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For the second Saturday in a row, we've got a NASCAR double feature, with both the Truck and Xfinity Series running races at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
This time, it's the Truck Series that gets the headlining spot. Will Kyle Busch shake off his 21st place finish at Atlanta and go to victory lane at Homestead? He's gone two races in a row without a victory, the first time that's happened for him in this series since consecutive second place runs in 2018.
Here at RotoBaller, we want to help you make informed decisions about your DFS lineups, which is why I'll be breaking down the slates for the Truck Series. Let's look at some NASCAR Truck Series DFS lineup picks for the Baptist Health 200 on DraftKings. (And if any other DFS providers want to start doing Trucks, we'll do those too!) Be sure to also check out our NASCAR Premium Tools for Truck Series including our DFS Lineup Optimizer and powerful Research Station.
Truck Series DFS Lineup Picks - DraftKings
Be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NASCAR DFS articles and analysis to help you set your optimal DFS lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Kyle Busch #51 ($15,000)
Starting 2nd
The last few races, I've tried to suggest lineup builds that didn't feature Kyle Busch, and while the lineup I suggested last week did win me some money, I'm pretty sure it wouldn't have if Busch had had a normal, dominant race.
This week, I'm leaning in. Kyle Busch everywhere. Why not? He's the best driver in this race. He's starting second, which means he'll have the lead by the time he gets back around to the start-finish line on Lap 1. Barring some kind of mechanical issue or accident, Busch is going to lead a ton of laps, post a ton of fastest laps, and end the day as the leading driver in terms of fantasy points. I think it's going to be tough to build a winning DFS lineup if Busch isn't your top guy, because he's going to wind up with a huge advantage over the rest of the field.
Also worth noting: in the last five Cup Series races here, Busch has finished sixth or better in all of them, including a pair of victories that clinched championships for him. This is a good track for Kyle Busch. I'm expecting a dominant day.
Austin Hill #16 ($8,300)
Starting 1st
If you want to build a good Kyle Busch lineup, you have to jump pretty far down the pricing list for your second driver. Hill is 12th in DraftKings pricing this week.
With how important place differential is, there is understandable reason to not want to roster the polesitter. In four races this year, though, Hill has collected four top 10s, and he's coming off a second-place run at Atlanta. This Hattori 16 truck is really, really good, and Hill's running really well in it. He has the best average finish of full-time drivers and is tied with Brett Moffitt for quality pass percentage. His 23 fastest laps leads all regulars and trails only Kyle Busch and Chase Elliott overall. No regular has run a higher percentage of his laps in the top 15.
Any way you slice it, it's hard to argue against one thing: Hill's having the best season of any full-time Truck Series driver. I expect that to continue at Homestead, where Hill won in last year's season finale.
Austin Wayne Self #22 ($6,800)
Starting 31st
Okay, so those first two picks don't have place differential upside. We need someone who does, so let's grab Austin Wayne Self.
No, he's not going to be competing for a top 10, but in the two races where Self hasn't run into issues with the truck, he's finished 17th and 19th. With how important place differential is, Self's a driver that I'm much more interested in than I usually would be.
Yes, Self could self-destruct here. He's a risky play. He's also got the highest projection from our lineup optimizer of anyone priced below $7,000, and the third-best fantasy points per dollar of drivers at those price points. The two drivers above him? Keep reading.
Brennan Poole #30 ($7,000)
Starting 26th
Another driver who's coming from further back in the field, though he has one advantage over Self: Poole's in a better truck.
Not that On Point Motorsports is a great team, but Poole's average running position of 20.1 is solid, and if you take out the 38th-place finish at Charlotte due to NASCAR's damaged vehicle policy, Poole's worst finish is 17th.
Poole finished sixth the last time he was at Homestead in a solid vehicle, the 2017 Xfinity race here when he was racing for Chip Ganassi. At this price, I'm a fan of rostering Poole.
Ty Majeski #45 ($6,400)
Starting 21st
While Majeski's four races for Niece Motorsports this year haven't gone as well as he might have hoped, he's finished top-20 in all the races where he didn't crash out, including an eighth-place run at Charlotte.
Majeski's 65.4 quality pass percentage ranks 10th among full-time drivers, and he's 16th in green flag speed. This is a solid truck that should produce a solid top-20 finish with the upside for more. Majeski's only other trip to Homestead was the 2017 Xfinity race here, when he took the Roush Fenway 60 car to a 10th place finish.
And of drivers priced under $7,000, Majeski is second in projected fantasy points per dollar and second in overall projected fantasy points.
Tanner Gray #15 ($5,500)
Starting 20th
Here's the guy who leads the under $7,000 crowd in projected fantasy points per dollar.
Gray's average finish this year is 15.5, and he's second among full-time drivers in pass differential. He ranks in the top 20 in green flag speed and is eighth in percentage of laps on the lead lap. Gray's tough to pass and has a solid truck underneath him.
So far, that's led to a best finish of eighth, as well as an 11th-place run at Atlanta. He's finished on the lead lap in all three non-restrictor plate races this season. Gray's a great DFS value on Saturday night.
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