RADIO
July 30, 2023, on a Sunday afternoon, features the Cook Out 400 from the Richmond Raceway in Richmond, Virginia. This is the 22nd 2023 edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of.
PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, 5-player, or even 6-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of the best, and easiest-to-win, NASCAR DFS games in the industry. There are no large-field tournaments filled with sharks where you have to get lucky just to place. At PrizePicks, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the projections.
PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score, which has a scoring system where the first nets 45 points, the second is worth 42, the third is worth 41, and so on. Every lap led NOW equals an extra 0.25 points. Every fastest clocked lap equals an extra 0.45 points. Laps led are 0.25 points per lap and place differential is plus or minus one point. Also, stage wins are worth one point apiece. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Be sure to also check out our free new PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
Kevin Harvick LESS Than 50.5 Points
These numbers scare people away. Let's go the other way. Kevin Harvick won the August race last year at Richmond. The expectation for a cooler track with sunny, breezy conditions has us a smidge concerned. Can Harvick get to the front and stay there long enough to steal some points?
Now, five of the top ten cars qualified were from the Toyota stable. Harvick is one of the few Ford cars who constantly ranks around the top five in late-run speed on the 3/4 mile track at Richmond Raceway. He starts eighth which gives us a small amount of margin for error. Harvick might move up a few positions but that will not be enough to go over 50 points. Run with the LESS here.
Chase Elliott LESS Than 37.5 Points
At some point, Chase Elliott is going to figure this out. However, in the meantime, we take advantage of his lack of ability to hit props. Elliott needs to win races to make "The Chase." Now, the problem is the Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver has shown little of that form from the past several seasons.
Again, Elliott has not been awful. The No. 9 car just has not been fast enough late in races to win. Again, he might finish in the top ten but if he does not lead laps, that will hurt his chance to hit this prop. Take the LESS and be prepared to sweat a metric ton!
Kyle Larson MORE Than 52.5 Points
The goal is to try this one more time since it worked last week. It was a bit of a sweat but Larson found a way to do just enough to get over the top. At Richmond, the prop total goes up by four points. Someone knew something we are guessing. However, few could have expected Larson to only qualify 14th. After all, he did win the Spring race and lead 93 laps.
The Chevy looked great and yet was a little off in Turns 1 and 2. That was enough to turn things by about a quarter of a second. It was that difference which kept Larson out of the final round of qualifying. Fortunately, this gives us a chance to watch Larson move up, get some laps lead and some fast laps too. Let's ride with the MORE again Sunday afternoon.
Ty Gibbs MORE Than 26.5 Points
It is great to watch Ty Gibbs and even Bubba Wallace thrive in qualifying the past two weeks. Each driver is improving in their own right. Wallace's prop is only 23.5 points. Both drivers are in the top ten for Sunday's race at Richmond.
Now, the only concern is whether both avoid the big collection on the 3/4 mile track. The thought process is that they do just enough without losing too many positions. Take the MORE on both and let it roll!
Aric Almirola Less Than 38.5 Points
Aric Almirola is riding out the string this year. It is safe to say that Almirola and his Ford will not make the playoff chase. He is not going to crash through and win a race unexpectedly like New Hampshire.
Naturally, taking the roads less traveled is fun. A few drivers down the rankings are always fun to look at. Furthermore, Almirola probably finished in the middle of the pack and just misses on those 38.5 points. Run with the LESS.
Other Recommendations:
- Ross Chastain LESS Than 37.5 Points
- William Byron MORE Than 45.5 Points
- Ryan Blaney MORE Than 43.5 Points
Play the NASCAR Fantasy Score Now on PrizePicks
NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks
More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis
The Keys to Weekly NASCAR DFS Success
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Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! In 2022 DFS contests, Jordan had a +33.92% profit margin good for +$10,467.06 profit and qualified for the Fantasy Racing World Championship.
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