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It's here: the Xfinity Series season finale at Phoenix Raceway.
Who'll win the title? Justin Allgaier? Chase Briscoe? Austin Cindric? Justin Haley? Someone else? (Just kidding, only one of those four drivers can win the title. Just checking to make sure y'all are paying attention.)
Here at RotoBaller, we want to help you make informed decisions about your DFS lineups, which is why I'll be breaking down the slates for the Xfinity Series. Let's look at some NASCAR Xfinity DFS lineup picks for the Desert Diamond Casino West Valley 200 on DraftKings. Be sure to also check out our NASCAR Premium Tools for Xfinity Series including our DFS Lineup Optimizer and powerful Research Station.
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Xfinity DFS Lineup Picks - DraftKings
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Chase Briscoe #98 ($11,200) - Starting 2nd
Briscoe starts second this week and should be well-positioned to fight for this championship.
The winner of nine races this year, Briscoe has proven he can win at all kinds of track types, from intermediate tracks to short tracks to road courses. Good thing that Phoenix is some weird mish-mash of all those things -- a 1-mile tri-oval that takes at least some road-racing skill to navigate.
Briscoe has run here three times in Xfinity with three top 10s, though a best finish of sixth is a little bit worrisome. Still, I'd expect Briscoe to run better than that on Saturday and he has a good chance to earn a lot of points via laps led.
Justin Allgaier #7 ($10,900) - Starting 1st
Another guy who could lead a bunch of laps? Championship contender and polesitter Justin Allgaier.
Phoenix has been a good track for Allgaier. He's run 20 Xfinity races here, with the past nine of those coming in a JR Motorsports car. He's won twice in those last nine races, plus had three more top fives.
The only worry? In the last four races here, he has a win plus three finishes outside of the top 10. Still, with a championship on the line, Allgaier -- who led 85 laps in both his Phoenix victories -- has a great shot at dominating this race.
Daniel Hemric #8 ($9,500) - Starting 18th
Daniel Hemric's run in the 8 car this year has been largely disappointing. But he'll try to end it on a positive note this week at Phoenix.
Also, "disappointing" is a loaded word. We all talk about Hemric's year as if it's been a disaster, but he was 12 top 10s in 20 races, including top fives in his past four starts. Yes, there was a point midseason where he finished below 30th in three out of five races, but Hemric is trending up again and showing why he's been in this car.
Starting 18th offers good place differential here for a driver who should run in the top 10. Before this year's 30th in the first Phoenix race, he had a worst finish at this track of seventh in the Xfinity Series, so this is definitely a place where Hemric knows how to wheel a race car.
Myatt Snider #21 ($8,000) - Starting 15th
Snider is back in the 21 this week. Of Snider's six top 10s this year, two came in this car despite the fact that he ran so many fewer races in it than the 93.
This is a top 10 car, and while starting 15th doesn't offer the most place differential upside in the world, Snider's pricing is nice this week, and he offers enough upside to make him worth fitting into some lineups. Don't let the 23rd at Martinsville last week scare you off. This 21 team has run well at this track in the past, albeit with different drivers.
David Starr #07 ($5,600) - Starting 29th
History suggests that playing David Starr in DFS isn't the greatest idea in the world, but I think the upside with the 07 he's in this week makes him a nice value play.
David Starr has three career Xfinity top 10s in 207 races, and this season he has an average finish of 24.2. His average finish in the series has never been better than 21st, and that came in a year where he ran just two races.
I say all this to acknowledge history isn't on our side with Starr. But his only top 20 of the season came in this 07 car at Texas, when he placed 13th, and he's been running top 30 this year on a consistent basis.
The point is: Starr offers okay-ish upside at his price, with the main help being that he isn't starting too high and his non-DNF downside isn't really here, as he'll finish above 29th if he doesn't run into trouble.
Matt Mills #5 ($4,800) - Starting 32nd
The back-end of this race is full of drivers who scare me. I'm not even sure who Stan Mullis is, the driver starting 37th.
But I think Matt Mills, starting 32nd, offers some really nice upside. Before a mechanical failure last week at Martinsville, Mills had four top 25s in a row, and if we go farther back, we see a string of nine top 25s in the last 10 races. Like with Starr, Mills should finish ahead of where he starts, but Mills also has even more upside because 1) he's starting even deeper in the field than Starr and 2) he's done a good job of sneaking into the top 15 at this times season, even if it seems like there's a hard cap of 13th place for him.
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