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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday, August 31st 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Marlins vs. Nationals
The Marlins take on the Nationals on Thursday, August 31st 2023 at Nationals Park, Washington. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Miami Marlins (66-67) vs. Washington Nationals (62-72)
- Date: Thursday, August 31st 2023
- Time: 7:05 ET
- Venue: Nationals Park, Washington
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Marlins vs. Nationals
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Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Washington, the Marlins have a record of just 66-67. This places the team 3rd in the NL East. The Marlins will need a win in today's game to move their record on the road (28-36) above the .500 mark.
Being favored 63 times in 133 games, Miami has a record against the runline of 58-75. The team's over/under record comes in at 59-71 with an average betting line of 8.
Making the start for Miami is Braxton Garrett, with a record of 7-5. Through 26 outings, Braxton Garrett has an ERA sitting at 3.96. In his outings, opposing batters are hitting .253 against the left-hander. So far, Garrett has given up 18 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .312. Garrett's WHIP of 1.17 comes along with a total of 21 walks allowed.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for Miami, as they are the 25th-ranked scoring team, averaging 4 runs per game. Although the team has struggled to drive in base runners, the Marlins offense comes into this matchup ranked 7th in the league, at .257. So far, home runs have been elusive for the team, as they rank 26th in the league, at 127 home runs. Miami's offense currently sits 17th in OBP, coming in at .313.
Washington Nationals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Washington Nationals come into this road contest vs Miami with a below .500 record (62-72). In the NL East division standings, the team ranks 4th. Heading into today's game, the Nationals will look to turn things around at home. Currently they are just 29-36 at Nationals Park.
With an above .500 record against the runline, Washington has been favored 10 times in 134 games played so far. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 64-66.
Starting for the Nationals will be Joan Adon, with an overall record of 2-0. Against the Marlins, Joan Adon is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 5.25. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .187. Opposing hitters have gone deep four times against Joan Adon, who has a WOBA allowed of .263. With a total of six walks, Adon has a WHIP of .96.
Washington's offense comes into this game averaging 4.3 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. Through 134 game, the Nationals have a team batting average of .257, ranking 7th. Although the team is hitting for a high batting average, they have struggled to generate power, ranking 27th in the league, at 121 home runs. Washington's OBP of .317 places them 14th in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Marlins vs. Nationals
Heading into today's matchup between Miami and Washington, the Marlins are the betting favorite at -165 on the moneyline. Miami's implied win probability sits at 62.26%. The MLB predictive model shows the Nationals knocking off Miami in an upset win. It is recommended to take Washington on the moneyline with some positive odds.
Recommended Betting Pick: Nationals Moneyline +138
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