Hello everybody and welcome! We hit the 1.5-mile intermediate course at Charlotte for the Coca-Cola 600 this week and another edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Now, that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where 1st nets 40 points, 2nd is worth 39, 3rd is worth 38, and so on. Every lap led equals an extra 0.01 points. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Chase Elliott Over 34 Points. This worked out last week after we tweaked some of our projections based on qualifying and long-run ability. The thought process was that Elliott might be around 35.5 to 36.5 points this week but that was not the case. Elliott finally won last week -- albeit the race was shortened by 14 laps. The Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver has looked good in practice and in these low-wear conditions. Tire management is trumped by pit stop strategy and speed on the track. Elliott has four top-four finishes in his last five Charlotte starts. The 1.5-mile distance has not been great for Elliott but the No.9 does have a little bit of confidence now.
Joey Logano Over 32 Points. Logano typically finishes around 8th-12th on this type of track. There is a little bit of risk for the Team Penske car but he did finish eighth and sixth in the last two races at Charlotte. He led a combined 69 laps in those races as well. It may be just enough to push that point projection. Logano's car has practiced well and he should qualify rather well also. Take the over for Logano on Sunday.
William Byron Over 31.5 Points. The idea is low-risk given the build and ride the Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver's consistency. He has now finished in the top-10 in 11 of the last 12 races. This Sunday at Charlotte could easily be 12 in 13 races given how well the No. 24 is running. Byron has looked very fast in practice and only missed the top ten last week because the race was cut short. He has accrued the third-most points at this distance track in 2021. Taking the over would be a pretty wise move for Byron.
Kyle Larson Over 35.5 Points. This is still low for Kyle Larson on Sunday as he seems to just adapt to any track thrown at the No. 5. The Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver could easily qualify in the top five again. Larson did not have any issues negotiating 1.5-mile tracks. There expect to be some dry periods and no rain on Sunday evening. Larson projects well because of this chameleon-like ability. Also, the build from HMS carries the most speed and the best grip on this track. If he keeps his pit sequences in sync, this could make four top-four finishes in his last five races at the distance.
Tyler Reddick Over 28.5 Points. Reddick is an extreme-risk pick on Sunday. Think about it. A 12th is a hit here so basically Reddick has to just lurk around the top-ten without leading any laps. The latter part seems likely enough. Since Reddick has shown a fast car on 1.5-mile low-wear tracks, it just boils down to Reddick avoiding wrecks. It is not often we take risks like this but again, the point projection is low enough to bite here. Take the Over and hopefully, this will lead to unexpected cash. As always, we may have a few more options on social media after qualifying and later on Sunday just before the race starts.
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