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August 6th, 2023, on a Sunday afternoon, features the FireKeepers Casino 400 from the Michigan International Speedway in Brooklyn, Michigan. This is the 23rd 2023 edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of.
PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, 5-player, or even 6-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of the best, and easiest-to-win, NASCAR DFS games in the industry. There are no large-field tournaments filled with sharks where you have to get lucky just to place. At PrizePicks, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the projections.
PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score, which has a scoring system where the first nets 45 points, the second is worth 42, the third is worth 41, and so on. Every lap led NOW equals an extra 0.25 points. Every fastest clocked lap equals an extra 0.45 points. Laps led are 0.25 points per lap and place differential is plus or minus one point. Also, stage wins are worth one point apiece. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
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Alex Bowman MORE Than 34.5 Points
These numbers drive people to the exits. However, Bowman is one of those drivers who needs a big showing this week. The thought process is some drivers could fade while the Hendrick car gets better and better as the race goes on. Place differential could prove to be quite an ally on Sunday afternoon.
Now, with so many lower- than-expected qualifiers, that dirties up the pool a bit. On the other hand, it creates some clearer opportunities too. Bowman does not even have to finish in the top ten here. He merely needs to be close. Starting 20th offers a little more margin for error. Take the MORE here.
Chris Buescher LESS Than 28.5 Points
Consider Chris Buescher's average start 13.3 at Michigan for a second. On Sunday afternoon, he begins in fourth. Over the past four races, the Ford has finished between 15th and 20th. If form regresses back to the norm then Buescher tumbles more than enough to be a worthwhile bet.
Again, Buescher has his win and a playoff spot. There will be other opportunities this month for him to perform better and go for the higher. Take the LESS and be prepared to at least sweat a little bit.
Kevin Harvick MORE Than 49.5 Points
The goal is to attempt to go to the well one more time with the old reliable at Michigan. Kevin Harvick has won three times in his last four appearances and has led 30.7% of the laps. This is all while setting more than a 1/4 of those fastest laps. That may be less likely on Sunday afternoon. However, Harvick is more than capable of sneaking into the top five when all is said and done.
The Ford will get it together much in the way Martin Truex Jr. did last week at Richmond. For those wondering, Truex Jr. and his car were horrendous early but made a charge late. If Harvick avoids those "big collector" moments, he stands a chance to work his way up the field. Take the MORE here.
Ryan Blaney MORE Than 39.5 Points
It is interesting to see the spot that Ryan Blaney is in here. Blaney starts ninth on Sunday and he is the only driver post-pandemic to win at Michigan besides Kevin Harvick. In theory, this move kind of places Joey Logano into play as well. Both these Team Penske cars could be good later in the race.
Now, can Blaney muscle closer to the front later in the race? Riding in clean air during those final laps is essential at Michigan International Speedway. Despite some risk, we are willing to ride with the MORE because of fastest laps and lead lap potential.
Christopher Bell Less Than 53.5 Points
Christopher Bell can ride well on a track like this but something seems off. He did get the pole yesterday with a better than expected qualifying lap. Alas, Bell was even second in practice and when it came to lap averages. That two tenths drop-off from his five to ten-lap interval bothers us some.
It can prove to be a high-risk move to stray from the pole sitter here. Bell did lead 31 laps last year and set 20 fastest laps. However, an accident ruined his day as he dropped to 26th (that -24 place differential saved us in 2022). Could there be a little deja vu? Maybe. Run with the LESS.
Other Recommendations:
- Ross Chastain LESS Than 32.5 Points
- Tyler Reddick LESS Than 43.5 Points
- Ty Gibbs LESS Than 28.5 Points
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Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.
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