Sunday afternoon features the Jockey Made In America 250 from Road America. Monkey Knife Fight has an extremely easy fantasy point system: 0.1 points for each lap led and then a set amount of points for their position (20 for 1st place, 19 for 2nd place, 18 for 3rd, and so on).
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Pick 1: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Joey Logano MORE 15.5 Fantasy Points and Denny Hamlin MORE 14.5 Fantasy Points
Logano and Hamlin are expected to be two of the better fantasy point producers at Road America on Sunday and we are fortunate to have both leading off here but...
For a driver like Joey Logano, this is not as much of a challenge as people think. The Team Penske driver has finished second, third, and fourth on road courses this year. The third at Austin and fourth at Sonoma is very impressive given that Logano had far from the fastest car in both races. His technical ability to drive a race car on road courses may just be the best out of all the top drivers. Just imagine if he had the speed of the Hendricks or Joe Gibbs cars. Also, Logano has led at least five laps in every road race this year so far. Also, expect Logano to qualify pretty high as well. Take the MORE for the No. 22 on Sunday afternoon.
Denny Hamlin is on a historic run with leading the points race despite not winning a single race. He continues to just barely lead. If he had not run out of fuel on Sunday, Hamlin would have won his first race of 2021. It is amazing the kind of luck the No. 11 has had -- both bad and worse at times. The No. 11 did finish fourth on Saturday at least. Hamlin has a 9.5 average finish over the last three years on road courses and does have an 8th at Sonoma. The thought process is that the Joe Gibbs Racing driver may be able to finish in the top six with an improving race car. It definitely appears that the Joe Gibbs car is catching up to the Hendricks. Take the more on Sunday with Hamlin as well.
This all boils down to who adjust bests to the "The Kink" and both drivers are more than capable of doing so.
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Pick 2: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Chase Elliott MORE 18.5 Fantasy Points, Kyle Larson. MORE 19.5 Fantasy Points
This prop is a nasty one because of how Elliott and Larson have performed over the last two road races. What do you do? This is extremely close and probably comes down to laps led. Keep in mind, there are only 62 laps on Sunday.
Chase Elliott won at Austin and loves those road courses. He has six wins in the last three years and has the best driver rating among all drivers at 125. The good thing is that Elliott may not have to lead many laps. If he can finish third and lead six laps or just nab a second-place result, the MORE hits. That is our expectation for Sunday. Elliott and his Hendricks' pit crew just have to keep his lug nuts on. Again, take the MORE with the No. 9 on Sunday.
These point totals are interesting with Kyle Larson. Larson has finished second and first in the previous two races and has entered the conversation among the top ten road drivers the past three years. He is not on the level of Elliott yet but the No. 5 is awfully close. Larson did lead 57 laps at Sonoma which is a ridiculous percentage. How many laps do Elliott and Larson split? That may be the bigger question. There may be just enough on this 4.048-mile course to help push both drivers to the more here. It will not be easy to risk this, however. Again, Hendricks has slightly better downforce and speed on tracks like this with elevated turns. Their long-run ability is also unmatched even with other teams catching up. Larson can take advantage of that as both he and Elliott may get more clean air. Take the MORE anyway.
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