RADIO
We get ready for Sunday afternoon (April 23rd, 2023) as the GEICO 500 comes to us from Talladega Superspeedway in Lincoln, Alabama. This is the tenth 2023 edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of.
PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, 5-player, or even 6-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where first nets 45 points, second is worth 42, third is worth 41, and so on. Every lap led NOW equals an extra 0.25 points. Every fastest clocked lap equals an extra 0.45 points. Laps led are 0.25 points per lap and place differential is plus or minus one point. Also, stage wins are worth one point apiece.
For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Joey Logano Less 36.5 Points.
The numbers are quite uncertain and this could backfire. Logano has led 98 laps in his previous six appearances at Talladega. He even has a top-three result too. The Ford driver does start in 8th which gives us some hope.
Does Logano stay up front with the other Ford cars? Could he crash? Playing the percentages is a wild ride on restrictor plate tracks such as Talladega. Let's get dangerous and assume less points here.
Chase Elliott Less 55.5 Points.
The choice is not easy here because Chase Elliott has won at Talladega. However, the superspeedway is a demanding course and those high-banks take a lot out of a driver. Elliott begins 29th which will only add to the point potential. However, any driver on the Alabama track can crash out or "get collected by the big one."
He will not lead laps at Talladega. That seems likely. His Spring of 2022 race saw him come back from 28th up to seventh. Could it happen again, Absolutely. Will it? Now, this one features much more uncertainty. A top-five is needed likely to get the points required for us to bust.
Brad Keselowski LESS 46.5 Points.
This is the another RFK Racing dilemma. Brad Keselowski has been a blessing for our props all season long but even Talladega may be a bridge too far. Though he starts 20th and has an average finish of 14.5, the Ford was outside the top-20 both times last season.
The Ford ends up where we need him week after week. However, we are less certain he can boost his totals quite enough. Now, this may be the week to take a shot on the low side.
Denny Hamlin MORE 32.5 Points.
It is a crap shoot when it comes to Hamlin and Talladega. However, he likes to lead laps there. Since 2020, he is one of only two drivers to lead more than 100 laps on the track (Ryan Blaney - 138). Hamlin has won on the track as well. Though he performs better during the Fall version of the race, one can never quite count the No. 11 car out.
Hamlin starts from the pole on Sunday which carries clean air hopes. However, the Joe Gibbs Racing driver figures to have track conditions on his side. Do not be surprised if Hamlin even takes Stage 1. Hope for those fastest lap and laps lead points.
Christopher Bell MORE 26.5 Points.
This could prove once more on Sunday. The math dictates that we need a top-ten finish to go safely above 26.5 points. Maybe, Bell even leads a few laps and helps our margin of error a little more. Again, crashes at superspeedways always add risk, but the Joe Gibbs Racing driver is worth a look.
Now, the Toyotas look like good bets again on Sunday. Our idea is to play things safe and assume Bell stays around the top ten. Again, there is no real place differential luxury to fall back on this week. Spring conditions hopefully are on our side here.
Other Recommendations
- Alex Bowman MORE 42.5 Points
- Daniel Suarez LESS 38.5 Points
- Austin Dillon LESS 30.5 Points
- Chris Buescher MORE 26.5 Points
- Erik Jones LESS 39.5 Points
Play the NASCAR Fantasy Score Now on PrizePicks
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The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success
NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller! Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.
Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.
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