current WOBA of .306 is similar to the league average.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Marlins vs. Nationals
Heading into today's matchup between Miami and Washington, the Marlins are the heavy favorite at -180 on the moneyline. Miami's implied win probability sits at 64.29%. However, the MLB predictive model shows the Nationals having enough of an advantage at the plate to take Nationals +1.5 on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Nationals +1.5 Runline
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